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Piyush Ratnu is an independent forex market analyst & trader with core expertise in XAUUSD/Spot Gold.

With more than 15 years of experience as a Financial Market Analyst, Piyush Ratnu held the responsibility of developing and refining a series of algorithms & analytic tools to simplify the trading processes. His tools and algorithms were defined and rated as “unlike tools seen in the market before, extensively designed and most importantly, functional and logical” by some of the top financial companies and analysts at New York, London and Dubai.

Piyush Ratnu holds an experience of 290,000 trades, 1,790,000 pips calculated with a remarkable trading execution rate of 2 trades per second in an ideal scenario with profit booking in less than 8 seconds tracing 60+ pips/trade, as per audited and verified track record of last 10 years.

Core strength:

Economics, Economic Data Analysis, Spot Gold (XAUUSD), USD Majors, SR MTF Range Trading, Chart Patterns,
Volume Trading, Day Trading & Position Trading

Trading style
Fundamental based Intra-day trading.

Analysis based on proprietary algorithm 130+ parameters.

Core focus: XAUUSD | Spot Gold

Motto
Plan your trade, and then trade your plan!


Ai Verified Track Record since 2021:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/most-accurate-xauusd-spot-gold-price-projection-and-ai-verified-research-generated-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/

XAUUSD Daily Price Projection:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/

MyFxBook:

X.com: https://x.com/piyushratnu
Insta: https://www.instagram.com/piyushratnuofficial

Connect for more details:
Telegram: https://www.T.me/PiyushRatnuOfficial

Risk Disclaimer:

Trading in foreign exchange (“Forex”) on margins entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not an indication of future results. In this case, as well, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and for you. Trading foreign exchange, indices and commodities, on margin, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all individuals.

The information made available by Piyush Ratnu is for your general information only and is not intended to address your particular requirements. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making, or refraining from making, any investment decisions.

Piyush Ratnu does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position(s) of Piyush Ratnu.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Real Yield Map – XAUUSD Transmission Model

The cleanest macro map for Gold here is the 10-year U.S. real yield. As of late March 2026, the FRED 10-year inflation-indexed yield series was around 2.06% on March 24, after being 1.85% on March 11, while the monthly 10-year real interest rate series was about 1.62% for March 2026. At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index was around 99.5.

That combination is a headwind for Gold because higher real yields raise the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset, and a firmer dollar tightens global financial conditions.

Read in-depth research at:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/real-yield-map-xauusd-transmission-model-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD: $3535 NEXT?

I will BUY LOWS: $4040 $3939 $3838 $3737 $3636 $3535

I will exit in M1V382 zones / NAP Net Average Profit.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
1️⃣2️⃣3️⃣Gold (XAU/USD) remains under defensive pressure near $4,444 in early Thursday trade, following a sharp rejection from the $4,600 resistance band.

The price action reflects a shift in safe-haven preference rather than a collapse in risk sentiment—capital is rotating into the US Dollar as geopolitical uncertainty intensifies.

The ambiguity surrounding ceasefire negotiations—particularly between the United States and Iran—has created a confusion premium, where uncertainty fuels positioning in USD rather than Gold.

💡💡💡 Read latest price projection, fundamental factors impacting XAUUSD and trading scenarios by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research:

https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔴 USDJPY 1600 P +

= XAUUSD possible impact

(-) $180/240/330

Today's high: $4735

Targets:

$4569/4545
$4488/4444
$4400/4369

I will BUY LOWS in PRSR Price ZONES

D1 PRSRSDBS
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🧠 Piyush Ratnu Core Insight

“When energy becomes the constraint, policy becomes reactive, and markets stop pricing value — they price survival.”

Structural Shift: From Logistics Risk to Geological Risk
The conflict has transitioned from transport disruption (shipping lanes, tankers, pipelines) to upstream production risk (oil & gas fields).

This marks a non-linear escalation:

Logistics disruptions → reroutable, temporary

Reservoir damage → irreversible in short-term, capital-intensive rebuild

The market shifts from pricing delay risk → capacity destruction risk.

Result: Oil pricing embeds supply persistence premium, not just disruption volatility.

