Daniel Stein / Профиль

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone,

We hope all of you had a great and relaxing long weekend.

After such a long trading break with 2 bank holidays, I prefer to await the London Opening before judging the situation.

Volume-wise we see the following after the Asian session: The USD lost the most while EUR, AUD, and NZD rose on the Net Long side. All this is also covered by a rising market interest, but the total market volume currently stagnates at a high level.

We’ll see if the USD continues its downtrend, or if one of the other currencies tries a breakout.

All the best and happy trading
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

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I'd like to explain to you how we gather the real trading volume and how we provide it to our customers.
I'll number every sentence so that you can refer to a specific number/sentence in case of questions.

1. If you open an EURUSD BUY Trade with 0.2 lot, your broker has to take the counter position of 0.2 lot EURUSD SELL
2. If your broker just routes your order to the liquidity pool, there is an institution playing the counterpart that takes this 0.2 lot EURUSD SELL

3. Via our data provider, we get the information that there is a 0.2 lot EURUSD BUY Trade running. It's anonymous, but we know it's an open live trading position.
4. We get and summarize all this trading information from many users, many brokers, and tons of trades - all centralized and anonymous from our data provider

5. Now we see how the crowd of retail traders is positioned for EURUSD. Do they buy, sell, or is it balanced?
6. This allows us to analyze if their judgement is right. Does the EU price go up when most retail traders, like you, have EURUSD BUY positions running.

7. Unfortunately, they are seldom right. In the utmost cases, the prices move in the exact opposite direction.
8. Maybe because the big boys of the counterpart side (point 1 and 2) know exactly where the retailers stand. So, it's easy for them to squeeze the retailers out.

9. Because of point 7, we analyze where the retailers stand and display it from the opposite side, the big boys' perspective.
10. If the retail crowd is 80% bullish (BUY) for the EUR, we display the EUR 80% bearish (SELL) in FX Volume because that's how the big boys see it because they hold the counter bet. And that's why FX Volume is so outstanding precise.

I hope this helps to get a better understanding, and please ask if there are questions left.

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

today is the last trading day of this week due to the upcoming Easter holidays in Europe and overseas. So, we see a very instable market environment with dropping total market volume, as we usually see on a Friday before the weekend.

That said, I don’t expect any serious trading opportunities today, and so I’ll enjoy a sunny day off and the profits we achieved this week.

Due to Monday being another Easter holiday too, the next Morning Briefing will be published on Tuesday next week.

Enjoy the days off with family and friends.

All the best
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Update on today’s Morning Briefing

The AUD did exactly what we expected this morning and continued its downtrend. So, most of our trades hit their profit target.
The AUDNZD trade was pointless because there was no more power in the NZD, as also expected and bespoken this morning.
Anyway, it’s well documented and we learned something of it.

However, we're very happy with the overall result, the precision of our morning analysis and the profits achieved. 😎

All the best and happy trading
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

today we’re starting with a healthy and stable market, as you can see at the rising total volume history line below the panels. The NZD BUY trend is a result of today’s RBNZ rate decision, who decided to rise the interest rates for the NZD with 0.5% more than expected. However, this explosive move happened directly afterward, and so we can ignore NZD for today.

We focus on AUD, which provides the second most significant change in terms of Net Long and Total Volume. So, we expect the AUD to continue it’s indicated SELL trend as long as these conditions remain stable.

All the best and happy trading
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Trading result of the previous message

Update on todays Morning Briefing

Around an hour after the London opening, we noticed the GBP started to rise in terms of its Net Long Volume, and it’s Total Volume. So, we took the chance and traded the GBP against all other currencies.

Another 45 minutes later, it’s been 100%  clear that the GBP is the currency in the focus at the London session, with a rise of almost 10% in total in a stable market environment with rising interest.

So even with a late entry, one would have achieved great profits with zero drawdown.

We closed the trades now, and are happy with our profits before the NY session starts.

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

as you can see, there is not much to expect from the market so far. The total volume drops constantly, and besides the AUD weakness as consequence of the RBA interest rate decision, there is nothing promising visible. But because this AUD down move is NOT covered by a rising volume, we’ll let it go without trading, and just monitor.

We’ll see which currency comes up next as soon with a rising market interest in form of new trading positions.

All the best and happy trading
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

at the beginning of this new trading week, we see (again) a mixed picture in terms of retail trading volume. The USD shows the most significant change in its Net Long Volume, with almost 30% changing to the Long side, and covered by a rising interest in USD positions. 

However, the total volume in USD positions and the total market volume, which is dominated by the USD pairs, already dropped since the London pre-market opened. And we also see that most of the USD pairs reversed since then.

So, I highly recommend waiting until the market stabilizes, and have another look at it as soon as we see this total volume history line rise again.

Best regards
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

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Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

today we see a mixed picture in terms of retail trading volume. The NZD provides us with a seductive setup ticking all boxes, but the total market volume has dropped slightly since it’s peak around 4 hours ago as illustrated by the history line below the panel. When checking the NZD pairs, you’ll also see that this uptrend is already over.

So, this will be another Friday where I don’t think it’s worth risking anything. Of course, there will be some movement in the market, mostly during the NY session, but we ignore it because it doesn’t suit our trading approach.

So, we’re happy with the profits achieved and look forward to the next week, and it’s upcoming trading opportunities.

All the best, and happy weekend
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Trading result of the previous message

Update on todays Morning Briefing

The London session was, as expected, pretty boring due to the constantly dropping volume across all currencies, but right upfront the NY session a new opportunity appeared on the USD. The FXV screenshot was taken at 13:02 London Time.

Why did we take the USD, and not GBP? 
Because the USD showed the much bigger change in the Net Long Volume related to it’s total volume than the GBP did.

I hope you guys had a great trading day too.

All the best
Daniel

Back to our daily volume analysis:

The FX Volume panels provide us with a pretty strong NZD downtrend during the last 8 hours, which is unfortunately already over, as we can see in the NZD total volume history line and NZDUSD as the main force in this currency. We’ll see if there is something better coming up during the London session.

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

Today, I’d like to explain why the Myfxbook calendar is becoming more and more ridiculous. This screenshot displays high-impact news for the EUR and lists inflation rates for German federal states, states that are smaller than US cities. This is nuts, or do we really care about the inflation rate of Las Vegas or Miami or the Provence (France) or Tuscany (Italy) when trading? Due to this misleading classification of news events, I clearly prefer using the ForexFactory calendar.

Update on today’s Morning Briefing

Due to an appointment this morning, I had to take the JPY trades very early, and way before the London Opening. In hindsight, it would have been better to wait for a FXV/FXP Divergence, but the result is positive anyway. 

AJ and NJ hit their SL, which cost us 2R in total. The 4 other JPY pairs hit their TP, which brought us 8R of profit. So, ultimately, we closed the day with a 6R profit, which also covers our yesterday's loss of 3R.

I hope you guys have been successful, too, and I’m excited to provide you the next volume analysis tomorrow morning.

All the best,
Daniel

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

Today we see a clear downtrend for the JPY. More than one quarter of all JPY positions turned sell, covered by a massively rising interest in JPY positions. However, it seems the JPY pairs struggle at their today's highs, and the London session lacks of dynamic in supporting this trend so far.

However, the JPY is, volume-wise, the only interesting currency so far, and we have some high-impact USD news coming up which needs to be considered in today's trading, too.

So, if you’re unsure, better stay out until you feel comfortable with a new opportunity.

All the best and happy trading
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS

Stein Investments Morning Briefing

⚠️ This informal service is currently in a beta stadium and no trading advice. Please do your own research before trading. ⚠️

Good morning everyone, 

Today we see a clear downtrend for the USD, and more or less strong uptrends in most other currencies. We assume this situation remains stable until the NY session, and the upcoming news later today.

All the best and happy trading
Daniel

Get your daily update with details and screenshots at our Telegram News channel at https://t.me/STEIN_INVESTMENTS_NEWS