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#GBPUSD 🇬🇧🇺🇸

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#USDJPY

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#xauusd
(XAUUSD) is showing signs of a technical rebound after tagging the $2,972–$2,971 demand zone, but the bounce lacks conviction amid broader risk-off flows. While safe-haven bids and persistent Fed rate cut expectations provide a fundamental floor, the upside remains capped below $3,050 as traders de-risk and liquidate long exposure to cover equity market losses. With the PBOC adding to gold reserves for a fifth consecutive month and Treasury yields pinned below 4%, gold remains fundamentally supported—but the lack of follow-through suggests bulls should stay cautious until we see a clean break and hold above $3,050, ideally on rising volume. Until then, buying dips into key support with tight risk remains the preferred play.

#usdjpy

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The USDCHF weekly chart exhibits a well-defined range-bound market structure, oscillating between a strong horizontal resistance around 0.9200 and a robust horizontal support near 0.8400. The price action is characterized by Elliott Wave sequences, with impulsive and corrective waves forming within this consolidation. Notably, the recent bearish leg has pushed the pair toward the horizontal support, aligning with a potential triple-bottom formation. If this support holds, we could see a bullish reversal, targeting the upper resistance zone once again. A confirmed bounce from this level would validate the long-term range, providing a potential long setup with an attractive risk-reward ratio. However, a breakdown below 0.8400 could indicate a structural shift, opening doors for further downside continuation. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as bullish divergence or reversal candlestick patterns before entering positions.

Trump’s aggressive tariff policy has triggered a sharp repricing in USDCAD, with the pair plunging 250 pips in just 12 hours, slicing through key support zones. The exemption of Canada and Mexico has fueled CAD strength, making it a standout performer amid global trade uncertainty. With USDCAD breaking multi-week lows, technicals point to further downside, though a brief consolidation or corrective pullback could precede the next leg lower. Bears will be eyeing psychological levels and liquidity zones, while any retracement toward 1.4200 – 1.4250 may offer fresh short opportunities in alignment with the prevailing bearish momentum.

EURUSD is poised for its next impulsive move, with a high probability of completing Wave 5 towards the key resistance zone after a precise 38% Fibonacci retracement. The pair has respected the support level, initiating a strong impulse leg, signaling renewed bullish momentum. A sustained break above the previous swing high will confirm the continuation of Wave 5, with targets aligned near the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions. As long as price holds above the retracement zone, the bullish structure remains intact, with liquidity and volume dynamics favoring further upside.

#xauusd

Upcoming week analysis

Trading USDCAD requires a combination of technical and fundamental analysis. Since it's influenced by the U.S. dollar (USD) and the Canadian dollar (CAD), monitor key economic indicators like Federal Reserve policies, Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decisions, oil prices (since CAD is correlated with crude oil), and employment data from both countries. Use Elliott Wave Analysis to identify trend patterns, combined with support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, and moving averages for entry and exit points. Watch for correlations with DXY (Dollar Index) and crude oil prices, as CAD tends to strengthen when oil rises. For short-term trades, analyze the 4H and 1D charts, setting clear stop-losses and take-profit levels to manage risk effectively.

Both Correction Mentioned On the Chart small and A little Deeper
Don't Miss Out the Impulse

XAUUSD remains in a strong uptrend, with price action aligning perfectly with Elliott Wave Theory. The recent corrective Wave 4 appears to have completed, finding support at a key Fibonacci retracement level, setting the stage for an impulsive Wave 5 rally. Bullish momentum is building, with confluence from trendline support, rising RSI, and a potential MACD crossover signaling further upside. A break above the recent swing high could trigger an acceleration towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, confirming the next leg of the bullish cycle. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and liquidity zones to maximize entry precision.

AUDUSD has rebounded from a strong horizontal support level, validating my previous analysis, and is now gearing up for a move toward the next resistance zone. The pair remains in a bullish structure, with Wave 3 nearing completion in the broader Elliott Wave framework. A sustained break above intraday resistance could accelerate momentum, while any pullback would likely serve as a corrective Wave 4 before the next impulsive leg higher. As long as the structure remains intact, the bias stays bullish, with key resistance levels acting as potential profit-taking zones.

#DXY

🎯 Finally, we are at the last stage of corrections!

#US500 🇺🇸

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👉🏻 Discipline to follow the strategy!
👉🏻 Patience to wait for the strategy!
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👉🏻 Persistence in the execution of the strategy!

Gold's wave 3 is approaching its exhaustion point within the larger bullish trend, signaling a potential corrective phase before the final impulsive wave 5. With price nearing a key resistance zone, a pullback is likely as smart money locks in profits, creating an ideal re-entry opportunity for the next leg higher. A healthy correction in wave 4 would provide liquidity and structure before wave 5 drives price toward a new all-time high for the year. Traders should watch for confirmation signals and liquidity sweeps before positioning for the next bullish expansion.

#USDCHF 🇺🇸🇨🇭

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NZDJPY has successfully broken out of its descending channel resistance and closed above a key horizontal level, signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout of the major trendline adds confluence to the upside bias, increasing the probability of a sustained move higher. While no clear pattern is visible, the structural shift indicates potential trend reversal, with buyers stepping in aggressively. If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see further upside toward the next resistance levels. However, a retest of the broken resistance as new support would offer an ideal entry point, with stops placed strategically below key levels to mitigate risk.

CAD/CHF has rebounded from a historically significant demand zone, forming a strong reversal candle that triggered a bullish push. However, price is now testing a key horizontal resistance level, which could act as a supply zone, leading to another rejection. If sellers step in and drive price back to the recent lows, the second retest could create even higher bullish momentum, potentially forming a double bottom structure. A confirmed break above resistance would signal continuation, while a rejection could present another buying opportunity at the lows with stronger upside potential. Monitoring price action, volume, and confluence factors will be crucial in determining the next move.

#USOIL #WTI 🛢

👉🏻 The Elliott Wave Principle is a unique tool for analysing the volatile nature of markets and investor psychology. It offers a more structural approach than technical analysis and a more behavioural perspective than fundamental analysis.

👉🏻 It provides a roadmap for predicting future market movements, unlike other technical tools that mainly analyse the current situation, giving a long-term perspective.

👉🏻 This is therefore a great advantage for planning our trades. We can predict when the Impluse wave will start and how far it can go.

👉🏻 In this way, we know that #DXY will start to decline 3 months in advance and trade accordingly.

XAUUSD has confirmed a strong bullish impulse as Wave 3 extends beyond a key resistance level, signaling further upside potential. The breakout, coupled with a near-close above the zone, reinforces bullish momentum, with price action aligning with the classic Elliott Wave structure. Given that Wave 3 often mirrors or exceeds Wave 1 in length, any retest of the breakout level could present high-probability long opportunities. A successful hold above this zone may drive price toward Fibonacci extensions, with 1.618 of Wave 1 as a potential target. However, a failure to sustain above this level could trigger a deeper correction before resuming the uptrend.