InstaForex Wave Analysis - page 193

 

Technical analysis of NZD/USD for February 20, 2015

Overview: The NZD/USD pair will probably continue straight from the level of 0.7478 (at 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on H1 chart). Besides, it should be noted that the double bottom will be formed at the same level of 0.7478. Therefore, the NZD/USD pair is showing signs of strenght following the break of the first resistance level of 0.7500. So it will be a good idea to buy above the level of 0.7470 or/and 0.7500 with the first target of 0.7548 and further towards the last peak point 0.7577 (it will act as a strong resistance, so that it is going to be a good place to take profit, it should be also noted that this level of taking profit will coincide with 100% of Fibonacci). However, in case reversal takes place and the NZD/USD pair breaks through the support level of 0.7478, the market will lead to further decline to 0.7443 and then 0.7414 in order to indicate for the bearish market on February 20, 2015.

Trading recommendations: According to previous events, the price will move between 0.7577 and 0.7415. Buy above 0.7480 with the first target of 0.7546, it might resume to 0.7570. Below the level of 0.7463 look for further downside with the 0.7443 and 0.7414 targets.

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GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for April 25, 2012

EUR/USD: This currency trading instrument moved largely sideways last week as bulls and bears struggled in vain for significant supremacy, being swayed by transitory buying and selling pressure. There is a support line at 1.1300 and a resistance line at 1.1450; and the price would break either to the downside or the upside. Nevertheless, a break above the resistance line at 1.1450 is more likely this week.

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Technical analysis of USD/CHF for February 26, 2015

Overview: The USD/CHF pair is calling for the bullish market from the levels of 0.9089, 0.9300, and 0.9405 since last week. Nowadays, the level of 0.9405 is representing support 1. Moreover, it should be noticed that the USD/CHF pair is still moving between the first support and first resistance which are setting at the 0.9405 and 0.9595 prices respectively. As it is known, the chronicle will probably repeat itself at these levels again. Therefore, as the upward trend is still strong on H4 chart, it will be a good sign to buy above the level of 0.9405 with the first target of 0.9522 (minor resistance on the same chart). It will call for an uptrend in order to continue its bullish movement towards 0.9595 in coming days. Also, we should bear in mind that the strong resistance (0.9595) is coinciding with the ratio of 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. However, a stop loss should never exceed your maximum exposure amounts. Consequently, the stop loss should be placed below the support of 0.9405 at the price of 0.9372.

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Technical analysis of USD/CAD for February 27, 2015

Overview: The market of the USD/CAD pair is continuing to show signs of strength following the break level of 1.2402. Besides, resistance of the USD/CAD pair broke and turned to support a month ago (26th of January 2015). It should be noted that the pair has already formed strong support at the level of 1.2402. Hence, the market indicates a bullish opportunity at the level of 1.2400/1.2390 with a first target at 1.2533 and continues towards 1.2594 which represents strong resistance on February 27, 2015. However, according to previous events, the price has still traded between 1.2402 and 1.2594. Thereupon, if the trend can break this level and close below the price of 1.2390, then we expect the market to gain a convincing downside momentum and the structure of the fall does not look corrective. For that reason, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity at the spot of 1.2594. As the price is below 1.2594, look for further downside with a target of 1.2420.

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for March 02, 2015

When the European market opens, some economic news will be released such as Unemployment Rate, Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y, CPI Flash Estimate y/y, Italian Quarterly Unemployment Rate, Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate, Final Manufacturing PMI, Italian Manufacturing PMI, and Spanish Manufacturing PMI. Besides, the US will release a number of economic reports such as the ISM Manufacturing Prices, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Final Manufacturing PMI, Personal Income m/m, Personal Spending m/m, and Core PCE Price Index m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level: 1.1221.

Strong Resistance:1.1215.

Original Resistance: 1.1204.

Inner Sell Area: 1.1193.

Target Inner Area: 1.1167.

Inner Buy Area: 1.1141.

Original Support: 1.1130.

Strong Support: 1.1119.

Breakout SELL Level: 1.1113.

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Daily analysis of major pairs for March 3, 2015

EUR/USD: This pair is still bearish in outlook, and is not yet able to go upwards significantly, following a strong bearish run that happened at the end of last week. As long as this pair is weak, the USD/CHF (which normally gets negatively correlated to the EUR/USD) would not be able to go downwards. The price is currently between the support line at 1.1150 and the resistance line at 1.1200. The support line is likely to be breached to the downside but the price may be unable to close below it, because the outlook on the EUR is upbeat.

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for March 04, 2015

When the European market opens, economic data on retail sales m/m, the final services PMI, the Italian services PMI, and the Spanish services PMI will be released.The US is expected to release economic data on the Beige Book, crude oil inventories, the ISM mon-manufacturing PMI, the final services PMI, and the ADP non-farm employment change. So, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day amid the reports.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level: 1.1234.

Strong Resistance:1.1228.

Original Resistance: 1.1217.

Inner Sell Area: 1.1206.

Target Inner Area: 1.1180.

Inner Buy Area: 1.1154.

Original Support: 1.1143.

Strong Support: 1.1132.

Breakout SELL Level: 1.1126.

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for March 05, 2015

When the European market opens, economic data on the ECB press conference, minimum bid rate, the French 10-y bond auction, the retail PMI, and the German factory orders m/m are expected to be released. The US will announce the infotmation about natural gas storage, factory orders m/m, revised unit labor costs q/q, the revised nonfarm productivity q/q, unemployment claims, and Challenger job cuts y/y. So, EUR/USD will move with medium volatility during this day amid reports.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level: 1.1133.

Strong Resistance:1.1127.

Original Resistance: 1.1116.

Inner Sell Area: 1.1105.

Target Inner Area: 1.1079

Inner Buy Area: 1.1053.

Original Support: 1.1042.

Strong Support: 1.1031.

Breakout SELL Level: 1.1025.

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

When the European market opens, a number of economic news will be released such as Revised GDP q/q, French Trade Balance, French Gov Budget Balance, and German Industrial Production m/m. The US will release the economic data too such as the Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance, and Non-Farm Employment Change. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with medium to high volatility during this day.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:

Breakout BUY Level: 1.1074.

Strong Resistance:1.1068.

Original Resistance: 1.1067.

Inner Sell Area: 1.1046.

Target Inner Area: 1.1020

Inner Buy Area: 1.0994.

Original Support: 1.0983.

Strong Support: 1.0972.

Breakout SELL Level: 1.0966.

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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for March 9 - 2015

Technical summary: The decline towards an ideal downside target for wave (v) of C continues to unfold as expected. In the short term, we are looking for moving lower towards 129.64 and perhaps even lower towards 128.69 in blue wave iii. As we have seen a series of waves one and two, a series of waves three and four should unfold accordingly. Ideally, a minor resistance at 131.88 is likely to protect the upside from the expected decline towards 129.64

Trading recommendation: We are short EUR from 133.90 and will lower our stop to 132.45. If you are not short EUR yet, then sell EUR near 131.88 with the same stop at 132.45.

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