Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
- Trader & Analyst en Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research
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Piyush Ratnu is an independent forex market analyst & trader with core expertise in XAUUSD/Spot Gold.
With more than 15 years of experience as a Financial Market Analyst, Piyush Ratnu held the responsibility of developing and refining a series of algorithms & analytic tools to simplify the trading processes. His tools and algorithms were defined and rated as “unlike tools seen in the market before, extensively designed and most importantly, functional and logical” by some of the top financial companies and analysts at New York, London and Dubai.
Piyush Ratnu holds an experience of 290,000 trades, 1,790,000 pips calculated with a remarkable trading execution rate of 2 trades per second in an ideal scenario with profit booking in less than 8 seconds tracing 60+ pips/trade, as per audited and verified track record of last 10 years.
Core strength:
Economics, Economic Data Analysis, Spot Gold (XAUUSD), USD Majors, SR MTF Range Trading, Chart Patterns,
Volume Trading, Day Trading & Position Trading
Trading style
Fundamental based Intra-day trading.
Analysis based on proprietary algorithm 130+ parameters.
Core focus: XAUUSD | Spot Gold
Motto
Plan your trade, and then trade your plan!
Ai Verified Track Record since 2021:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/most-accurate-xauusd-spot-gold-price-projection-and-ai-verified-research-generated-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/
XAUUSD Daily Price Projection:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
MyFxBook:
X.com: https://x.com/piyushratnu
Insta: https://www.instagram.com/piyushratnuofficial
Connect for more details:
Telegram: https://www.T.me/PiyushRatnuOfficial
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading in foreign exchange (“Forex”) on margins entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not an indication of future results. In this case, as well, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and for you. Trading foreign exchange, indices and commodities, on margin, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all individuals.
The information made available by Piyush Ratnu is for your general information only and is not intended to address your particular requirements. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making, or refraining from making, any investment decisions.
Piyush Ratnu does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position(s) of Piyush Ratnu.
With more than 15 years of experience as a Financial Market Analyst, Piyush Ratnu held the responsibility of developing and refining a series of algorithms & analytic tools to simplify the trading processes. His tools and algorithms were defined and rated as “unlike tools seen in the market before, extensively designed and most importantly, functional and logical” by some of the top financial companies and analysts at New York, London and Dubai.
Piyush Ratnu holds an experience of 290,000 trades, 1,790,000 pips calculated with a remarkable trading execution rate of 2 trades per second in an ideal scenario with profit booking in less than 8 seconds tracing 60+ pips/trade, as per audited and verified track record of last 10 years.
Core strength:
Economics, Economic Data Analysis, Spot Gold (XAUUSD), USD Majors, SR MTF Range Trading, Chart Patterns,
Volume Trading, Day Trading & Position Trading
Trading style
Fundamental based Intra-day trading.
Analysis based on proprietary algorithm 130+ parameters.
Core focus: XAUUSD | Spot Gold
Motto
Plan your trade, and then trade your plan!
Ai Verified Track Record since 2021:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/most-accurate-xauusd-spot-gold-price-projection-and-ai-verified-research-generated-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/
XAUUSD Daily Price Projection:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
MyFxBook:
X.com: https://x.com/piyushratnu
Insta: https://www.instagram.com/piyushratnuofficial
Connect for more details:
Telegram: https://www.T.me/PiyushRatnuOfficial
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading in foreign exchange (“Forex”) on margins entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not an indication of future results. In this case, as well, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and for you. Trading foreign exchange, indices and commodities, on margin, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all individuals.
The information made available by Piyush Ratnu is for your general information only and is not intended to address your particular requirements. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making, or refraining from making, any investment decisions.
Piyush Ratnu does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position(s) of Piyush Ratnu.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
USDJPY - XAUUSD Co-relations:
USDJPY: S1-R2 achieved
XAUUSD: R1-S2 (ahead)
USDJPY $146.775-147.935 +
Expected impact on XAUUSD:
$35/50 | $3373-50 = $3323
BZ $3333/3309/3285 on radar
Reversal scenario:
USDJPY RT (-) = XAUUSD +
1000P/$30
USDJPY: S1-R2 achieved
XAUUSD: R1-S2 (ahead)
USDJPY $146.775-147.935 +
Expected impact on XAUUSD:
$35/50 | $3373-50 = $3323
BZ $3333/3309/3285 on radar
Reversal scenario:
USDJPY RT (-) = XAUUSD +
1000P/$30
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
WHY XAUUSD is crashing?
The risk-on market environment continues to diminish the safe-haven appeal of the US Dollar (USD) and Gold price.
The ECB is widely expected to hold key interest rates following its July policy meeting later this Thursday.
Markets will also closely follow the developments surrounding the ongoing feud between US President Donald Trump and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as the former is set to visit the Fed today.
The risk-on market environment continues to diminish the safe-haven appeal of the US Dollar (USD) and Gold price.
The ECB is widely expected to hold key interest rates following its July policy meeting later this Thursday.