🔸Economic Correlation:
Supply shock → Cost-push inflation ↑ → Growth uncertainty ↑

✅ Strategic Summary

Oil is no longer a commodity — it is the macro control variable

The Fed is no longer leading — it is being led by energy dynamics

Markets have shifted from diversification → correlation → systemic risk pricing

🔸 The key question is no longer:

“Where should price be?”

but

“How much scarcity can the system absorb?”

🔻Read in depth analysis by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research at:

https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold Market Analysis: Hawkish Policy Expectations and Inflation Shock Pressure XAU/USD to $4848 zone as projected by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research at 10.45 AM today.

The decisive breach of the $5,000 pivot triggered a rapid downside acceleration, slicing through the daily cloud structure spanning $5,000–$4949-$4,869 and ultimately reaching $4,834 ($4848 zone), the lowest level since early February.

This breakdown represents a material deterioration in near-term market structure, shifting the tactical bias toward further downside exploration as key technical support levels have been invalidated.

🔸 Gold’s sharp decline reflects a confluence of macroeconomic forces rather than a purely technical breakdown. Elevated US producer inflation, coupled with energy-driven price pressures arising from Middle East geopolitical tensions, has reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may maintain a restrictive monetary stance for longer than previously anticipated. This shift has strengthened the US Dollar and real yields, both historically negative drivers for bullion.

🔺 While technical indicators suggest short-term oversold conditions that could trigger temporary consolidation, the structural bias remains tilted to the downside as long as gold trades below the $5,000 pivot, with further downside risk toward $4,800–$4,700 should hawkish policy signals materialize from the Fed.

#XAUUSD #Gold #ForexMarket #TradingStrategy

💠Read latest updated analysis with US Session price crash analysis, and the factors responsible for the same + projection POST FOMC at:

https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
1️⃣2️⃣3️⃣ 1️⃣2️⃣3️⃣4️⃣

💻 How to trade XAUUSD on FOMC Day?

Gold Price Outlook: Fed Policy Risk Dominates as XAU/USD Tests Structural Support | $4848 or $5151: Post FOMC?

Key Topics covered:

🟣Market Positioning
🟣Quantified Market Reactions
🟣FOMC Scenario matrix
🟣Quantified Trading Framework
🟣Cross Asset Transmission Model
🟣FOMC Reaction Map (last 10)
🟣Event Volatility Framework
🟣Key Liquidity Pools
🟣Algorithmic Trigger Levels
🟣Murray Math Grid
🟣Quantitative Bias

🆘 Read in depth analysis by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research at:

https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Geopolitical Uncertainty Anchors Market Sentiment

Market sentiment remains highly sensitive to developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supply transits. Reports from the Wall Street Journal suggest the United States is coordinating a multinational naval coalition to secure shipping lanes through the corridor, aligning with President Donald Trump’s call for allied participation in safeguarding energy trade routes.

Simultaneously, geopolitical risks remain elevated following reports that the White House is evaluating the possibility of seizing Iran’s Kharg Island oil export terminal, a strategic infrastructure hub that accounts for a substantial share of Iranian crude shipments. Such a move would necessitate direct deployment of US ground forces and could materially escalate the conflict’s regional footprint.

These conflicting narratives—tentative de-escalation via maritime security arrangements versus potential expansion of military operations—have left currency markets directionally uncertain, limiting fresh upside in the US Dollar while preventing gold from establishing a sustained rally.

Read in-depth analysis at:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔻Weaker NFP Fails to Lift Gold as Stronger Dollar, Rising Oil and Treasury Yields Reinforce downward pressure on XAUUSD Price

As projected on NFP DAY: XAUUSD: $5050 proved a MAJOR SUPPORT at Monday Opening! (04.30 hours DXB)

🟢Price crash of $169 witnessed in 90 minutes: $5197-5029: RT $5029-5060 achieved. 🟢CMP $5045

Despite the weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls report, gold has failed to attract safe-haven inflows. The bullion market remains constrained by the appreciation of the US Dollar, firming crude oil prices that are reviving inflation expectations, and rising US 10-year Treasury yields. Together, these dynamics reinforce the “higher-for-longer” interest-rate narrative, suppressing demand for non-yielding assets.

