What does the market follow? Is there an implicit nature?
Osmar Sandoval Espinosa:
What does the market follow?
Nothing... or everything all at once. Either way, it's tough to discern.
Osmar Sandoval Espinosa:
Is there an implicit nature?
No... or yes─total chaos.
Osmar Sandoval Espinosa:
That's where the strategy tester comes in. You have an idea or a pattern, and the tester (real market conditions) molds it into what the market actually is.
That's where the strategy tester comes in. You have an idea or a pattern, and the tester (real market conditions) molds it into what the market actually is.
I mostly agree with that, but I don't spend much time trying to define what the market actually is. To say that the Tester can mold your idea to the market is a bit of a stretch. I'm satisfied to accept that the Tester and I have identified an intermittently recurring pattern in a random data set─which should actually be impossible.
Fun fact: Choosing between math versus opinion is known as the Trader's Paradox.
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Lately I've been thinking: a trader's journey often starts by trying to fit their strategies into the market. When the market doesn't follow their expectations, frustration follows. I suspect there's something larger—something we don't fully grasp—that is always there ruling.
That's where the strategy tester comes in. You have an idea or a pattern, and the tester (real market conditions) molds it into what the market actually is.