Markets will also closely follow the developments surrounding the ongoing feud between US President Donald Trump and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as the former is set to visit the Fed today.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
USDJPY 1000 P crash observed after 85% RT of price gap witnessed early morning.
What it indicates?
This price action indicates strengthening YEN, resulting in lower USD = XAUUSD +.
USDJPY: (-) 1000P = XAUUSD $30/45+
$3355+30= $3385/3404 zone on radar.
What it indicates?
This price action indicates strengthening YEN, resulting in lower USD = XAUUSD +.
USDJPY: (-) 1000P = XAUUSD $30/45+
$3355+30= $3385/3404 zone on radar.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔴 XAUUSD
H1VS5 achieved
$3312-3308 achieved
Exit ALL SELL Positions
💬I will NOT SHORT XAUUSD
🟢I will ONLY BUY LOWS at my BUYING ZONES.
H1VS5 achieved
$3312-3308 achieved
Exit ALL SELL Positions
💬I will NOT SHORT XAUUSD
🟢I will ONLY BUY LOWS at my BUYING ZONES.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
WHY XAUUSD price crashed today?
🔴Gold drops over 1% as US Dollar and Treasury yields strengthen.
🔴Trump delays tariff deadline to August 1, calming trade nerves.
🔴Traders scale back 2025 Fed cut expectations to just 48 basis points
+NFP Data published on Thursday, gave additional strength to Dollar and co-related assets boosting risk sentiment impacting XAUUSD price negatively.
I had projected $3285 (check here: https://t.me/c/1654158888/17434) as a possible price target, today 70% positions were observed on LONG, and a crash in GOLD price generated a good retail revenue for the GOLD LPs.
CMP $3303 XAUUSD Spot Gold
🔴Gold drops over 1% as US Dollar and Treasury yields strengthen.
🔴Trump delays tariff deadline to August 1, calming trade nerves.
🔴Traders scale back 2025 Fed cut expectations to just 48 basis points
+NFP Data published on Thursday, gave additional strength to Dollar and co-related assets boosting risk sentiment impacting XAUUSD price negatively.
I had projected $3285 (check here: https://t.me/c/1654158888/17434) as a possible price target, today 70% positions were observed on LONG, and a crash in GOLD price generated a good retail revenue for the GOLD LPs.
CMP $3303 XAUUSD Spot Gold
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Through the first half of 2025, gold-backed funds globally reported the highest semi-annual inflows of metal since H1 2020 in the early months of the pandemic.
After modest outflows of gold in May, flows flipped positive in June with ETFs globally adding 74.6 tonnes of gold to their holdings.
Every region reported positive flows last month.
Through the first half of 2025, gold-backed funds globally increased their holdings by 397.1 tonnes.
Gold inflows totaled $38 billion through the first half of the year. That drove total assets under management (AUM) higher by 41 percent to $383 billion. That broke a month-end record and hit the highest level in 34 months.
North American funds led the way, increasing their gold holdings by 206.8 tonnes. Total H1 inflows totaled $21 billion. It was the strongest H1 for North American gold ETFs in five years.
European funds increased their gold holdings by 78.9 tonnes, totaling $6 billion through the first half of 2025. According to the World Gold Council, “The eighth cut from the European Central Bank, uncertainties surrounding growth, and rising geopolitical risks generally, contributed to gold ETF demand in several major markets.”
Asian ETFs increased their gold reserves by a record 104.3 tonnes in H1, totaling $ 11 billion. Asian investors bought a record amount of gold ETFs during H1, making up 28 percent of net global flows with only 9 percent of the total AUM.
China’s inflows of 85 tonnes totaling $8.8 were unprecedented, driven by spiking trade risks with the U.S., growth concerns, and the surging gold price.
Funds listed in other regions, including Australia and Africa, added 7.2 tonnes of gold to their holdings. ETFs based in Australia and South Africa were the main contributors.
ETFs are a convenient way for investors to play the gold market, but owning ETF shares is not the same as holding physical gold.
Why ETF Volumes are increasing?
ETFs are relatively liquid.
You can buy or sell an ETF with a couple of mouse clicks. You don’t have to worry about transporting or storing metal. In a nutshell, it allows investors to play the gold market without buying full ounces of metal at the spot price.
Since you are just buying a number in a computer, you can easily trade your ETF shares for another stock or cash whenever you want, even multiple times on the same day. Many speculative investors take advantage of this liquidity.
But while a gold ETF is a convenient way to play the price of gold on the market, you don’t actually possess any gold. You have paper. And you don’t know for sure that the fund has all the gold either, especially when the fund sees inflows. In such a scenario, there have been difficulties or delays in obtaining physical metal.
🟢Gold trading volumes
Gold market trading volumes averaged $329 billion per day through the first half of the year. That was the highest semi-annual average on record.
Over-the-counter trading increased to an average of $165 billion per day in H1, well above the 2024 average of $128 billion/day.