▶️ Read in depth analysis by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research on the basis of D1 W1 and MN PRSRSDBS Algorithm Price projection, ongoing geo-political tensions and fundamentals that might impact XAUUSD Price in this week:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-daily-analysis/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
✔️Check and Verify:

⏰Track Record of Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research since 2021

https://www.piyushratnu.com/piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research-track-record-since-2021/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
⚠️ A simple fact worth analysing:

🟢USDJPY on 09.02.2026: $157.700 | XAUUSD: $4671

🟢USDJPY on 09.03.2026: $158.600 | XAUUSD ?

First let us calculate the percentage change in USDJPY, then apply the inverse USD–Gold relationship approximation.

XAUUSD CMP $5085 RT from $5015

Read in depth analysis here by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research:

https://www.piyushratnu.com/how-to-correlate-factors-impacting-xauusd-price-analysis-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
30% RT achieved

$300 crash

$100 RT $5085-5185 achieved
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold Retreats Below $5,300 Amid USD Strength Despite Escalating Middle East Risk | Daily XAUUSD Analysis by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research

Dollar Appreciation Reasserts Pressure on Bullion
Gold prices encountered renewed selling pressure on Tuesday as the U.S. Dollar strengthened across major currency pairs, forcing XAU/USD to retreat sharply from its intraday peak near $5,380. The precious metal declined by roughly $100, slipping below the $5,300 threshold, as sustained demand for the Greenback overshadowed the traditional safe-haven appeal of bullion.

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) extended its upward trajectory to the highest level since January 20, reflecting a broad reallocation of global capital toward dollar-denominated assets. Concurrently, USD/JPY appreciation and a rising U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reinforced the tightening financial conditions backdrop, thereby exerting downward pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold.

The price rejection near $5,400 resistance during the previous trading session has further reinforced a near-term technical ceiling, prompting tactical profit-taking and positioning adjustments among leveraged macro funds.

▶️Read in detail at:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/gold-retreats-below-5300-amid-usd-strength-despite-escalating-middle-east-risk-daily-xauusd-analysis-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Daily price projection #xauusd #analysis #prgoldanalysis
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Daily price projection #xauusd #analysis #prgoldanalysis
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
How a US–Iran War Scenario Could Push Gold (XAUUSD) Toward $6000

Read in depth analysis at:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/how-a-us-iran-war-scenario-could-push-gold-xauusd-toward-6000/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD War-Shock Probability Model | XAUUSD – Quantified Trading Setup by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research based on PRSRSDBS 1K Algorithm Price Projection for XAUUSD

Read at:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-war-shock-probability-model-xauusd-quantified-trading-setup-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🟢Shock Path Simulation | Liquidity Stress

🟢Level Survival Probability

🟢Tactical Survival Rules

🟢Volatility Expansion Forecast

Read in depth analysis at:
https://www.piyushratnu.com/us-israel-iran-attack-how-to-trade-xauusd-cautiously/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD Spot Gold Probability Analysis Toward $6060 by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research | XAUUSD $6060 before 26 03 26?

🆘 Scenario: US–Iran war escalation

Assumptions:

🔻DXY crashes

🔻US10Y yields fall sharply

🔺JPY strengthens

🔺Geopolitical risk premium spikes

Current structural reference by Piyush Ratnu:

Current zone: ~5290

Major resistance: 5400 / 5595

Extension target: 5783

🟢Psychological + extension zone: 6000–6060

Read in depth analysis, price forecast and quantified trade setup with Last 5 major conflict/tension episodes affecting Gold analysed by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research at:

https://www.piyushratnu.com/xauusd-spot-gold-probability-analysis-toward-6060-by-piyush-ratnu-gold-market-research-xauusd-6060-before-26-03-26/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Two sources told CNN Saturday the US military is planning for several days of attacks, with one official describing them as “not a small strike.” Earlier, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz called the attack a “preemptive strike” against Iran, as a state of emergency was declared across Israel.

The attack targeted Iran’s ballistic missiles and missile launchers, which Israel views as a serious threat. It’s unclear whether there have been any casualties.

Iran has closed its airspace, Majid Akhavan, the spokesperson for the civil aviation organization, said, according to state-affiliated media. Schools have also been ordered shut and remote learning has been activated, Iranian media reported.

Videos geolocated and verified by CNN show smoke rising from the capital city of Tehran. While strikes have also been reported in the Iranian cities of Isfahan, Qom, Karaj and Kermanshah, according to state-run news agency Fars.