Martingale is not evil at all, it brings profits - page 4

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Serg_ASV:

The main mistake with martingale is that it takes into account the event history of the game account.

What's that got to do with it?

What does this have to do with event history?

It has to do with raising the bet/lot after a lot/loss, and the winnings of each particular trade generally have little to do with the history of previous trades.
 
Figar0:
To the upside of the bet/lot after a lot/loss, and the winnings of each particular trade generally have little bearing on the history of prior trades.

The initial direction is usually determined by the current situation, and the lot size of the first order in the chain is minimal (or more often is attached to the deposit size), and trade history has no effect on it.

Just SC. A little confused about the specifics of this system, or didn't want to fully understand it.

 
Serg_ASV:
Figar0:
To the upside of the bet/lot after a lot/loss, and the winnings of each particular trade generally have little bearing on the history of prior trades.

The initial direction is usually determined by the current situation, while the lot size of the first order in the chain is minimal (or more often tied to the size of the deposit), and the history of trades is not affected by it.

Just SC. A little confused about the specifics of this system, or didn't want to fully understand it.


How interesting :-) really. You probably are not talking about Martingale.

There is a very great theory of STOU (statistical theory of optimal control), so there is a lot of useful and useful, because this theory is tested in practice and repeatedly. And it works perfectly. From the point of view of this theory Martingale is a mare's nonsense.

 
I've done a little reworking of the frank_ud advisor that many people know about. This is what I have done.
 
Tested it on daily basis using Parabolic Sar indicator to determine when to open a trade, EA is more or less on its feet. But it is risky for real trading. If anyone has any suggestions on how to change the opening moment of the first deal based on the proposed indicator or others, please do not hesitate to contact us. Do not hesitate to share your comments. I think this EA is better than the one on the first page.
 
Adviser
Files:
martini_test_2.mq4  9 kb
 
Prival:
Serg_ASV:
Figar0:
To the upside of the bet/lot after a lot/loss, and the winnings of each particular trade generally have little bearing on the history of prior trades.

The initial direction is usually determined by the current situation, while the lot size of the first order in the chain is minimal (or more often linked to the deposit size), and the history of trades is not affected by it.

Just SC. A little confused about the specifics of this system, or didn't want to fully understand it.


interesting :-) really. You probably are not talking about Martingale.

There is a very great theory of STOU (statistical theory of optimal control), so there is a lot of useful and useful, because this theory is tested in practice and repeatedly. And it works perfectly. From the standpoint of this theory Martingale is a mare's nonsense.


The market is behaving "like a sow mare". If MTS gives long series of positive trades - Martingale is justified, besides the increase in lot can be less than double. In general, this MM is quite suitable, or better the combination. And all theories, including "great" ones, periodically fail completely in the market.
 
Figar0:
Serg_ASV:

The main mistake with martingale is that it takes into account the event history of the game account.

What's that got to do with it?

And what does this have to do with event history?

It's about increasing the bet/lot after a lot/loss, and the winnings of each particular trade generally have little depend ence on the history of previous trades.

Small correction: notat all.

 
Serg_ASV:
Figar0:
To the upside of the bet/lot after a lot/loss, and the winnings of each particular trade generally have little bearing on the history of prior trades.

The initial direction is usually determined by the current situation, and the lot size of the first order in the chain is minimal (or more often tied to the size of the deposit), and the history of trades is not affected by it.

Just SC. A little confused about the peculiarities of this system, or didn't want to fully understand it.


You should not think that I do not understand it. To avoid repeating myself and dispel your doubts, I recommend you to read two topics (2006):
Trading Strategy of Necessary Exchange Arbitrage.
For those who are not programmers, but have ideas for creating Expert Advisors, "dedicated to idea traders and programmers".
 
The outcome of a particular trade is not determined by previous trades - simply because it is not just a property of the strategy, but also of the market. Hopes that the probability of success of a given trade somehow depends on account history are illusory. A person who persists in this delusion demonstrates a lack of understanding of the very spirit of probability/statistics theory. The forum has repeatedly cited the example of flipping a correct coin: the probability of an eagle in the next trial is exactly 0.5, no matter how many times the eagle has fallen directly before (even a thousand times in a row).
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