Exchange-traded volumes also saw a significant increase through H1, averaging $159 billion per day. Increased activity on COMEX and the Shanghai Futures Exchange helped drive this momentum.
Money managers reduced their long gold positions by 28 percent over the first six months.
However, there was a notable shift in June, with longs increasing by 11 percent. According to the World Gold Council, “This was likely supported by consolidation in the gold price, providing investors with a window of opportunity to begin rebuilding positions.”
After modest outflows of gold in May, flows flipped positive in June with ETFs globally adding 74.6 tonnes of gold to their holdings.
Every region reported positive flows last month.
Through the first half of 2025, gold-backed funds globally increased their holdings by 397.1 tonnes.
Gold inflows totaled $38 billion through the first half of the year. That drove total assets under management (AUM) higher by 41 percent to $383 billion. That broke a month-end record and hit the highest level in 34 months.
North American funds led the way, increasing their gold holdings by 206.8 tonnes. Total H1 inflows totaled $21 billion. It was the strongest H1 for North American gold ETFs in five years.
European funds increased their gold holdings by 78.9 tonnes, totaling $6 billion through the first half of 2025. According to the World Gold Council, “The eighth cut from the European Central Bank, uncertainties surrounding growth, and rising geopolitical risks generally, contributed to gold ETF demand in several major markets.”
Asian ETFs increased their gold reserves by a record 104.3 tonnes in H1, totaling $ 11 billion. Asian investors bought a record amount of gold ETFs during H1, making up 28 percent of net global flows with only 9 percent of the total AUM.
China’s inflows of 85 tonnes totaling $8.8 were unprecedented, driven by spiking trade risks with the U.S., growth concerns, and the surging gold price.
Funds listed in other regions, including Australia and Africa, added 7.2 tonnes of gold to their holdings. ETFs based in Australia and South Africa were the main contributors.
ETFs are a convenient way for investors to play the gold market, but owning ETF shares is not the same as holding physical gold.
Why ETF Volumes are increasing?
ETFs are relatively liquid.
You can buy or sell an ETF with a couple of mouse clicks. You don’t have to worry about transporting or storing metal. In a nutshell, it allows investors to play the gold market without buying full ounces of metal at the spot price.
Since you are just buying a number in a computer, you can easily trade your ETF shares for another stock or cash whenever you want, even multiple times on the same day. Many speculative investors take advantage of this liquidity.
But while a gold ETF is a convenient way to play the price of gold on the market, you don’t actually possess any gold. You have paper. And you don’t know for sure that the fund has all the gold either, especially when the fund sees inflows. In such a scenario, there have been difficulties or delays in obtaining physical metal.
🟢Gold trading volumes
Gold market trading volumes averaged $329 billion per day through the first half of the year. That was the highest semi-annual average on record.
Over-the-counter trading increased to an average of $165 billion per day in H1, well above the 2024 average of $128 billion/day.
Exchange-traded volumes also saw a significant increase through H1, averaging $159 billion per day. Increased activity on COMEX and the Shanghai Futures Exchange helped drive this momentum.
Money managers reduced their long gold positions by 28 percent over the first six months.
However, there was a notable shift in June, with longs increasing by 11 percent. According to the World Gold Council, “This was likely supported by consolidation in the gold price, providing investors with a window of opportunity to begin rebuilding positions.”
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains its heavily offered tone through the first half of the European session and currently trades just above a nearly two-week low touched earlier this Tuesday.
🔻News of the Iran-Israel ceasefire boosts investors' confidence and triggers a fresh wave of global risk-on trade, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows away from the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, the intraday downfall in XAUUSD Price seems rather unaffected by some follow-through US Dollar (USD) selling, which tends to benefit the Gold price.
The mixed US PMI data and dovish remarks from Fed officials fueled speculations about the possibility of a rate cut in July.
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said that the time to cut rates may be fast approaching as she has grown more worried about risks to the job market and less concerned that tariffs will cause an inflation problem.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller's stated the US central bank should consider cutting interest rates at its next policy meeting on July 29-30, which keeps the USD depressed and further supports the non-yielding yellow metal.
The focus remains on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, which could offer cues about the future rate-cut path and determine the near-term trajectory for the XAU/USD pair.
🟢XAUUSD 🔺 🔺
Crucial Price Zones: XAUUSD:
🔺SZ $3434/3469/3485
🔻BZ $3285/3269/3232
Traders now look to the US economic docket – featuring the release of the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index. This, along with speeches by influential FOMC members, will drive the USD.
🔻News of the Iran-Israel ceasefire boosts investors' confidence and triggers a fresh wave of global risk-on trade, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flows away from the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, the intraday downfall in XAUUSD Price seems rather unaffected by some follow-through US Dollar (USD) selling, which tends to benefit the Gold price.
The mixed US PMI data and dovish remarks from Fed officials fueled speculations about the possibility of a rate cut in July.
Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said that the time to cut rates may be fast approaching as she has grown more worried about risks to the job market and less concerned that tariffs will cause an inflation problem.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller's stated the US central bank should consider cutting interest rates at its next policy meeting on July 29-30, which keeps the USD depressed and further supports the non-yielding yellow metal.
