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Легко. Пара EURUSD. 400 пунктов - это 10 разворотов в пределах коридора в 40 пунктов. Для начала найдите такой момент на истории, дату в студию. Иначе это ложь. Но тем не менее, специально для вас - маржу на 0.01 возьмем грубо 100 рублей. Поехали: открытие - 0.01, плечо 1:500, залог 100 рублей.
Первый разворот - 0.01+0.02, залог 200 рублей, так как при открытии разнонаправленных ордеров одинаковый объем требует одинарного залога, а дополнительный берется за избыточную часть (0.02 - 0.01 = 0.01). Второй разворот - 0.01+0.02+0.03, залог 400. Третий - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04, залог 500. Четвертый разворот - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05, залог 800. Пятый - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06, залог 1200. Шестой - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07, залог 1600. Седьмой - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07+0.08, залог 2000 рублей. Восьмой - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07+0.08+0.09, залог 2500. Девятый - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07+0.08+0.09+0.10, залог 3000. И, наконец, десятый: 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07+0.08+0.09+0.10+0.11, залог 3600 рублей.
Причем в худшем случае (цена точно между уровнями) в минусе после десятого разворота у вас висит еще 20х66х3 = 3960 рублей.Теперь объясняйте, зачем вам $1.000.000? В следующий раз посчитайте, прежде чем что-то говорить.
Good calculation :) Now calculate the amount of drawdown and how many pips you need to break even.
To get breakeven, you need a movement equal to the number of reversals multiplied by the distance between the levels...
Ku...))
1. what TF are you using? Daily and weekly is better. I hope it is clear why...
If you trade on daily, the average daily range is easily calculated from the previous bar(s) (with some probability).
2. Observe how many times a day, after passing the n-pips from the bar opening (or better - after passing n% of the previous bar opening) extremums are "updated" for your pair (high -> low, low -> high).
3. use the calculated range from step 1 and the rule from step 2:
a) for the maximum number of deals in the current day (on the current bar),
b) to determine the lot for the next trade in case of a stop triggering.
c) to determine targets for each order (stop and target).
In simpler terms, trade as long as the current calculated rand allows it (does not exceed it); stops, targets and lots are also set based on the calculated rand.
4. Add a couple of filters (e.g. MA). If below the MA, then only sell and vice versa.
5. Select the optimal starting lot to start the trade.
Easy. EURUSD. 400 pips is 10 reversals within a corridor of 40 pips. Find such a moment in history for a start, date it in the studio. Otherwise it is a lie. But nevertheless, especially for you - let's take a margin of 0.01, roughly 100 rubles. Let's go: opening - 0.01, the leverage 1:500, the margin of 100 rubles.
First reversal - 0.01+0.02, the pledge of 200 rubles, as opening differently directed orders of equal volume requires the same pledge and an additional pledge is taken as an excessive part (0.02 - 0.01 = 0.01). The second reverse - 0.01+0.02+0.03, the deposit of 400. Third turn - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04, bail 500. Fourth U-turn - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05, bail 800. Fifth is 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06, bail 1200. Sixth is 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07, deposit 1600. Seventh - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07+0.08, bail 2000. Eighth - 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07+0.08+0.09, a pledge of 2500. Ninth: 0.01+0.02+0.03+0.04+0.05+0.06+0.07+0.08+0.09+0.10, deposit 3000. And finally, the tenth: 0.01 + 0.02 + 0.03 + 0.04 + 0.05 + 0.06 + 0.07 + 0.08 + 0.09 + 0.10 + 0.11, a pledge of 3600 rubles.
And in the worst case (the price is exactly between the levels) you have another 20x66x3 = 3960 rubles in losses after the tenth reversal.Now explain why you need $1,000,000? Next time do the math before you say anything.
It's not about the margin - there are extreme DCs providing 1000 leverage.
Calculate the total floating loss on open positions after 10 reversals.
And estimate how many points the price has to go in one direction to break-even.
If I am not mistaken, 40 points x 10 = 400 points. What if this move will not happen and losses on reversals will continue to increase like a snowball?
.
It took me a long time to write. kharko got ahead of you. Essentially the same.
1. what TF are you using? Daily and weekly is better. I hope it's clear why...
I don't understand what TF has to do with it at all. The unit chops cabbage, regardless of the days of the week and the hours of the day.
Абсолютно непонятно при чем здесь ТФ вообще. Агрегат рубит капусту, невзирая на дни недели и часы суток.
On a particular TF, volatility can be counted and traded within this range (high-low), to calculate targets and volumes based on this range.
I do not understand what 400 points has to do with it? Why not 300 or 1000 points?
The top starter is too smart to stoop to probability theory and game theory.
Топик стартер слишком умен, чтобы опускаться до теории вероятности и теории игр.
is basically an old topic... But here, imho, it is not taken to its logical conclusion.
But here, imho, is not taken to its logical conclusion.
This phrase is beyond my consciousness altogether. >> I couldn't understand it.
Эта фраза вообще за пределами моего сознания. Ниасилил.
I can't help you... ))