[Archive!] FOREX - Trends, Forecasts & Consequences (Episode 12: February 2012) - page 21
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2012.02.02 00:59:56 RNN_v4_m EURUSD,H1: Probability of trading signal for long position 0.5578
2012.02.02:00:03 RNN_v4_m EURUSD,H1: open #154264291 buy 0.36 EURUSD at 1.31524 sl: 1.30709 tp: 1.32309 ok
Probability: 0.5556
Previous close on the upside: $45.54
2012.02.02:00:03 RNN_v4_m EURUSD,H1: open #154264291 buy 0.36 EURUSD at 1.31524 sl: 1.30709 tp: 1.32309 ok
Probability: 0.5556
Previous close in profit: $45.54
Everything is possible, it is a Forex paradox that people buy and sell at the same time and still manage to make profit)
Anything is possible, the paradox of forex is that people buy and sell at the same time and manage to make money)
There are no paradoxes:
2012.02.02:00:05 '3712081': remainder of order #0 was opened : #154264347 buy 0.14 EURUSD at 1.31524 sl: 1.30709 tp: 1.32309
2012.02.02:00:05 '3712081': order #154264291 was closed by #154199366
2012.02.02:02:00:04 '3712081': request in process
2012.02.02:02:04 '3712081': request was accepted by server
2012.02.02:02:00:03 '3712081': close order #154264291 buy 0.36 EURUSD at 1.31524 sl: 1.30709 tp: 1.32309 by order #154199366 sell 0.22 EURUSD at 1.31731 sl: 1.32543 tp: 1.30943
2012.02.02:00:03 '3712081': order was opened : #154264291 buy 0.36 EURUSD at 1.31524 sl: 1.30709 tp: 1.32309
2012.02.02:00:02 '3712081': request in process
2012.02.02:02:00:01 '3712081': request was accepted by server
2012.02.02:02:00:01 '3712081': instant order buy 0.36 EURUSD at 1.31524 sl: 1.30709 tp: 1.32309
2012.02.01 19:00:03 '3712081': order was opened : #154199366 sell 0.22 EURUSD at 1.31731 sl: 1.32543 tp: 1.30943
2012.02.01 19:00:02 '3712081': request in process
2012.02.01 19:00:02 '3712081': request was accepted by server
2012.02.01 19:00:00 '3712081': instant order sell 0.22 EURUSD at 1.31731 sl: 1.32543 tp: 1.30943
154199366
Anything is possible, the paradox of forex is that people buy and sell at the same time and manage to make money)
Hello.
There are no paradoxes in forex. Simple mathematics. Statistics. Probability theory. Nothing more. To prove my words, I will conduct a series of profitable deals in real time.
So, it is now 7:14 a.m. 02/02/2012 Moscow time. I just sold EURUSD at 1.3189 and set a TP and SL of 50 pips, at 1.3141 and 1.3241. Waiting.
2012.02.02 00:59:56 RNN_v4_m EURUSD,H1: Probability of trading signal for long position 0.5578
People, what a buy :-) Of course, it doesn't make sense to say buy or sell without specifying ahead of time the scale either on the price axis (TP, whatever we want) or on the time axis (more problematic). This is to the question of "paradoxes". There are no paradoxes. In the reasoning of different expected TPs at the same point in time, both the decision to buy and the decision to sell can be correct. As for the scale of a few hours and TP=50 pips I personally sell and it looks like my two predictions voiced above are coming true. Of course, my forecast is probabilistic. But with more probability than "Probability: 0.5556". Not to mention that stating it with an accuracy of 0.0001 is nonsense. It is not worth estimating the "probability" in this case to more than 0.01. Thevery values in the spirit of "0.5578" already show the illiteracy of this comrade's probabilistic approach .
People, what a buy :-) Of course, it doesn't make sense to say buy or sell without specifying ahead of time the scale either on the price axis (TP, whatever we want) or on the time axis (more problematic). This is to the question of "paradoxes". There are no paradoxes. In the reasoning of different expected TPs at the same point in time, both the decision to buy and the decision to sell can be correct. As for the scale of a few hours and TP=50 pips I personally sell and it looks like my two predictions voiced above are coming true. Of course, my forecast is probabilistic. But with more probability than "Probability: 0.5556". Not to mention that stating it with an accuracy of 0.0001 is nonsense. It is not worth estimating the "probability" in this case to more than 0.01. Thevery values in the spirit of "0.5578" already show the illiteracy of this comrade's probabilistic approach .
I also think that the probability is probable if the expected expectation is expected and then the realisation comes true ))))))))))))))))))))