The focus remains on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, which could offer cues about the future rate-cut path and determine the near-term trajectory for the XAU/USD pair.
🟢XAUUSD 🔺 🔺
Crucial Price Zones: XAUUSD:
🔺SZ $3434/3469/3485
🔻BZ $3285/3269/3232
Traders now look to the US economic docket – featuring the release of the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the Richmond Manufacturing Index. This, along with speeches by influential FOMC members, will drive the USD.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD co-relations:
USDJPY 1000P +
Expected Impact on XAUUSD:
$30 (-) | 🔻$3396-3366 zone ideal
XAUUSD net crash witnessed today:
🔻$3396-3348 ($50)
🔺RT + $3349-3369 achieved
XAUUSD back to the opening price gap observed at early morning today $3369-3366 zone.
As suggested by me since last week, BUY LOWS, avoid SHORTS.
09 June: $3290 LOW | BUY
11 June: $3320 LOW | BUY
13 June $3380 LOW | BUY
17 June: $3366 LOW | BUY
20 June: $3339 LOW | BUY
XAUUSD:
HIGH $3396 achieved today.
ALL BUY POSITIONS proved correct.
Short positions at above mentioned lows proved a LOSS making deal, resulting in high DD.
XAUUSD CURRENT MARKET PRICE: $3369
USDJPY 1000P +
Expected Impact on XAUUSD:
$30 (-) | 🔻$3396-3366 zone ideal
XAUUSD net crash witnessed today:
🔻$3396-3348 ($50)
🔺RT + $3349-3369 achieved
XAUUSD back to the opening price gap observed at early morning today $3369-3366 zone.
As suggested by me since last week, BUY LOWS, avoid SHORTS.
09 June: $3290 LOW | BUY
11 June: $3320 LOW | BUY
13 June $3380 LOW | BUY
17 June: $3366 LOW | BUY
20 June: $3339 LOW | BUY
XAUUSD:
HIGH $3396 achieved today.
ALL BUY POSITIONS proved correct.
Short positions at above mentioned lows proved a LOSS making deal, resulting in high DD.
XAUUSD CURRENT MARKET PRICE: $3369
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD
🔻$3333
🔺$3393
on radar
Avoid BIG LOTS
USD S 95
USDJPY 800P+
DXY - RT +
US10YT -
🔻$3333
🔺$3393
on radar
Avoid BIG LOTS
USD S 95
USDJPY 800P+
DXY - RT +
US10YT -
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
The US Treasury Yields🔻 have come down sharply. There is a support near current levels which if broken can drag the yields further lower in the coming days. The US PCE data release today will be important to watch. A lower PCE number can drag the yields below their support. The German Yields have declined sharply contrary to our expectation. They have to hold above their immediate support to keep alive our bullish view.
The price action in the next few days is going to be important. The 10Yr GoI remains lower and stable. The view remains bearish to see more fall from here.
🟢Impact on XAUUSD: +
The price action in the next few days is going to be important. The 10Yr GoI remains lower and stable. The view remains bearish to see more fall from here.
🟢Impact on XAUUSD: +
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔺The Euro has risen past 1.13 again and if sustained can head towards 1.15-1.16 levels.
EURJPY continues to trade within the 165-160 region.
🔻USDJPY has been coming off and can fall towards 142 or even 140 before halting.
🔻AUDUSD is declining within the 0.650-0.635 range.
🔻Pound is headed towards 1.36 again.
🔻The USDCNY below 7.21, can get dragged towards 7.175-7.150. The USDINR can dip within its 85.75-84.75 range.
⚡️US Personal Income and US PCE data releases are scheduled today.
EURJPY continues to trade within the 165-160 region.
🔻USDJPY has been coming off and can fall towards 142 or even 140 before halting.
🔻AUDUSD is declining within the 0.650-0.635 range.
🔻Pound is headed towards 1.36 again.
🔻The USDCNY below 7.21, can get dragged towards 7.175-7.150. The USDINR can dip within its 85.75-84.75 range.
⚡️US Personal Income and US PCE data releases are scheduled today.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
THIS IS NOT MY WAR - Mr. Trump
In the geopolitics front, the image of the US got dented a bit further after United States (US) President Donald Trump commented on his two-hour phone call with Vladimir Putin on ending the impasse in Ukraine. President Trump said that negotiations would start immediately, though if they break down again, the US would back away from any further efforts and negotiations. Trump said there were "some big egos involved," and without progress, "I'm just going to back away," repeating a warning that he could abandon the process and concluded with "This is not my war," Reuters reports.
That statement suggests that the US President make a complete U-turn, as it was one of his campaign promises, to end the war in his first 100 days. Now that President Trump seems unable to resolve the situation, it looks like Trump will rather pull out and walk away from it.
