Forum Annals: Quotes of the day - page 19

 

This may not be a good thing, but this thread is completely harmless. https://www. mql5.com/ru/forum/131478/

yosuf 04.02.2011 05:44

Cmu4:


On the fly, I have a few questions about the variables:

1. As I understand it, you are taking the Q0 value from the past? In any case, how is it calculated?

2. Do the three different indicator values s1, s2, s3 depend on the distribution parameters n; m (usually alpha, beta)?

3. can you give an idea of the values of the variables for each of the three indicators, in general?

. can you give an example.


1. As soon as you introduce 3 actual values of the rate into the algorithm, you get the first, estimated value forecast Q0, which will be specified with further introductions as a result of forecasting according to the above formula containing Gamma distribution, so we can consider that we really take a part of it from the past and specify it in the future. And one of the indicators - the fourth one, let's call it quantitative, will be guided by its value and will give permission for entry if it will be possible to at least double spread, agree, why do we need a useless entry. You correctly noted, that you can't do without history, moreover, I've found all three functions distributing perfectly the same Q0 for all three periods - past, present and future, adding them together we always get an analytically accurate value of Q0, which extends our understanding of what is happening in the sense of event origin philosophy, simply put, the algorithm immediately shows how much price has changed in the past, to date, if you consider daily timeframes, and how much more may change in the future, before it reaches the zigzag.

2. The linearised trend equation, (I managed to analytically linearise the above equation containing the Gamma distribution flawlessly), allows you to qualitatively formulate s1, s2 and s3, which give their verdict on our possible market presence as +1 and -1, guided respectively: s1- on the slope tangent of this straight line equation, s2- on the fact and moment of its possible crossing of the abscissa line, indicating a change of trend and s3- the ratio of the shares of this straight line in the positive (BAU) and negative (SELL) areas, evaluating the trend in question as a whole, taking into account the historical and future destabilisation process, therefore all 3 indicators are qualitative and undoubtedly, as you correctly noted, depend on the parameters of the Gamma distribution, yes, they are usually alpha and beta, but I chose another designation in order to give them a physical essence, for example, I have n- number of "cells" in multicell model of "black box" and tau (from now on this will be one of parameters) is nothing else but time constant of the considered transient process.

3. The values of these indicators can be only +1 or -1, so, for example, if the result of their addition the algorithm gives the result +3- we can enter the market with BAU, minus-3 with SELL, in other cases - AUT- out of the market.

By the way, the analysis of historical factual data has shown a scary thing - the market does not always give us the opportunity to get closer to it, even in cases when we think that the true moment of entry has come, the market will immediately punish such an optimist! The saying is true here - not all that glitters is gold. The market lives by its own, independent from us, terrible laws and only sometimes, and a very small fraction of the total share allows us to master there and take back everything in its hands. And man, greedy by nature and confident in his abilities, does not want to believe in this objective reality, partly through no fault of his own, because market processes are in a differential domain and our minds are not adapted to perceive them adequately, so we bet on a "senseless" robot, devoid of these shortcomings.

 

https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/131308/page56

FreeLance:

...the inner struggle of reason with excitement in a batterer sets up optimally.

 

Right-wing conflict with left-wing conflict. Geopolitics, my ass.

Who's there? Group portrait: a mix of curiosity and mercantile fantasies.

 
Mathemat:

Maybe that's not a good thing, but after all this branch is completely harmless. https://www. mql5.com/ru/forum/131478/

Unfortunately, all of it won't fit in here. :))

Svinozavr

...a mix of curiosity and mercenary fantasies

It's worth rereading you sometimes. You're so busted.

 
granit77:

Unfortunately, all of it won't fit in here. :))

It's worth rereading you every once in a while. You're in trouble.

Unless... I'd replace "curiosity" with "inquisitiveness".

)))Aha! What's the one about these, the headheads, eh? - "We're inquisitive, but not curious" - I love that semantic jumble...

 
volshebnik:
They began about 4 thousand years B.C. In the 16th century they organized symbiosis, etc. Petrov was first fired from the army and then killed) MasterForex is just one of many who point to this syndicate.

granit77
How many years they've been after Petrov! And they got what they wanted!

Volshebnik:
He is just an example of elimination of the undesirable) Their methods are like Sherlock Holmes from "You Never Dreamed" series.)

 

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA I'm going crazy!!!!

yosuf 2011.02.08 22:17 2011.02.08 22:17:22 #
alsu:

Юсуфходжа,

ответьте, пожалуйста, на вопрос о размерностях в уравнениях

H(t) = V(t) = β*m

и

D(t) + H(t) + P(t) = D0.

1. $/h = $/h = $/h*(0.....1/e.....0)

2. $ + $/h*1h + $ = $

https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/3138/page4
 

https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/3138/page2. By the way, there's a catch here as well... But it's much more artistic here (especially the masterful details of the curve behaviour are highlighted by me):

yosuf 2011.02.08 04:47 2011.02.08 04:47:53 #
Vita:
According to the legend of the above chart P1 is a dark blue smooth curve. Is it somewhere since the 38th count shows the prediction?

1. Up to the 38th point the robot analyses the facts and their approximation according to (11)-(14), and then it starts estimating the situation, formulating its verdicts concerning its further behavior in the market and defining its trading strategy according to (15)-(19), by the way, it does it continuously beginning from the third point as the market data arrive, even though in the form of ticks, it manages to do all this before the next tick appears, however short or long they are. With two points - the robot is blind and helpless, but it does no harm to its master, it does not even analyse the market, the robot and the whole trading process is triggered by the third point or tick, as you want and from the fourth point it is ready to launch an avalanche of orders in the necessary direction, if the market situation and the condition of justifying the spread in that multiplicity, which the master sets, allow

2. This seemingly calm at the moment, appraisal and forecast line you are pointing at is a copy of the moment when the robot with its fantastic power has started the avalanche of sell orders and is quietly earning, not seeing any fear in the foreseeable future, but at any moment, which it determines itself, it immediately closes all the orders, at which the formerly calm curve gets a scary look, it bifurcates on the left and becomes similar to a swallow's tail, on the right side it becomes similar to a swallow's tail, indicating pincers of future possible maximum and minimum price values with a stick thrown across the rails, indicating the possible moment of the trend change and constantly moving it along the rails the pincers of prices indicate changes of the moment of the trend change according to formulas (11)-(19), in what the forum participants could see yesterday while testing the robot for mt4 using the program made on eksel, even one of them asked You call this awful kind of a curve forecasting, it's nonsense, and I put it aside for a while to explain such a situation

 
Mathemat:
........
"Sometimes such things come to mind.... Scary things..." So, the psychiatrist from Terminator3
 
joo:
"Sometimes such things come to mind.... Scary things..." So, the psychiatrist from Terminator3
VictorArt will eat his tie with envy :))