Spread trading in Meta Trader - page 181
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The indicator uses iMA - so to calculate the silver line you need to have at least 21 bars outside the chart window! And you don't have that.
Therefore, the rendering on this timeframe is glitchy.
I understand, Leonid, thank you from the bottom of my heart.
Hello all!
I propose to evaluate the prospects of selling the gasoline/ fuel oil spread.
SELL XRBU1 - BUY HOU1 = 1^1
Presumably working with this spread until 10-11 August.
For those wishing to see a chart of multi-year seasonal trends, - I am posting it:
This is the chart I offered for sale on July 21.
And indeed! The current total profit of the spread immediately after the July 21 entry is very reliable and progressively moving in the profitable direction. Today, after the opening of the CME grain trading in the afternoon at 18:30 Moscow time, I am closing the ZSU1-ZSX1 spread positions:
I have now entered the sell side of the spread again:
Based on perennial seasonal trends, the oil-to-gasoline spread sale can be estimated at the current moment.
Until the end of August.
Based on perennial seasonal trends, the oil-to-gasoline spread sale can be estimated at the current moment.
Until the end of August.
Very well so far, this commodity spread is working seasonally! Congratulations to those who took advantage of the signal and are now "sitting" in the sweet spot!
I closed my positions yesterday just before the end of trading. I will wait for the spread line to rollback and probably will go in again - we will see, according to the situation on Monday...
A bit later I'll post the supposed perspective paired entry on seasonality
next week.
As promised.
Continuing to monitor silver-gold spread SIU1 - GCV1 = 1^3 . At the moment there is a trend reversal of the spread line according to multi-year seasonal trends:
The seasonality has worked out quite satisfactorily so far, despite the challenging fundamentals. Here is the current chart:
I would recommend to enter just the futures, because for the spot XAU/XAG instruments our brokerage companies set completely "irrelevant" spread asc-bid, while for the futures in MT4 you can (often) open without losses on the asc-bid if (for example) the first position of the spread in MT4 open with a limit order and immediately the second position - manually. (I remind you that futures in mt4 Broco, InstaForex and some others are opened/closed by limit orders - without charging asc-bid spread). Why give someone else your funds, however small? And the ratio of spot XAU-XAG in some mt4 - should be calculated differently (I do not know why - and I did not get into it...).
The silver-gold spread is exceptionally volatile and pretty weighty on margin - especially SI silver. Therefore:
For cent (micro) accounts instead of futures COMEX SI-GC it is acceptable and reasonable to take minicontracts SILVM - GOLDM = 1^3 from Indian floor MCX (see chart)- the cost per tick is much(!) less and it is much more comfortable to trade such minicontracts on micro accounts, setting the ratio from 0.01:0.03 (0.02:0.06) or more .... Or by choosing your own position size ratios on different timeframes, which provides ample room for experimentation. Especially if you work frequently and short-term - to buy the spread inside the day on a spread line pullback.
With the kind permission of my buddy, I am posting the multi-year seasonal trend graph he sent me for the standard stock market crash spread.
Triple soybean: ZS - ZM - ZL.
Today or tomorrow, you can probably figure out the advisability of selling this spread:
SELL ZSU1 - ( BUY ZMU1 + BUY ZLU1 ) = 1^1^1 - indicated with an arrow
Current Triple Crash Spread situation:
The current situation on the triple-crescendo:
Leonid. What is this "abra-cadabra"? It seems like the words are right, and the signs are correct, but something doesn't add up. Where do these pictures come from? - Don't tell me: "There!"
Where's the logic (or whatever's behind this fireworks of grace), sugar, sugar, oil, oil... coal-mugol, schnagger-nagger... What difference does it make? Where do the charts show you should be doing this and not that?
Sorry,
respectfully,
Andrei.
With the kind permission of my friend, I am posting the multi-year seasonal trend graph he sent me for the standard stock cross spread.
Triple, soybean: ZS - ZM - ZL (bean-flour-oil)
Today or tomorrow, you can probably estimate the advisability of selling this spread:
SELL ZSU1 - ( BUY ZMU1 + BUY ZLU1 ) = 1^1^1 - arrow
The current situation on the triple cross spread:
Purchased (in testing mode on paper so far) - let's observe.
Thank you, Leonid, for maintaining the thematic branches on the forum. A lot of useful and valuable information.
Leonid. What's "abra-cadabra"? ..... doesn't make sense. Where do these pictures come from?
Where is the logic (or whatever is behind all these fireworks of grace), sugar-mahar, oil-shneft... coal-mugol, schnagger-nagger... What difference does it make? Where do the charts show that one should do this and not that?
Sorry, respectfully, Andrei.
Andrew, to answer your question, I'll have to explain to you the basics of spread trading long and boring - many hours in a row!
As for "grace", it does, for better or for worse. For example, if you had sold at my recommendation the CLV1-XRBU1 oil-gasoline spread with lot=0.1 on August 15 (see my post above, where the chart is in the box with the "trinkets"), then your profit would have been :
3902-3259= approximately $680! (no irony) - see the equity (spread) indicator in the bottom window!
Likewise the following is my recommendation of 21 Aug. - on the silver-gold spread from Monday. The current profit here is even much larger (several times larger!). But here I will put a comment and sum up the results at the end of the week.