Impact: XAUUSD + + +
In the geopolitics front, the image of the US got dented a bit further after United States (US) President Donald Trump commented on his two-hour phone call with Vladimir Putin on ending the impasse in Ukraine. President Trump said that negotiations would start immediately, though if they break down again, the US would back away from any further efforts and negotiations. Trump said there were "some big egos involved," and without progress, "I'm just going to back away," repeating a warning that he could abandon the process and concluded with "This is not my war," Reuters reports.
That statement suggests that the US President make a complete U-turn, as it was one of his campaign promises, to end the war in his first 100 days. Now that President Trump seems unable to resolve the situation, it looks like Trump will rather pull out and walk away from it.
Impact: XAUUSD + + +
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold (XAU/USD) prices are surging on Tuesday, buoyed by broad-based US Dollar weakness and renewed concerns over the United States’ fiscal health following Friday’s Moody’s downgrade of US sovereign debt.
The safe-haven metal is extending its rally from Monday, supported by deteriorating growth prospects for the world’s largest economy. Gold bulls are now eyeing the key psychological threshold of $3,300, with the metal up 1.51% to trade near $3,280 at the time of writing.
While gains have been somewhat tempered by a rebound in US Treasury Yields and a mutual reduction in tariffs between the US and China, shifting global trade dynamics and persistent policy uncertainty continue to provide a supportive backdrop for bullion.
Looking ahead, Wednesday’s House of Representatives vote on President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful” tax bill, along with evolving expectations for Federal Reserve policy, are expected to play a pivotal role in shaping short-term Gold price action.
The safe-haven metal is extending its rally from Monday, supported by deteriorating growth prospects for the world’s largest economy. Gold bulls are now eyeing the key psychological threshold of $3,300, with the metal up 1.51% to trade near $3,280 at the time of writing.
While gains have been somewhat tempered by a rebound in US Treasury Yields and a mutual reduction in tariffs between the US and China, shifting global trade dynamics and persistent policy uncertainty continue to provide a supportive backdrop for bullion.
Looking ahead, Wednesday’s House of Representatives vote on President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful” tax bill, along with evolving expectations for Federal Reserve policy, are expected to play a pivotal role in shaping short-term Gold price action.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔻WHY XAUUSD price dived down/crashed?
Gold price (XAU/USD) remains under some selling pressure for the third successive day and drops to a two-week low, around the $3,230-$3,229 ($3232 price zone, projected by us yesterday) area during the Asian session on Thursday.
US President Donald Trump's remarks earlier today add to the recent optimism over the potential de-escalation of the US-China trade war and turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the safe-haven precious metal.
Furthermore, the US Dollar (USD) is looking to build on its gains registered over the past two days and exert additional downward pressure on the commodity.
The intraday downfall in the Gold price could further be attributed to some technical selling following a breakdown below the $3,265-3,260 pivotal support.
Any meaningful USD appreciation, however, seems elusive amid rising bets for more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), bolstered by the surprise contraction in US GDP and signs of easing inflationary pressure.
🟡This could act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal, warranting caution before positioning for an extension of the retracement slide from the $3,500 mark, or the all-time peak.
Gold price (XAU/USD) remains under some selling pressure for the third successive day and drops to a two-week low, around the $3,230-$3,229 ($3232 price zone, projected by us yesterday) area during the Asian session on Thursday.
US President Donald Trump's remarks earlier today add to the recent optimism over the potential de-escalation of the US-China trade war and turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the safe-haven precious metal.
Furthermore, the US Dollar (USD) is looking to build on its gains registered over the past two days and exert additional downward pressure on the commodity.
The intraday downfall in the Gold price could further be attributed to some technical selling following a breakdown below the $3,265-3,260 pivotal support.
Any meaningful USD appreciation, however, seems elusive amid rising bets for more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), bolstered by the surprise contraction in US GDP and signs of easing inflationary pressure.
🟡This could act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal, warranting caution before positioning for an extension of the retracement slide from the $3,500 mark, or the all-time peak.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🟢Gold price keeps its record run intact above $3,450 early Tuesday after posting a 3% gain on Monday.
🟢Trump’s attacks on Fed’s Powell and fears over the US’s financial stability continue to power Gold price rally.
🔻Gold price could see a brief pullback
Gold price extends its record run into the second consecutive day on Tuesday as buyers increase buying positions with their sights on the $3,500 threshold. 🟢CMP $3495
Just as the US-China trade war-led US recession fears weren’t enough to sap investors’ confidence, US President Donald Trump doubled down on his criticism of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell since last Friday, negatively impacting the already beleaguered US Dollar (USD), lifting the traditional safe-haven and the USD-denominated Gold price.
⚡️Despite the latest uptick in the US Dollar, this narrative remains a constant threat while rendering positive for the go-to safety bet – the Gold price:
Fed whisperer and Wall Street Journal’s (WSJ) Nick Timiraos said, "Trump is signalling that he will blame the Federal Reserve for any economic weakness resulting from his trade war if the central bank doesn’t cut interest rates soon. “In the process, he might also be seeking to delegitimize the historically independent institution in a way that could undermine its effectiveness,” Nick added.
🔴🔻A Pullback on the cards:
Looking ahead, Gold price could see a brief correction as traders will likely cash in on their longs, positioning for the notable US earnings on the docket this week, including Magnificent Seven members Tesla and Alphabet, and a host of high-profile industrials such as Boeing etc.
However, any dip in Gold price could be seen as a good buying opportunity as the US-China trade war escalation and worries over the Fed’s independence will continue to haunt markets.
🔻XAUUSD Spot Gold
💬Crucial Price Zones:
🔻SZ $3535/3565/3595/3636
🔺BZ $3434/3414/3385/3369
🟢Trump’s attacks on Fed’s Powell and fears over the US’s financial stability continue to power Gold price rally.
🔻Gold price could see a brief pullback
Gold price extends its record run into the second consecutive day on Tuesday as buyers increase buying positions with their sights on the $3,500 threshold. 🟢CMP $3495
Just as the US-China trade war-led US recession fears weren’t enough to sap investors’ confidence, US President Donald Trump doubled down on his criticism of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell since last Friday, negatively impacting the already beleaguered US Dollar (USD), lifting the traditional safe-haven and the USD-denominated Gold price.
⚡️Despite the latest uptick in the US Dollar, this narrative remains a constant threat while rendering positive for the go-to safety bet – the Gold price:
Fed whisperer and Wall Street Journal’s (WSJ) Nick Timiraos said, "Trump is signalling that he will blame the Federal Reserve for any economic weakness resulting from his trade war if the central bank doesn’t cut interest rates soon. “In the process, he might also be seeking to delegitimize the historically independent institution in a way that could undermine its effectiveness,” Nick added.
🔴🔻A Pullback on the cards:
Looking ahead, Gold price could see a brief correction as traders will likely cash in on their longs, positioning for the notable US earnings on the docket this week, including Magnificent Seven members Tesla and Alphabet, and a host of high-profile industrials such as Boeing etc.
However, any dip in Gold price could be seen as a good buying opportunity as the US-China trade war escalation and worries over the Fed’s independence will continue to haunt markets.
🔻XAUUSD Spot Gold
💬Crucial Price Zones:
🔻SZ $3535/3565/3595/3636
🔺BZ $3434/3414/3385/3369
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔴The US-China trade war witnessed a significant escalation over the weekend after a Boeing jet intended for use by a Chinese airline landed back at the plane maker's US production hub due to China’s retaliatory move.
🔹Greenback remains vulnerable also as the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence is threatened. “White House Economic Adviser Kevin Hassett said Friday that Trump and his team were studying if they could fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a sign that such a move, a matter of great consequence for the central bank's independence and global markets, is still an option,” per Reuters.
🔴A broadly softer US Dollar and increased haven demand continue to bode well for the traditional safe-haven Gold price. In the day ahead, Gold price could be subject to intense volatility as trading conditions remain thin on account of Easter Monday.|
💬It’s a relatively light week, in terms of US economic data, and hence, Gold price will remain at the mercy of Trump’s trade talks, risk sentiment and Fedspeak until the release of the S&P Global US flash PMI readings.
🔹Greenback remains vulnerable also as the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence is threatened. “White House Economic Adviser Kevin Hassett said Friday that Trump and his team were studying if they could fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a sign that such a move, a matter of great consequence for the central bank's independence and global markets, is still an option,” per Reuters.
🔴A broadly softer US Dollar and increased haven demand continue to bode well for the traditional safe-haven Gold price. In the day ahead, Gold price could be subject to intense volatility as trading conditions remain thin on account of Easter Monday.|
💬It’s a relatively light week, in terms of US economic data, and hence, Gold price will remain at the mercy of Trump’s trade talks, risk sentiment and Fedspeak until the release of the S&P Global US flash PMI readings.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold price (XAU/USD) CMP $3393 as projected here: https://t.me/c/1654158888/15708, sticks to its strong intraday gains heading into the European session on Monday and currently trades near the all-time peak, well within striking distance of the $3,400 round figure. Trade-related uncertainties continue to weigh on investors' sentiment, which is evident from the underlying bearish sentiment around the global financial markets and benefits the safe-haven precious metal.
Furthermore, US President Donald Trump's back-and-forth tariff announcements have dented confidence in the US economy. This, along with bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle soon, drags the US Dollar (USD) to its lowest level since April 2022 and provides an additional boost to the non-yielding Gold price. The XAU/USD bulls, meanwhile, seem cautious with overbought conditions. I expect correct before Thursday 24 April 2025 H1A236 | $3366/3333 zone.
🔻Avoid BIG lots, maintain PG $50
GRID: $50 | Exit NAP
Crucial Price Zones:
Strategy: GR 11223355
🔺SZ $3400/3434/3464/3484
🔻BZ $3333/3303/3282/3262
🔴KEY Factors impacting XAUUSD:
🟢Investors remain worried about the potential economic fallout from US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and the rapidly escalating US-China trade war, pushing the safe-haven Gold price to a fresh all-time peak on Monday. In fact, Trump recently imposed tariffs of up to 145% on certain Chinese goods, with some duties reportedly reaching 245%. In retaliation, China has levied tariffs of 125% on US products.
🟢Meanwhile, Trump's aggressive trade policies could hurt the world trade order and trigger a recession in the US. This, in turn, drags the US Dollar to its lowest level since April 2022 and further benefits the precious metal. The USD bulls shrugged off Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments, saying that the central bank is well-positioned to wait for more clarity before making any changes to the policy stance.
🟢Furthermore, market participants are still pricing in the possibility that the Fed will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June and lower borrowing costs by a full percentage point by the end of this year. This turns out to be another factor that contributes to driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal, amid thin trading conditions on the back of the Easter Monday holiday and despite overbought conditions on the daily chart.
🟢Iran and the US agreed on Saturday to commence expert-level discussions to design a framework for a potential nuclear deal. Moreover, Russian President Vladimir Putin's one-day ceasefire in Ukraine on Saturday sparked hopes that tensions could de-escalate. This, however, does little to boost investors' confidence or dent demand for traditional safe-haven assets, supporting prospects for a further appreciation for the XAU/USD pair.
🟢There isn't any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Monday, though a scheduled speech from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee might influence the USD. Apart from this, trade-related developments should provide some impetus to the commodity. The market focus will then shift to the release of flash PMIs on Wednesday, which should offer a fresh insight into the global economic health.
Furthermore, US President Donald Trump's back-and-forth tariff announcements have dented confidence in the US economy. This, along with bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle soon, drags the US Dollar (USD) to its lowest level since April 2022 and provides an additional boost to the non-yielding Gold price. The XAU/USD bulls, meanwhile, seem cautious with overbought conditions. I expect correct before Thursday 24 April 2025 H1A236 | $3366/3333 zone.
🔻Avoid BIG lots, maintain PG $50
GRID: $50 | Exit NAP
Crucial Price Zones:
Strategy: GR 11223355
🔺SZ $3400/3434/3464/3484
🔻BZ $3333/3303/3282/3262
🔴KEY Factors impacting XAUUSD:
🟢Investors remain worried about the potential economic fallout from US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and the rapidly escalating US-China trade war, pushing the safe-haven Gold price to a fresh all-time peak on Monday. In fact, Trump recently imposed tariffs of up to 145% on certain Chinese goods, with some duties reportedly reaching 245%. In retaliation, China has levied tariffs of 125% on US products.
🟢Meanwhile, Trump's aggressive trade policies could hurt the world trade order and trigger a recession in the US. This, in turn, drags the US Dollar to its lowest level since April 2022 and further benefits the precious metal. The USD bulls shrugged off Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments, saying that the central bank is well-positioned to wait for more clarity before making any changes to the policy stance.
🟢Furthermore, market participants are still pricing in the possibility that the Fed will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June and lower borrowing costs by a full percentage point by the end of this year. This turns out to be another factor that contributes to driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal, amid thin trading conditions on the back of the Easter Monday holiday and despite overbought conditions on the daily chart.
🟢Iran and the US agreed on Saturday to commence expert-level discussions to design a framework for a potential nuclear deal. Moreover, Russian President Vladimir Putin's one-day ceasefire in Ukraine on Saturday sparked hopes that tensions could de-escalate. This, however, does little to boost investors' confidence or dent demand for traditional safe-haven assets, supporting prospects for a further appreciation for the XAU/USD pair.
🟢There isn't any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Monday, though a scheduled speech from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee might influence the USD. Apart from this, trade-related developments should provide some impetus to the commodity. The market focus will then shift to the release of flash PMIs on Wednesday, which should offer a fresh insight into the global economic health.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #Trading
Gold price (XAU/USD) posts a fresh all-time high (ATH) near $3,333 in Wednesday's North American session.
The precious metal remains an attractive investment amid heightening global trade tensions. The intensifying trade war between the United States (US) and China has forced financial market participants to stay on the safe-haven fleet, assuming that the tussle for dominance between them is painful for the global economy
Bullish sentiment continues to abound in gold though, which shows no sign of slowing down. It might be the ‘most crowded trade’ according to Bank of America’s latest survey, but so was ‘Long Tech’ for months at a time, and that didn’t stop investors from piling in. All this comes as inflation remains muted for now. It is the level of uncertainty in the macro outlook right now that makes gold so compelling.
Donald Trump has taken a step to reassess levies on vital minerals after Beijing announced a non-tariff barrier on their exports by establishing a licensing system. Earlier this month, Beijing also imposed export restrictions on six heavy rare earth metals and rare earth magnets.
Market experts worry that the US economy could be vulnerable without these minerals, as they barely produce them, given their application in many industries, including defence and technology.
Beijing has imposed restrictive controls on exports of rare minerals to the US in retaliation for hefty reciprocal tariffs imposed by Donald Trump on them. Till now, the US has raised additional duties on Chinese imports to 145%. At the same time, China has also imposed 125% tariffs on US imports. Meanwhile, Trump has declared a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for the rest of his trading partners.
Co-relation:
A sharp upside in the Gold price is majorly driven by sheer weakness in the US Dollar (USD).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, slumps to near 99.50, holding near its lowest level in three years. Technically, weakness in the US Dollar makes the Gold price an attractive bet for investors.
https://www.reddit.com/r/prgoldanalysis/comments/1k0p2rd/why_xauusd_price_shot_up_to_33003333_zone/
Gold price (XAU/USD) posts a fresh all-time high (ATH) near $3,333 in Wednesday's North American session.
The precious metal remains an attractive investment amid heightening global trade tensions. The intensifying trade war between the United States (US) and China has forced financial market participants to stay on the safe-haven fleet, assuming that the tussle for dominance between them is painful for the global economy
Bullish sentiment continues to abound in gold though, which shows no sign of slowing down. It might be the ‘most crowded trade’ according to Bank of America’s latest survey, but so was ‘Long Tech’ for months at a time, and that didn’t stop investors from piling in. All this comes as inflation remains muted for now. It is the level of uncertainty in the macro outlook right now that makes gold so compelling.
Donald Trump has taken a step to reassess levies on vital minerals after Beijing announced a non-tariff barrier on their exports by establishing a licensing system. Earlier this month, Beijing also imposed export restrictions on six heavy rare earth metals and rare earth magnets.
Market experts worry that the US economy could be vulnerable without these minerals, as they barely produce them, given their application in many industries, including defence and technology.
Beijing has imposed restrictive controls on exports of rare minerals to the US in retaliation for hefty reciprocal tariffs imposed by Donald Trump on them. Till now, the US has raised additional duties on Chinese imports to 145%. At the same time, China has also imposed 125% tariffs on US imports. Meanwhile, Trump has declared a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for the rest of his trading partners.
Co-relation:
A sharp upside in the Gold price is majorly driven by sheer weakness in the US Dollar (USD).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, slumps to near 99.50, holding near its lowest level in three years. Technically, weakness in the US Dollar makes the Gold price an attractive bet for investors.
https://www.reddit.com/r/prgoldanalysis/comments/1k0p2rd/why_xauusd_price_shot_up_to_33003333_zone/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Trade with Confidence with Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research
Subscribe one of the most accurate analysis in the industry: Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu powered by 90+ technical and fundamental parameters with a verified and audited track record.
Current Trading Profit Status: 132%
Highest Drawdown Faced YTD: 35%
Highest profit/month booked: 102%
Highest loss/month booked: 24%
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Real Time Trades by our proprietary trading algorithms at https://t.me/PiyushRatnu
Subscribe one of the most accurate analysis in the industry: Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu powered by 90+ technical and fundamental parameters with a verified and audited track record.
Current Trading Profit Status: 132%
Highest Drawdown Faced YTD: 35%
Highest profit/month booked: 102%
Highest loss/month booked: 24%
Check Trading Performance at:
Core Focus: #XAUUSD | Spot #Gold
Platform: MT4 MT5
Trading Mode: Manual + Algorithm | Automated: both available
Auto-Copy Trading: Available | Plug and Play Solution
Live Trading Feed Available | Real Time Analysis Available
Connect for an appointment at T.ME/PIYUSHRATNUOFFICIAL
Watch LIVE TRADING FEED
Real Time Trades by our proprietary trading algorithms at https://t.me/PiyushRatnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD Co-relations Alert
USD S 45
Us10YT -
DXY -
USDJPY (-) 158.000 - 156.800
1200 P (-)
🟢Possible impact on XAUUSD
$40+
$2670+40 = $2710
$2707/2717/2727 on radar.
📌Reversal scenario:
USDJPY + 1000 P
= XAUUSD - $30= $2686 - 30= $2656
M30A100
H1AS2
H4AS5 zone
🆘Important data ahead:
12 min USDCore CPI (YoY) (Dec) 3.3%3.3%
12 min USDCore CPI (MoM) (Dec) 0.3%0.3%
12 min USDCPI (MoM) (Dec) 0.4%0.3%
12 min USDCPI (YoY) (Dec) 2.9%2.7%
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingTips
USD S 45
Us10YT -
DXY -
USDJPY (-) 158.000 - 156.800
1200 P (-)
🟢Possible impact on XAUUSD
$40+
$2670+40 = $2710
$2707/2717/2727 on radar.
📌Reversal scenario:
USDJPY + 1000 P
= XAUUSD - $30= $2686 - 30= $2656
M30A100
H1AS2
H4AS5 zone
🆘Important data ahead:
12 min USDCore CPI (YoY) (Dec) 3.3%3.3%
12 min USDCore CPI (MoM) (Dec) 0.3%0.3%
12 min USDCPI (MoM) (Dec) 0.4%0.3%
12 min USDCPI (YoY) (Dec) 2.9%2.7%
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingTips