My forecasts by EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, GOLD - page 17

 

Eur/usd

Trend is down !

Until we see USD weakness (move above 1.2450)

 

Wave analysis

GBP/USD Wave analysis

 

Wave analysis

EUR/USD Wave Analysis

 

Hello escalibur,

On the EURUSD, I like your Elliott Wave count up to the end of may.

I see the ABC-X-A?

I'm guessing you do not see A? as a :5, which could be wave A of a zigzag.

Why is this ?

Thanks,

Rene

 

First.

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Buy Limit at 1.2100; Target: 1.2250; Stop: 1.2025.

Then.

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell Limit at 1.2250; Target: 1.1650 ; Stop: 1.2325.

The EUR/USD finally broke below the triangle, but did so after two false breakouts. The pair

has moved higher after putting in lows below 1.1900. The week was closed out with the EUR/USD

at 1.2110. The resistance comes in at 1.2150-1.2200. This is the former support level which

created the triangle (see chart at bottom). If that resistance band hold, expect continued

selling pressure. Support comes in at 1.2050, 1.1950 and 1.1875. Penetration of the recent

low at 1.1875 has a target of 1.1650.

"P&F EURUSD10080 Box Size 250X3 or(6.18%) HI/LO

Data 1.6038 - 0.8225 ~ 152 Month ~ 4627 Day

Database 662 records 1.21112 (Last Close)

1997-10-05 00~00

2010-06-06 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris

BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

 
tradeit007:
Hello escalibur,

On the EURUSD, I like your Elliott Wave count up to the end of may.

I see the ABC-X-A?

I'm guessing you do not see A? as a :5, which could be wave A of a zigzag.

Why is this ?

Thanks,

Rene

Hi Rene

To consider trending impulse (:5) pattern must adhere to some construction rules.

(Essential Construction rules and Conditional Construction rules )

The only possible way to consider wave A? as a :5 is if A? wave is a terminal impulse.

I think this is not the case!

There is not confirmation for the end of wave A? yet, and we may see more down move before the end is confirmed.

My suggestion is that structure of wave A? is double combination as part of Flat or triangle after X wave.

Regards

 

Eur/usd

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

 

Eur/usd

EUR/USD Monthly Chart

 

Gbp/usd

GBP/USD Weekly Chart

 

GBP/USD Monthly

GBP/USD Monthly Chart

Reason: