Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
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Evren

Quantitative Analyst | Algorithmic Trading Systems Developer

I build systematic trading strategies and trade discretionary when market conditions call for it—combining macro context, quantitative research, and disciplined risk management.
Over the past years, I’ve worked as a solo trader, proprietary trader, and quant/algo trader, focusing on FX and CFD markets. I design, backtest, and evaluate trading models for real-time decision-making, with strong attention to signal robustness, regime sensitivity, execution realism, and risk-adjusted performance.

Core Competencies:

* Research & Model Development: Hypothesis-driven strategy design, feature engineering, and signal validation.

* Robust Testing: Out-of-sample evaluation, scenario analysis, stress testing (Monte Carlo), and strict overfitting controls.

* Market Analysis: Translating economic data into actionable regime views.

Founder | The Next Tick Algo Systems
Focused on creating institutional-grade tools for retail traders. My goal is to bridge the gap between professional quant strategies and accessible automated trading.

I am open to collaboration on serious quantitative research and fintech projects.
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
🚨🔥 URGENT MARKET ALERT: Headline Risk Ahead! 🔥🚨

Hey everyone! As many of you have seen, the markets are facing major Headline Risk following President Trump’s surprise tariff announcements over the weekend. 📰💥

When massive macro news hits like this, the markets don't trend—they whipsaw with aggressive gaps and insane spread widening. 🎢💸

🛡️ WHAT YOU NEED TO DO (Sentinel EA Users):
I highly advise everyone to hit the PAUSE button on your trading bots for the next few hours! 🛑⏸️
Let the market digest this chaos. Do not start any new trading cycles heading into the US evening session.

💡 My Personal Setup Right Now:
Currently, my Sentinel EA has an open BUY position on EURUSD 💶📈. Given the current structure, I expect these positions to be cleared out shortly after the open.

Here is my exact game plan:
✅ I am leaving only the EURUSD chart running to manage and close that open trade.
⏸️ I am pausing all other charts and keeping them sidelined until European noon tomorrow when the dust settles! 🇪🇺🌤️

Remember, the goal of Sentinel is Capital Preservation. We trade structure, not news-driven chaos! 💪💼

Stay safe, protect your accounts, and let the market show its hand first! 🃏👀

Evren 🚀
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
11:02

Sentinel EA Official
🛡️ SENTINEL EA | WEEKLY PERFORMANCE UPDATE

🗓️ Feb 17, 2026 – Feb 19, 2026

A highly volatile week, but Sentinel delivered great performance. This is what controlled margin pressure and high-probability setups look like in real-time.

Here is the breakdown of the closed cycle:

✅ Trade 1: EURUSD SELL 🎯 +14.4 pips (+$2.88)

✅ Trade 2: EURUSD SELL 🎯 +3.3 pips (+$0.33)

✅ Trade 3: EURCAD SELL 🎯 +10.9 pips (+$0.80)

✅ Trade 4: EURCAD SELL 🎯 +10.6 pips (+$0.77)

✅ Trade 5: EURUSD SELL 🎯 +41.6 pips (+$4.16)

✅ Trade 6: EURCAD SELL 🎯 +24.6 pips (+$3.60)

❌ Trade 7: EURCAD SELL 🛑 -1.7 pips (-$0.12)

✅ Trade 8: EURUSD BUY 🎯 +12.7 pips (+$1.27)

✅ Trade 9: EURUSD SELL 🎯 +0.3 pips (+$0.03)

✅ Trade 10: EURUSD SELL 🎯 +17.7 pips (+$3.54)

✅ Trade 11: EURUSD SELL 🎯 +15.9 pips (+$3.18)

✅ Trade 12: EURUSD SELL 🎯 +2.0 pips (+$0.20)


12 Trades. 11 Wins. 1 Micro-Loss. 📉📈

Total Return: +152.3 pips | +$20.64


Current Active Exposure:

📉 EURUSD M5 SELL — Currently managing open position based on structural thesis.

👉 Live Signal: [https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2359514]


Let’s keep building. 💼

Evren
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
🛡️ Sentinel EA — End of Week Update

This week was defined by constant volatility, news-driven sharp price action, and a shortened trading schedule.

While most retail bots blow accounts trying to navigate this kind of chaos, Sentinel did exactly what it was engineered to do: it closed the week in solid profit. ✅

Why this matters for your account:
When you trade with a robust, stress-tested algorithm, volatility isn't something to fear—it's where the edge is realized. Sentinel doesn't guess; it executes its structural mean-reversion thesis regardless of the noise.

The market gave us a stress test this week. Sentinel passed. 📊

👉 Live verified performance: https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2359514

A quick reminder on the Launch Special:
The $49 entry price + FREE 1-on-1 Setup Coaching ($150 value) is strictly limited to the first 20 action-takers.

If you want to stop gambling through news events and start building a resilient portfolio, get in while the price is low and my calendar is open.

Have a great weekend,
Evren
Quantitative Analyst & Developer
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
🛡️ Sentinel EA — First Sale + What You're Actually Getting

I just got my first customer for Sentinel EA. Thank you for trusting the process.

Today the system closed several trades profitably, all while maintaining the same controlled drawdown approach. You can verify everything live here:

👉 Live Signal: [https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2359514]
👉 Product Page: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/164052

But Here's What Most People Don't Know:
Every Sentinel EA license includes The Trading Course — a complete foundation module normally valued at $150+.

What you get:

✅ Market Structure Fundamentals — How financial markets actually operate, key participants, and market dynamics
✅ Correctly Setup Trading Bots — Step-by-step configuration of your TheNextTick trading algorithm for optimal performance
✅ Risk Management Basics — Position sizing fundamentals and capital protection principles
✅ Bot Utilization Strategy — When to activate bots, which market conditions suit automated trading, and common mistakes to avoid
✅ Performance Monitoring — How to read bot performance metrics and interpret trading results
✅ Realistic Expectations — Understanding drawdowns, win rates, and what constitutes successful algorithmic trading

Outcome: You'll confidently deploy your trading algorithm with proper settings, understand what to expect, and know how to monitor performance effectively.

This isn't just an EA. It's a complete trading education disguised as a $49 algorithm.

📩 Important: After purchase, DM me directly to arrange your bonus course access and 1-on-1 setup session.

Launch price won't last. Let's build something sustainable together.

Evren
Quantitative Analyst & Developer
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
🚨 OFFICIAL LAUNCH: Sentinel EA is Live! 🚨

After 4,000+ hours of development, 10 years of stress testing, and 2.5 years of forward validation and weeks of live track record;

Sentinel EA MT5 is finally available on the Market. 🛡️📉

This isn't just another bot. It’s a Structural Mean Reversion System engineered for one thing: Low Margin Pressure & Long-Term Survival.

🔥 LAUNCH SPECIAL (First 20 Copies Only):
I am releasing Sentinel at an exclusive entry price of $49 to reward early adopters.

🎁 PLUS: A Massive Bonus for You
Every license includes a FREE 1-on-1 Private Coaching Session (Valued at $150).
We will set up the EA together, discuss risk management, and build your portfolio strategy.

👉 Check the Live Signal & Verified Results Here:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/164052

Don't miss the launch price. Let's trade smart, not hard. 💼🚀

#AlgoTrading #MQL5 #ForexTrading #SentinelEA #QuantitativeTrading
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
247 Days. One Trading Bot. Real Quantitative Results.

This is my first trading algorithm I have developed nearly 1.5 year ago. the results you see from this algo bot which trades on a mini real account for 247 consecutive days through one of the most volatile market periods of the last year.

📊 Key results:

☆ Total return: +57.7%

☆ Win rate: 69.6%

☆ Profit factor: 2.25

☆ Risk/Reward ratio: 6.34

☆ Peak drawdown: Controlled

☆ Trades per day: ~1.1

☆ Risk of ruin: 0.0%

What makes this meaningful is not the return alone.

🔍 From a quantitative trading perspective, the strategy demonstrates:


☆ Consistency across time, not short-term curve fitting.

☆ Low trade frequency, reducing noise and transaction risk.

☆ Positive expectancy, supported by a strong profit factor.

☆ Survival through high volatility, including rate-driven FX markets.

Over the last year, financial markets experienced:

Aggressive interest-rate cycles,

Elevated FX volatility,

Structural regime shifts rather than clean trends...

The algorithm remained stable throughout these conditions, which is one of the most important criteria for strategy reliability.

This is not a “holy grail” system.
It is a rules-based, risk-aware quantitative model focused on capital preservation first, returns second.
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
Robustness tests are an indispensable part of my algorithmic trading development process.
One of the most critical of these tests is the forward test.
Below are results from the same strategy, evaluated only on unseen data, with different parameterizations:
📉 In one case, the model completes the forward period with profit, but suffers a significant drawdown → limited robustness.
💥 In another, the model fails completely → clear overfitting.
📈 In a third case, the forward test shows stable and controlled equity growth → parameters that generalize.
Backtests can look convincing.
Forward tests reveal reality.
If a model cannot adapt beyond its calibration window, it is not robust — regardless of how good the backtest looks.
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
In the process of building a new trading bot, trade management is often just as important—if not more important—than identifying strong entries.

This screenshot shows a live sequence from my real account while testing a newly developed risk/execution layer: when the trained AI suspects that a reversal signal triggers, the bot exits quickly to avoid turning a good position into a bad one, then patiently looks for a clean re-entry—and after several attempts it still reaches take-profit.​

What this is really about: reducing downside during whipsaw conditions without getting emotionally attached to a position.

A few principles guiding the build:

*Risk-first execution: protect the position when conditions change, not when it’s already too late.

*Controlled re-entries: multiple attempts are allowed, but only inside strict risk limits.

*Real-market constraints: spread, slippage, and latency are treated as “part of the strategy,” not an afterthought.

Curious how others handle reversals:

Do you prefer to (1) close and reassess, (2) hedge, or (3) ride through noise with wider stops?
(Sharing for engineering discussion—not financial advice.)
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
✨✨✨**CYBELE UNBOUND HAS MADE NEW HIGHS THIS WEEK** ✨✨✨

Elevate your trading with a strategy trusted by professionals and engineered for consistent results.

Cybele Unbound has distinct features:

- 👑 Developed by a trader with a track-record success.
- 😎 Backed by personal assistance from me.
- 💸Can be used with low capital.
- ⏰Being in the market for more than a year already; its robustness and reliability is tested by more than 100 users.
- 🛡️It does not rely on traditional technical indicators which makes the trading algorithm original and robust.
- ⚙️Depending on your trading style, you can switch on and off the grid system.
- 🚀 The algorithm can be optimized with 1 minute OHLC bars, which will safe you a huge time.

- **CAN BE USED WITH PROP FIRMS**

🚀🚀🚀 DON'T MISS THE OPPORTUNITY OF CONSISTENT MONEY MAKING: GRAP ONE WITHOUT THE NEXT PRICE INCREASE!

💪CHECK THE LIVE TRADING:
https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/759133

🏆 GET YOUR COPY NOW
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/118056?source=Site+Market+MT5+Search+Rating006%3acybele+unbound
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
✨✨✨**CYBELE UNBOUND HAS MADE NEW HIGHS THIS WEEK** ✨✨✨

Elevate your trading with a strategy trusted by professionals and engineered for consistent results.

Cybele Unbound has distinct features:

- 👑 Developed by a trader with a track-record success.
- 😎 Backed by personal assistance from me.
- 💸Can be used with low capital.
- ⏰Being in the market for more than a year already; its robustness and reliability is tested by more than 100 users.
- 🛡️It does not rely on traditional technical indicators which makes the trading algorithm original and robust.
- ⚙️Depending on your trading style, you can switch on and off the grid system.
- 🚀 The algorithm can be optimized with 1 minute OHLC bars, which will safe you a huge time.

- **CAN BE USED WITH PROP FIRMS**

🚀🚀🚀 DON'T MISS THE OPPORTUNITY OF CONSISTENT MONEY MAKING: GRAP ONE WITHOUT THE NEXT PRICE INCREASE!

💪CHECK THE LIVE TRADING:
https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/759133

🏆 GET YOUR COPY NOW
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/118056?source=Site+Market+MT5+Search+Rating006%3acybele+unbound
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
✨✨✨**CYBELE UNBOUND HAS MADE NEW HIGHS THIS WEEK** ✨✨✨

Elevate your trading with a strategy trusted by professionals and engineered for consistent results.

Cybele Unbound has distinct features:

- 👑 Developed by a trader with a track-record success.
- 😎 Backed by personal assistance from me.
- 💸Can be used with low capital.
- ⏰Being in the market for more than a year already; its robustness and reliability is tested by more than 100 users.
- 🛡️It does not rely on traditional technical indicators which makes the trading algorithm original and robust.
- ⚙️Depending on your trading style, you can switch on and off the grid system.
- 🚀 The algorithm can be optimized with 1 minute OHLC bars, which will safe you a huge time.

- **CAN BE USED WITH PROP FIRMS**

🚀🚀🚀 DON'T MISS THE OPPORTUNITY OF CONSISTENT MONEY MAKING: GRAP ONE WITHOUT THE NEXT PRICE INCREASE!

💪CHECK THE LIVE TRADING:
https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/759133

🏆 GET YOUR COPY NOW
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/118056?source=Site+Market+MT5+Search+Rating006%3acybele+unbound
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
✨✨✨**CYBELE UNBOUND HAS MADE NEW HIGHS LAST WEEK** ✨✨✨

If you are tired of losing, just contact me and let's convert your trading from losing to winning.

Cybele Unbound has distinct features:

- 👑 Developed by a trader with a track-record success.
- 😎 Backed by personal assistance from me.
- 💸Can be used with low capital.
- ⏰Being in the market for more than a year already; its robustness and reliability is tested by more than 100 users.
- 🛡️It does not rely on traditional technical indicators which makes the trading algorithm original and robust.
- ⚙️Depending on your trading style, you can switch on and off the grid system.
- 🚀 The algorithm can be optimized with 1 minute OHLC bars, which will safe you a huge time.

- **CAN BE USED WITH PROP FIRMS**

🚀🚀🚀 DON'T MISS THE OPPORTUNITY OF CONSISTENT MONEY MAKING: GRAP ONE WITHOUT THE NEXT PRICE INCREASE!

💪CHECK THE LIVE TRADING:
https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/759133

🏆 GET YOUR COPY NOW
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/118056?source=Site+Market+MT5+Search+Rating006%3acybele+unbound
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
✨✨✨**CYBELE UNBOUND HAS MADE NEW HIGHS THIS WEEK**  ✨✨✨

If you are tired of losing, just contact me and let's convert your trading from losing to winning.

 Cybele Unbound has distinct features:

- 👑 Developed by a trader with a track-record success.
- 😎 Backed by personal assistance from me.
- 💸Can be used with low capital.
- ⏰Being in the market for more than a year already; its robustness and reliability is tested by more than 100 users.
- 🛡️It does not rely on traditional technical indicators which makes the trading algorithm original and robust.
- ⚙️Depending on your trading style, you can switch on and off the grid system. 
- 🚀 The algorithm can be optimized with 1 minute OHLC bars, which will safe you a huge time. 

- **CAN BE USED WITH PROP FIRMS**

🚀🚀🚀 DON'T MISS THE OPPORTUNITY OF CONSISTENT MONEY MAKING: GRAP ONE WITHOUT THE NEXT PRICE INCREASE!

💪CHECK THE LIVE TRADING:
https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/759133

🏆 GET YOUR COPY NOW 
 https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/118056?source=Site+Market+MT5+Search+Rating006%3acybele+unbound
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
Cybele Unbound v4.1 is cruising very well. Here is 84 days trade results:
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
Hello,

Developing a set file for a pair is a tidy and responsible work. The end is often not good if you run an EA on every possible pair you think the generated results are good. There are many considerations like total risk of the portfolio and the covariance among pairs.

For Cybele Unbound, I have added another set file for AUDCAD for M15 time frame. You can access it on the main page:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/118056?source=External

It is important you to understand, spreading the risk is extremenly important for long term success. That said, it is better to run 0.3k risk sets from 3 pairs instead 1k risk of 3 pairs.

You can now add AUDCAD set into your portfolio. All these sets are developed in consideration with low budget. You can check the performance from live trading signal:
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2293189?source=Site+Signals+My
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
Cybele Unbound completed the last week with %12.5 profit. My all aim is to present a robust trading system that will bring my customers profitability consistently and safely. New sets are on the way! Have a great week!
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
This version of Cybele Unbound has more customizable for many trading instruments. I continue to add new set files. Stability and risk & return profile of AUDCAD is also good and added to the list of available set files. The increase in portfolio RR is also worth looking.
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
Hello Friends,

Cybele Unbound has been updated. Now it has more trades and more open to be used with other pairs. I have provided 2 sets for NASDAQ and EURUSD. Feel free to ask if you have any questions.
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
Forex trading is one of the largest and most dynamic markets in the world, is active 24 hours a day, five days a week. However, not all trading days are equal. Each day of the week presents distinct opportunities and challenges for traders, shaped by market volatility, liquidity, and the opening and closing times of the major financial centers. Understanding how the days of the week impact forex trading can give traders a significant edge in crafting their strategies.



More:





https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/759504
Evren Caglar
Evren Caglar
Do we know our criteria when choosing expert advisor. I put some lights on this topic:

Understanding Trading Algorithms and How to Select the Right Expert Advisor

https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/759452
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