Casino gambler

 

Hi all.

I've been reading the forum for a while now, and I see that most of the people here are experienced and have no illusions.

I decided to discuss one topic. Who's tried their hand at online casinos? Can I apply technical analysis to a sequence of roulette numbers? I think you can - you don't know what the next price will be at the current one, just like I don't know what number the next one will be. But roulette is simpler - the range of numbers is strictly limited - the eternal flat - if the maximum number fall, bet on the lower, if the minimum, the top, etc. What do you think?

Now seriously. Roulette can not vygotovit (I mean honest roulette) because the sequence of numbers that it generates is close to the white noise, in fact its owners and say so, that when generating numbers using a generator of white noise, and the hardware. And what is white noise - a sequence each subsequent value is not associated (not correlated) with the previous one, in other words, there is no relationship that will be with what it was, and therefore all the predicting at the roulette wheel is no more than guessing with a coffee grounds.

I wanted to ask participants opinion, is there any feeling that sequence of quotes is close to the white noise and it means it is useless to predict?

Of course the answers I'm guessing what will follow.... I have been doing this elite business for so many years and now I have to admit that I am "just a fortune teller".

But still, who thinks objectively, without "defending" what they love.

Personally, I think the flow of quotes is very close to white noise... I'd rather have done something else in my time :)))))

 
Whereas in roulette the maximum value can be followed by the minimum value, in forex it is virtually impossible for EUR/USD 1.61 to be followed by 1.01 => forex is not white noise
 

speed of change is not an argument - what difference does it make whether it's a minute or a year between counts?

"forex is not white noise" - I would like to hear a formal argument ;)

 
And then, who told you that after 1.61 the euro can't roll back to 1.01 - that's only one and a half times - under certain force majeure circumstances I think it can.
 
antoxa_zelyonyj писал(а) >>

Hi all.

I've been reading the forum for a while now, and I see that most of the people here are experienced and have no illusions.

I decided one topic pobusitel. Who's tried their hand at online casinos? Can I apply technical analysis to a sequence of roulette numbers? I think you can - you don't know what the next price will be at the current one, just like I don't know what number the next one will be. But roulette is easier - the range of numbers is strictly limited - the eternal flat - if the maximum number fall, bet on the lower, if the minimum, the top, etc. What do you think?

Why? You in forex nobody will prevent you to reduce range up to 2 numbers, it will be strictly limited too )))

 
StatBars писал(а) >>

Why? In forex no one is preventing you to reduce the range to 2 numbers, it will also be strictly limited ))

Maybe I will, but the quotes are not limited in theory, while the roulette wheel is a so called hardware limitation - no more than drawn :)

 
antoxa_zelyonyj >> :

Maybe I will, but in theory the quotes are not limited, and on the roulette wheel there is a hardware limitation - no more than what is shown :)

Yes, it is limited, either up or down - i.e. only two states.

 
This is not white noise as the quotes are correlated You can see for yourself using this 'Autocorrelation function'
 

"форекс - не белый шум" - хотелось бы послушать формальные аргументы

Arguments have been made for this. The gist is roughly that, given certain criteria for opening trades, if the market were random, the ratio of wins to losses for the number of trades --> (lying) 8 would have a ratio of 50:50.

 
antoxa_zelyonyj писал(а) >>

Has anyone tried their hand at an online casino?

I've had enough preference with the computer to know that you can't beat a dishonest computer.

 
Prival писал(а) >>
It's not white noise, as the quotes are correlated you can see for yourself using this 'Autocorrelation function'

Thanks, I've had a look. Glad there are the right people on this forum, no mistake.

But we can't seem to find the correlation...

I will try the last system and I'm done with it, I'm fed up, I must have the strength to admit futile efforts :)