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Termos de Referência
CHAPTER 1: BASICS
1.THE BASICS
1.1. EXPANSION AND RETRACEMENT
Expansion =>occurs when there is an impulse
movement towards a direction.
Retracement => is the correction movement
after an impulse movement.
1.2. FIBBONACCI RETRACEMENT
USED TO DETERMINE THE END OF THE
RETRACTION MOVEMENT, USUALLY THE PRICE
RETRACTS TO 50% OR UNTIL OTE (0.62, 0.705,
0.79) BEFORE ANOTHER IMPULSE MOVEMENT
OCCURS.
1.3. BMS - BREAK IN MARKET STRUCTURE
BMS occurs when the price closes above / below
a swing high/low, generally, every trader should
trade in the direction of the Higher Time Frame
BMS.
NOTES:
AFTER BMS ALWAYS WAIT FOR RETRACEMENT.
1.4. Range High and Range Low
After the BMS there will always be the
formation of a new consolidation, that is called
RH and RL.
NOTES:
=> Trade in the direction of the BMS
=> After BMS Wait for retracement to 50% OR
OTE of Fibonacci levels.
1.5. FAILURE SWING (SMS)
When there is an uptrend market and the
price fails to break the last top (Swing High)
and breaks the previous bottom (Swing Low),
an SMS is considered to have occurred (vice
versa for Bearish).
2. MARKET STRUCTURE
The price can simply be found in one of the 3
phases below:
1.In a CONSOLIDATION
2.In an UPTREND
3.In a DOWNTREND
2.1. Market Structure In Bullish Conditions
The bullish market is characterized by making
Higher Highs and Higher Lows, but this
characterization is not enough, it is necessary
to say that bullish markets are always
breaking swing Highs and respecting swing
lows.
[VICE VERSA FOR BEARISH CONDITION]
The fact that the price has broken a swing high,
indicates that higher prices should be expected,
so it is negotiated in the trend in which the
market structure was broken.
2.1. Market Structure In Bullish Conditions
[VICE VERSA FOR BEARISH CONDITIONS]
NOTES:
=> The Price is breaking the highs only
=> After BMS the price Retract to 50%/OTE
of Fibbo Levels.
OTE
OTE[LRB]
2.1. Market Structure In Bullish Conditions
[VICE VERSA FOR BEARISH CONDITIONS]
LRB- Low Risk Buy
2.1. Market Structure In Bullish Conditions
[VICE VERSA FOR BEARISH CONDITIONS]
"Trade In Direction Of BMS"
CHAPTER 3: LIQUIDITY
The FOREX market is a zero sum game, which
means that for a trader/institution to buy/sell 1
currency pair it's necessary that there is another
trader/institution with an opposite position.
If Smart Money (Banks) want to buy a currency
pair they will need sellers in the market, the
existing facility to place these positions In the
market is called LIQUIDITY.
The Liquidity is defined by Stop losses, where
the Stop losses exist is where the liquidity
also exists, Smart Money need to activate the
stop losses of existing orders in the market so
that they can place their positions in the
market.
The banks manipulate the price because of
liquidity, but why? banks negotiate large
trading volumes and sometimes find it
difficult to find the other side of their
trades, so they manipulate the price so that
they can have their positions in the market.
3.1. LIQUIDITY TYPES
Buy Stops Liquidity (BSL)
Sell Stops Liquidity (SSL)
In the FOREX market there are two types of
liquidity, which are:
3.2. Buy Stops Liquidity (BSL)
The BSL is originated by Stop Losses of sell
orders, after the BSL is taken, the market
reverses to the downside, because banks use
the BSL to place sell orders in the market.
3.3. What to focus on (for BSL)
PMH - Previous Month High
PWH - Previous Week High
PDH - Previous Day High
HOD - High Of Day
OLD HIGH - Swing High
EQUAL HIGHS = Retail Resistance
3.4. Sell Stops Liquidity (SSL)
The SSL is originated by Stop Losses of Buy
orders, after the SSL is taken, the market
reverses to the Upside, because banks use the
SSL to place Buy orders in the market.
3.5. What to focus on (for SSL)
PML - Previous Month Low
PWL - Previous Week Low
PDL - Previous Day Low
LOD - Low Of Day
OLD LOW - Swing Low
EQUAL LOWS = Retail Support
When BSL is taken, the market reverses to the
downside.
When SSL is taken, the market reverses to the
upside.
SH is a movement used to neutralize liquidity
(stop losses). It's a false breakout above /
below the zone where there is LIQUIDITY.
THE MARKET MARKERS (BANKS) USUALLY USE
HIGH IMPACT NEWS TO TAKE LIQUIDITY.
3.6. Stop Hunt: Manipulation For Liquidity
High Impact News Events
The High Impact News Events are used to
hunt liquidity in the market, always pay
attention to the news calendar, to know the
pairs that will move, generally, pairs with
many news forecasts("High Impact"), those
pairs are going to move (trending) during
the day or week.
CHAPTER 4:ORDER BLOCK
4. ORDER BLOCKS [OB]
Bullish Order Blocks
Bearish Order Blocks
Order Blocks are candles where Market
Makers (Banks) have placed their positions,
generally, the market returns to those
candles and they are never violated ("if they
are really OB's")
There're 2 types of Order Blocks:
Bullish order blocks
Bearish order blocks
4.1. BULLISH ORDER BLOCK
The Bullish Order Block is the last bearish
candle before the bullish movement, that
Break The Market Structure Higher.
Represents a high possibility of holding the
price, when the price returns to it.
