Sergey Golubev / 个人资料

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评论给主题 Market Condition Evaluation based on standard indicators in Metatrader 5

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EUR/USD Technical Strategy:

Bearish Engulfing pattern hinting at a correction.
Buyers likely sitting at nearby 1.3750 mark(also the 38.2% Fib Retracement level) a clearance below that mark is needed before offering a bearish technical bias for the pair.

Trade Implications – Gold:

One-sided US Dollar positioning suggests that the Greenback may be near an important turning point. Yet out performance in Gold prices give us pause in calling for a reversal of recent gains. Our bias would change if trading crowds bought into any XAUUSD declines.

The European currency peaked this year after inflation in the euro area has exceeded analysts' expectations. British Pound appreciated against the dollar after data showed an increase macro investment. Japanese Yen appreciated against most of its counterparts as a result of tensions in Ukraine.
European capital markets have increased the intensification of activity in the mergers and acquisitions. U.S. stocks have been in a slight increase over estimates amid publication indicator of consumer sentiment . Asian capital market has been declining after the Chinese manufacturing sector PMI indicator reached the last eight months minimum .
WTI has had an increase in February after Oklahoma stocks were falling and the euro appreciated against the dollar. Gold was down after the appreciation of the shares has reduced demand for the precious metal . Coffee was the largest monthly increase in the past 19 years amid declining crop in Brazil.

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Trade Implications – EURUSD:
The crowd has consistently remained short Euro since it bottomed near $1.28 through July. Yet especially one-sided positions warn that an important extreme may be in place.

Trade Implications – Gold:

One-sided US Dollar positioning suggests that the Greenback may be near an important turning point. Yet out performance in Gold prices give us pause in calling for a reversal of recent gains. Our bias would change if trading crowds bought into any XAUUSD declines.

Surprise so small .. jump so high?

Euro zone inflation was 0.8 % in February, according to Eurostat signal value , 0.1 points higher than the estimates . It's a surprise that would have been largely overlooked, in other market conditions but not Friday, February 28 . EUR / USD has a jump of 0.8% in just one hour of publication , much of the accumulated gain immediate aftermath minutes . Like a compressed spring , the reaction energy stored pro EUR and especially against the dollar after the " soft" Yellen 's Congress. And , interestingly, the U.S. GDP in Q4 given right EURUSD fans " avant la lettre " : only 2.4 % growth . Draghi henceforth be bound hand and foot by rising inflation ? Highly unlikely. More likely, inflation was the straw that broke the camel and sellers of Euro gave up - but it really binds anticpările if we think about unemployment - after Italy , 12% seems good news.

Investors aspiring to new heights of indices in the U.S. and Europe after the S & P500 has shown the way . Dow Jones and DAX try not to be outdone , recovering with thirst . The Nasdaq , taking off the force has yet tens of percent to the record set on a wave of unprecedented euphoria in 2000. Set to ignore the abundant liquidity risks , participants see the bright side of consumer sentiment figures and ignores the very poor performance as seasonal real estate pre-contracts . Although the euphoria train is on, and inertia can propel for a while , reason suggests a more conservative orientation .