Mochamad Briend Mega Bayu Angkasa / Профиль

XAUUSD is currently showing a technically driven market structure with price action still reacting around key support and resistance zones. Momentum appears mixed, suggesting a potential consolidation phase before the next directional move.

Traders are closely watching whether price can break above the nearest resistance level to continue bullish momentum, or if rejection will push it back toward support for a possible retracement.

“Gold is not trending blindly today it’s waiting for confirmation before making its next decisive move 📊📉📈

AUD/NZD is currently moving in a consolidation phase with a cautious bias. The market appears to be waiting for fresh catalysts before choosing a clearer direction, while volatility remains present amid shifting risk sentiment.

“Sideways doesn’t mean no opportunity it just means patience for the right momentum 📉📈

XAUUSD (Gold) is currently shifting into a bearish market structure after failing to sustain its recent bullish expansion. Over the past few sessions, price has shown clear signs of distribution, marked by rejection at a key supply zone and the formation of lower highs—indicating that selling pressure is starting to dominate.

Technically, price has broken below its minor structure and is now trading under the 50 MA, signaling weakening momentum. The inability to reclaim previous resistance, combined with consistent bearish rejections, suggests a potential continuation to the downside. The 200 MA is now a critical level—if price breaks and holds below it, this could confirm a stronger bearish trend development.

Momentum indicators support this scenario, with RSI dropping below the 50 level, reflecting a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish. The recent pullbacks also failed to reach the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, which typically indicates that sellers remain in control and buyers lack strength to push price higher.

From a price action perspective, the market appears to have executed a liquidity sweep above previous highs, followed by a sharp rejection—often associated with smart money distribution. Current price movement suggests a potential targeting of lower liquidity zones, including equal lows and previous demand areas.

As long as XAUUSD remains below its key resistance zone, the bearish bias stays intact, with downside targets becoming increasingly probable.

Trade with confirmation. Stay disciplined. Manage your risk.

#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcept #Bearish #Trading #MarketStructure #RiskManagement

XAGUSD (Silver) continues to show a strong bullish structure over the past few sessions, with price maintaining its position above key dynamic levels and confirming trend continuation on higher timeframes.

Technically, the market is printing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained buying pressure. Price remains supported above the 50 & 200 MA, while RSI holds in bullish territory without signaling exhaustion—suggesting momentum is still intact. The recent breakout followed by a clean retest of the previous resistance (now acting as support) reinforces a classic continuation setup.

From a price action perspective, the pullback respected the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone, which often acts as a healthy retracement in trending conditions. Volume expansion during impulsive moves further validates buyer dominance in the current structure.

As long as XAGUSD holds above its key support zone, the bullish bias remains valid, with potential continuation toward the next psychological resistance area.

Trade with confirmation, manage your risk, and avoid emotional decisions.

#XAGUSD #Silver #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Trading #Commodities #MarketStructure #RiskManagement

#usoil
U.S. oil on the 4H timeframe is compressing within a well-defined symmetrical triangle, with price repeatedly respecting both the descending resistance and ascending support trendlines, signaling a maturing consolidation phase after a complex corrective structure. The rejection near the upper boundary around the C leg suggests distribution rather than continuation, and the recent breakdown attempt from the lower trendline indicates sellers are beginning to gain control. Momentum has shifted from impulsive upside moves to corrective pullbacks, and the failure to hold above the rising support opens the door for a deeper bearish expansion. If price confirms acceptance below the structure, it favors a continuation move to the downside, likely evolving into a broader impulsive leg as liquidity beneath the triangle gets targeted.

👉🏻 “Your job is not to win.”
Unless you deeply understand this one sentence, you will trade forever in anxiety and fear.

👉🏻 Winning or losing is a “result,” not a “job.”
Your only job is to “consistently execute the rules.”

👉🏻And only through the accumulation of those actions will the “results” finally follow.

👉🏻 If that sounds like the mindset you’re aiming for, we already have a place ready for you.

Small losses keep you in the game long enough to see big wins. This separates professional traders from those who blow accounts.

Look at the GBPUSD structure above. We’ve been tracking this correction. We need one final push higher into the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci zone (1.351 - 1.359) to complete wave (5) of C..

Amateur traders see this volatility and panic. They cut winners early and hold losers too long. They think every red candle means disaster.

We think differently:

✅ Stick to the plan
✅ Risk max 1% per trade
✅ Let the structure confirm before entering
✅ Accept small losses as business costs

One high-RRR setup like this can recover 10 small stop losses. That’s how professional trading works.

Silver on the four hour timeframe is showing a corrective structure after a clear impulsive decline, with price carving out an ascending channel that looks like a classic counter-trend move rather than a true reversal. The internal structure suggests a completed five wave drop followed by an ABCDE-type consolidation, now approaching the upper boundary where liquidity is likely resting. Momentum is fading as the structure matures, indicating distribution rather than accumulation, and this zone aligns well with a potential lower high formation. A rejection from this channel resistance would confirm continuation to the downside, targeting the previous lows and possibly extending further as sellers regain control. The overall bias remains bearish unless a strong breakout and acceptance above the channel occurs, in which case the structure would need to be reassessed.

#audcad

AUDCAD on the three hour timeframe is printing a mature ascending channel with a clean five wave structure pushing into the upper boundary, suggesting the move is running out of momentum. The repeated taps into resistance combined with increasingly shallow pullbacks reflect exhaustion rather than strength, while the internal swings show a loss of impulsive behavior and more corrective overlap. This type of structure often precedes a liquidity sweep above the highs followed by a sharp rejection, trapping late buyers at the top. A failure to sustain above the channel resistance would likely trigger a rotation back toward the lower boundary, with downside expansion as sell-side pressure returns. The bias shifts cautiously bearish at this stage, with confirmation dependent on rejection and breakdown structure rather than blind anticipation.

Btc correction in the channel

AUDJPY on the 12H timeframe shows a mature impulsive structure completing a potential Elliott Wave cycle, with price rejecting from the wave (5) highs and now rotating lower. The break below the internal trendline signals weakening bullish momentum while price is likely seeking liquidity toward the higher timeframe ascending trendline and horizontal support around 105.00. This confluence zone becomes key either we see a reactive bounce confirming continuation within the broader uptrend, or a clean breakdown that opens the door for a deeper corrective phase. Short term flow remains bearish into support but higher timeframe structure still favors buy-side reactions unless that major trendline decisively fails.

On the 4H chart of USD/JPY, price has completed a clean five-wave impulsive structure within a rising channel, with wave 5 showing clear signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary. The rejection from this premium zone, followed by a decisive break below channel support, suggests a shift in market structure and a potential transition into a corrective phase. This move is likely a liquidity-driven distribution, trapping late buyers before continuation lower. As long as price remains below the broken trendline, bearish momentum is favored, with downside targets aligning toward previous inefficiency zones and demand around 156–157. Any pullback into the broken structure should be treated as a sell opportunity rather than a reversal, confirming that smart money is positioning for a deeper retracement.

Yet every day, we get messages: “When will DXY crash?” “Should I short the Dollar now?” “This rally can’t last forever!”

Here is the hard truth: Your opinion about what “should” happen is irrelevant. The market doesn’t care about your political views. It doesn’t care about your economic predictions. It only cares about one thing: the structure.

The structure says UP. The invalidation is clear at 98.880. Until that level breaks, fighting this trend is fighting the market itself.

This is why most retail traders lose money. They trade their emotions instead of the waves. They short strength and buy weakness because it “feels right.”

Professional traders do the opposite. We follow the structure. We wait for corrections to join the trend. We let the market tell us what it wants to do.

EURUSD on the four hour timeframe is compressing within a clean descending triangle, with consistent lower highs respecting the trendline while price keeps testing a rising support that is gradually losing strength. The internal structure shows a completed corrective phase, and the latest rejection from the upper boundary confirms sellers remain in control beneath the key resistance zone. Each bounce is weaker than the previous one, signaling distribution rather than accumulation, and the current pressure on support suggests a likely breakdown scenario. If price confirms below this structure, the market is positioned for a continuation move toward the next liquidity areas to the downside, with momentum favoring bears as the trend develops further.

AUDUSD on the 4H timeframe is approaching a critical decision zone as price compresses inside a descending structure while reacting to a well defined support area around 0.6900 the market has printed a series of lower highs showing bearish pressure but the repeated defense of this support suggests strong demand remains intact a clean rejection with bullish confirmation could trigger a relief rally towards the descending trendline and potentially 0.7050 while a decisive breakdown and close below support would invalidate the base and open continuation towards 0.6850 and lower liquidity zones smart money focus remains on reaction at support with patience required before committing to directional bias.

EURGBP on the daily timeframe is clearly respecting a well-defined range structure, with price repeatedly reacting from a solid demand zone around 0.8600 while facing consistent rejection near the 0.8780–0.8800 resistance band. The recent price action shows a higher low formation off support, suggesting buyers are gradually stepping in with strength, and the current bullish momentum points toward a potential retest of the resistance zone. However, given the multiple rejections at the top, this area remains a key supply zone where smart money may look to distribute positions. A clean breakout and daily close above 0.8800 would shift the bias toward continuation targeting higher liquidity, while failure to break could result in another rotation back toward the support base. For now, the market favors range-bound trading with a slight bullish tilt unless resistance decisively gives way

#EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸

The correction is still alive. Don’t rush the entry.

Wave 4 is painting a complex structure that’s testing every amateur trader’s patience. The recent bounce from 1.14162 (1.618 extension) looks corrective, not impulsive.

Current price action shows we’re likely in a Wave Y of the 4th wave.

Here’s what separates professionals from amateurs: We don’t chase every 50-pip wiggle. We wait for the correction to complete its full cycle before positioning for Wave 5.

The bigger picture remains bearish. But this is not your entry zone yet but soon!

USDCAD on the 4H timeframe is trading into a well-defined horizontal resistance aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, completing a corrective ABC structure after a clear 5-wave impulsive move to the downside. Price is showing rejection behavior at this confluence zone, suggesting liquidity grab above equal highs before potential continuation lower. As long as price holds below this resistance cluster, the bias remains bearish with expectations of a move back toward the range lows near 0.0% Fibonacci. A clean rejection candle or lower timeframe breakdown would offer confirmation for short positions, while a sustained break and close above 61.8% would invalidate the setup and shift momentum toward further upside expansion.

My opinion on gold

#XAGUSD 🥈
The initial rally is over. The pullback is in progress.

Silver is currently tracing out its Wave 2 correction. We are not buying blindly. We are letting the market drop into our prime accumulation zone: the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib levels ($78.62 - $74.91).