Your most effective strategy? - page 6
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When we were boys, we had a strong belief that if you crush a frog, it will definitely rain tomorrow.
In order to avoid rain and in the hope of good weather, we took great care not to step on the frog.
But despite our best efforts, bad weather was imminent.
That is, our strategy (don't kill) didn't work ... It was still raining.
Hordes of frogs just ran out into the glades and paths (as if deliberately jumping under our feet) in anticipation of their rainy good fortune.
So much for strategy. Should have known the laws of nature... )))
The difference is fundamental, IMHO, of course: When forecasting, the trader is looking for an entry point against the current trend, because only the information about the estimated pivot point is used at the moment of entry. That is, the proverbial desire to catch the bottom/top. In the follow-the-market strategy, on the other hand, one holds a position from the moment the market phase is determined until the market changes. Here, the trader sacrifices a part of the beginning of the movement to confirm the trend development in order to reduce the risk. If confirmations are used, the trader is already using a following strategy. After a while the trader understands that there is no need to bother with the forecast - calculation of the reversal points ;) ..... It's all about accuracy and timeliness in determining this market condition ))))))).
Good luck.
You seem to be arguing with your own definition of "prediction".
A TS without forecasting is impossible. Even a random one uses "I'll be lucky, patamushta..." prediction.
Hi. Which strategy are you currently using? Don't be greedy. Not many people read this forum. And if someone finds out about your super strategy, it won't stop working)))
Is it possible to make a constant profit (loss) regardless of the deposit? As a last resort, it is probably possible to make a permanent withdrawal of excess funds.
If not acted upon in time and allowed to form a "snowball" Who will undertake this strange strategy to check?
Dear Yusuf )))) There is no need to reinvent the wheel. As they say, everything has already been stolen before us. Any profitable TS must have MO>0 + MM module. Then with infinite iterations and even a long series of continuous losses you will always come out in the black. That's just what we need to think about, over the expectation of maturity and money management. )))
On historical data, it is possible through fitting other than withdrawal of "excess" funds
Dear Yusuf ))) There is no need to reinvent the wheel. As they say, everything has already been stolen before us. Any profitable TS must have MO>0 + MM module. Then with infinite iterations and even a large series of continuous losses you will always come out in the black. That's just what we need to think about, over the expectation of maturity and money management. )))
How can you be sure that it will necessarily be MO<0? If you allow it to turn into a martin, yes, I agree with you, but if not?
What if you have too close constant stops and high volatility? ))) Volatility you are unlikely to be able to keep it down ))) What if you have a thin market and all the indices are outrageously lying? ))) And so on.
And if you have too close permanent stops and high volatility? ))) Volatility you are unlikely to be able to keep it down )))) What if you have a thin market, where all the indulators will unbelievably lie? ))) And so on.