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Sherif Hasan
Published post JPMorgan analysis gives 'leave' side 3-5 percentage point lead in Brexit vote
Analysts at JPMorgan attempt to sift through the polls Cable squeezed higher late in trading on Friday but sank a half-cent from the highs, in part because JPMorgan analysts released a report arguing that the 'leave' side truly is ahead...
Sherif Hasan
Published post CFTC commitments of traders: Traders pare position in GBP ahead of EU vote
Weekly positioning data from the CFTC for Forex futures as of the close on June14 EUR 56K short vs. 67K short prior week. GBP 37K short vs. 66K short prior week JPY 56K long vs. 43K long prior week CAD 18K long vs. 22K long prior week...
Sherif Hasan
Published post US stocks down but off the lows
S&P down -0.36%. Nasdaq the dog -0.82% the US stock market is down on the day, but off the session lows. The S&P 500 index is down 6.5 points were my 0.31%. It was down about 14-15 points at the lows. The high was near unchanged to +1. So current prices are near the midpoint...
Sherif Hasan
Published post US total rig count 424 up from 414 last week
This is the 3rd increase in a row Oil rigs up to 337 from 328 last week Gas rigs up to 86 from 85 last week Miscellaneous rigs remained at 1. Texas rigs were the bid gainer rising from 178 to 191. Of course Texas accounts for - not the majority - but 45% of the total...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Remember last week? Liquidity conditions could wreak havoc
GBPUSD extends to new highs. A week ago, there was a poll that sent the GBPUSD racing lower by 172 pips in 15 minutes. It looked like this.... That can wreak havoc with your trading and your P/L...
Sherif Hasan
Published post We must find new ways to build trust in Europe says Draghi
The long awaited speech is out and it's a dudLaudatio for Theo WaigelSpeech by Mario Draghi, President of the ECB, in honour of Dr...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Atlanta Fed's GDP Now unchanged at 2.8% for Q2
The latest tea-leaf reading from the Atlanta Fed Broadly speaking there's not been much from the data this week to change it. Now we wait in anticipation for the NY Fed, GDP Nowcast. They took a week off last week due to the FOMC blackout period. The June 3rd number stood at 2.0% for Q2...
Sherif Hasan
Published post NY Fed Nowcast of GDP forecast due at 10 AM
Not to be confused with the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecast. Maybe this is the Feds problems. Too many districts adding more confusion (and eroding credibility in the process...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Euronext will declare "fast market" over Brexit vote
Exchanges battening down the hatches Will have special measures in place from June 20-27th due to referendum Cash markets will operate as normal and circuit breakers will remain "Fast market" will be declared in index and equity option contracts The term "fast markets" means that quotes and price...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Forex technical analysis: GBPUSD tests 200 hour MA for first time since June 9
Sneaks a peak above The GBPUSD has reached the 200 hour MA and snuck-a-peek above at the 1.43142 level. The high reached 1.43186 and currently trades at 1.4306. There are additional overhead levels against the 1.4335 dn 1.4349 where the 50% and the 100 day MA are found...
Sherif Hasan
Published post EURUSD test topside target at 200 bar MAs
200 hour and 200 bar MA on 4-hour at the same area The EURUSD has extended up to the targets resistance ag. the 200 bar MAs defined by the 200 hour MA and the 200 bar MA on the 4-hour chart. Earlier in the US session , the 100 bar combo (hourly and 4-hour) held...
Sherif Hasan
Published post USDCAD extends to session lows.
Moves away from 100 hour MA/Below 50% The USDCAD has moved to new session lows. The price of oil is on the rebound moving up from below $46 earlier today. The price is currently trading at $47.18 Looking at the hourly chart, the price sits between the pairs 100 and 200 hour MAs at 1.2887 and 1...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Renzi - If Britain leaves the EU it will be forever
Moving from chat up lines to business In the short term, Brexit would be a problem for all but above all, Britain Believes the remain camp will win If UK leaves there will be financial tensions Either way the EU needs to rethink itself...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Markets do not believe Fed's projected rate path says Bullard
Double bubble Bullard Mismatch between markets and Fed dot plot is causing distortions in global markets Best thing for Fed to say is that the economy is not likely to change much in the foreseeable future Fed should acknowledge that the economy won't change much without an outside shock Fed shou...
Sherif Hasan
Published post US stocks mildly lower at the open
US stock market open 17 June 2016 S&P -6pts to 2071 Dow -54pts to 17676 Nasdaq -26pts to 4818 US 10 year yields 1.60% -2bp...
Stefania Conti - New Ethical Trading Ltd.
Stefania Conti - New Ethical Trading Ltd.
Comment to topic Traders Joking
The colorful buildings of Burano, Venezia, Italia
Traders Joking
Sherif Hasan
Published post Forex technical analysis: It is hard to be committed to the swing today...
All eyes are open but... In golf they talk about being committed to the swing. In trading? Do you have a conviction. Adam speaks a lot about fundamental convictions. In fact, he will be speaking fundamentals at the ACT traders course starting on June 24...
Sherif Hasan
Published post It's too soon to decide about QE in 2017 says ECB's Hansson
Bloomberg picking up comments from MNI There is some upside potential to inflation than forecasts show Measures from March are still new and mon pol has long lags Focus is now on near term developments We need all incoming data in the next months before deciding...
Sherif Hasan
Published post Canada CPI for May NSA 0.4% vs 0.5% est. Core 0.3% vs 0.3% est.
YoY 1.5% vs 1.6% est. Core YoY 2.1% vs. 2.1% Canada CPI NSA for the month of May came in at 0.4% vs 0.5% estimate. The YoY came in at 1.5% vs. 1.6% est and 1.7% last month. So each was 0.1% weaker than expectations. The core numbers came in as expected at 0.3% and 2.1% respectively...
Sherif Hasan
Published post May 2016 US housing starts 1.164m vs 1.150m exp
Details of the May 2016 US housing starts and building permits data report 17 June 2016 Prior 1.172m. Revised to 1.167m Building permits 1.138m vs 1.150m exp. Prior 1.130m Starts don't drop as much as expected and permits miss but gain from last month...