The Bearish Candle
Before The Bullish
Movement, that
BMS Higher
4.2. BEARISH ORDER BLOCK
The Bearish Order Block is the last bullish
candle before the bearish movement, that
Break The Market Structure Lower.
Represents a high possibility of holding the
price, when the price returns to it.
The Bullish Candle
Before The Bearish
Movement, that
BMS Lower
Chapter 5: DAILY RANGE PRICE ACTION
The Daily Range is defined by: Open Price, Low
Of Day, High Of Day and Close Price.
5. DAILY RANGE PRICE ACTION
The Daily Range is defined by 3 important
sessions, which are:
Asian Session
London Session
New York Session
5.2. Asian Session
The Asian session is characterized by being a
consolidation (of 20 - 40 pips), due to the lack
of liquidity in the market.
Delimitation:
The session starts from 02:00 until 08:00 (UTC
+2).
5.2. London Session
The London Session is characterized by
making the Low Of Day or High Of Day, it can
be used to take traders to the opposite side of
the true direction of the day (Because Of
Liquidity).
Delimitation:
Not the whole London session need attention,
focus on the first 2-3 Hours at the beginning of
the session: From 09:00 until 11:00/12:00
UTC(+2).
5.3. New York Session
The NY session is characterized by being a
retraction after the London Session made
the Low/High of the day, sometimes the NY
session can make the Low/High of the day.
Delimitation:
Not the whole NY session need attention,
focus on the first 2-3 Hours at the beginning
of the session: From 14:00 until 16:00/17:00
UTC(+2)
5.4.Accumulation, Manipulation And Distribution
[AMD]
Accumulation:
The accumulation of positions generally occurs
during the Asian session, the accumulation is
characterized by being a consolidation (Asian
session), but it may not be the Asian session.
Manipulation
usually occurs at the opening of the London
session (sometimes it can be NY open), this
Manipulation consists of taking the price to
the opposite side of the true direction of the
rest of the day.
Distribution:
occurs when MMs liquidate (Exit) their
positions.
The Market Makers (Banks) Buy/Sell
below/Above the Asian Session/open price
(Because Of Liquidity).
Asian Session/Open Price:
Below: Sell Stops Liquidity [SSL].
Above: Buy Stops Liquidity [BSL].
Chapter 6: POWERFUL SETUPS
TURTLE SOUP
Turtle Soup is the same as Stop Hunt, is a
movement used to neutralize liquidity (stop
losses). It's a false breakout above / below the
zone where there is liquidity.
Turtle Soup Short [TSS]
Represent a short setup, it's a false break
above a zone where Buy Stops Liquidity Exist.
Turtle Soup Long [TSL]
Represent a long setup, it's a false break
Below a zone where Sell Stops Liquidity Exist.
How To Trade Turtle Soup
The price usually Sweeps 5-20 pips (even more)
above or below a point where liquidity Exist,
after the price sweep the point, enter a trade
against the movement used to Sweep Stops
(Liquidity) with Minimum 10 pips SL (In Lower
Time Frames).
That means:
BSL Raid => Turtle Soup Short
SSL Raid => Turtle Soup Long
Stop Hunt, Break In Market Structure and
Return To Order Block [SH, BMS, RTO]
Where Market Makers (Banks) have taken
liquidity (SH), they have placed positions in
these areas and generally the price must not
exceed these levels.
Failure Swing (SMS), Break In Market Structure
and Return To Order Block [SMS + BMS + RTO]
When the price fails to break a top or bottom, it
shows that the trend is ending and a reversal
may occur
How To Trade SMS + BMS + RTO
First, the price fails to break a top or
bottons.
Second, there's a Break In Market
Structure (BMS), Confirming the SMS.
Third, the price Return To Order Block
(RTO).
Accumulation, Manipulation And Distribution
[AMD]
How To Trade AMD:
- Accumulation: the price will be ranging.
- Manipulation: the price will break the range
direction to trap traders (Because of Liquidity)
- Distribution: the price will go against the
Manipulation movement, and here, look to go
long/short on: Simple RTOs, SH + BMS + RTO,
SMS + BMS + RTO.
Go long on:
Simple RTO
SH+BMS+RTO
SMS+BMS+RTO
CONFLUENCE
Confluence is very important to increase the
chances of winning trades, a trader needs to
have at least two factors of confluence to open
a trade. When the confluence exists, the
trader becomes more confident on his
negotiations.
The Factors Of Confluence Are:
Higher Time Frame Analysis;
Trade during London Open;
Trade during New York Open;
Refine Higher Time Frame key levels in Lower
Time Frame entries;
Combine setups;
Trade during High Impact News Events.
7.2. HTF analysis, LTF Entries
Refine HTF key levels in LTF entries or setups
for confirmation that the HTF analysis will
hold the price.
HTF Key Levels Are:
HTF Order Blocks;
HTF Liquidity Pools;
HTF Market Structure.
Note: It's not mandatory to refine all HTF key levels.
Time Frame Setups
For Swing Trading
HTF: Weekly, Daily, H4.
Entries: H1, M30, M15 (Sometimes on H4).
For Short Term Trading
HTF: Daily, H4, H1
Entries: M30, M15 (Sometimes on H1).
For Day Trades and Scalps
HTF: H4, H1, M30
Entries: M15, M5, M1 (Sometimes on M30).
Day Trades and Scalps
Highlight:
Asian Range (To buy High or Sell Low) "If it's
possible".
Enter a trade during:
London Open
New York Open
Price retesting HTF Key Levels
High Impact News Events.
SCREESHORTS OF HOW THE STRATEGY WORKS WILL BE PROVIDED.
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