History repeats itself - a lie? - page 5

 
WitoHOH писал (а) >>

Can I give you the password to the account where you keep the money?

Just kidding! :)

Gentlemen!

Think a little!

In response to your question, I can ask mine:

Tell me exactly to the point where a simple candle, where a dodge, where a hammer, etc., etc.

Can you tell me?

I couldn't do it at the time!

There are some parameters that are unambiguous ALWAYS!!!!

And it is only from their interpretation that we get different candles and bars!

Think!

Think!

It's all about proportions.

 
WitoHOH писал (а) >>

Can I give you the password to the account where you keep the money?

Just kidding! :)

Gentlemen!

Think a little!

In response to your question, I can ask mine:

Tell me exactly to the point where a simple candle, where a dodge, where a hammer, etc., etc.

Can you tell me?

I couldn't do it at the time!

There are some parameters that are unambiguous ALWAYS!!!!

And it is only from their interpretation that we get different candles and bars!

Think!

Think!

In order to say ALWAYS, you must have sufficiently strong arguments, can you show them in some veiled form?

On the subject of numbers and symbols, the same proportions lend themselves to mathematical description, personally that is how I got there (using numbers), but I cannot yet say ALWAYS.

 
WitoHOH писал (а) >>

GENTLEMEN!!!

You just baffle me!

If you don't know such parameters as Open, High, Low and Close!

And you're asking me to suggest them????

Not even a hint that interpreting these parameters and creating different candles has helped you!

Well then pardon the rudeness.....

Exactly what parameters O H L C. Where are the arguments?

It wasn't the parameters I asked for, but the arguments for the statement "Always"...

So, show me something or are we going to chatter on about great parameters?

 
WitoHOH писал (а) >>

So you're questioning whether Open is ALWAYS Open?

Do I understand you correctly?

What's interesting is whether it's useful or just to talk?

 
WitoHOH писал (а) >>

The best part is that there IS!

:)

It's not perfect, of course, but it can already be used gently.

:)

It's just that some doubting individuals can only criticize.

Well, that's their right!

And on the history so 4-5 years old ran??

How's the income, too?

There's one bad truth --

the point is, the test very often shows a profit,

but in the real world, it's briefly in profit and then it's gone.

 
WitoHOH писал (а) >>

So you're questioning whether Open is ALWAYS Open?

Do I understand you correctly?

That's what I thought, let's talk...

 

http://regulest.hotbox.ru/

Here, the "forex director" has laid out a strategy for using statistics on the colour of pre-candles. It determines not only the colour of the next candle but also its size.

 
skifodessa писал (а) >>

http://regulest.hotbox.ru/

Here, the "forex director" has laid out a strategy for using statistics on the colour of pre-candles. It determines not only the colour of the next candle but also its size.

I know about this strategy... How many times have not read, a clear description of the strategy and did not get a clear algorithm. But the strategy worked (worked most likely on intuition), that's for sure.

 
StatBars писал (а) >>

I know about this strategy... As much as I've read, there's no clear description of the strategy, no clear algorithm. But his strategy worked (most likely it worked on intuition), that's for sure.



Here's a slightly simplified version of his strategy using the colour (direction) of the day's candles.

In the table there are statistics of GBPUSD for about 10 years.


ptsrchtt vtsrchptt srcsrptn chtsrtsrtsrtsrtsrtsrnt httpsrtsrtsr
BBBH 49 48 46 47 44
BBHNN 32 33 41 31 37
VNHN 35 48 35 38 36
NNNN 28 29 38 30 30
MFNN 49 36 46 38 34
NVVN 31 43 42 38 46
ENVSH 42 55 40 51 55
IUFN 40 41 36 34 48
amount 306 333 324 307 330






IUGS 38 34 39 42 39
EEE 32 33 33 40 42
BBHNV 58 47 50 57 48
EHIF 58 57 51 49 39
GNHV 36 34 34 48 33
NVHV 50 47 48 46 43
BBBB 40 42 43 44 46
NVNV 53 46 50 38 52
amount 365 340 348 364 342












average 41,9375 42,0625 42 41,9375 42


The point: the number of candlestick patterns repeating: B- is up (bullish) N- is down (bearish)

The principle is this . For example today is Monday. We look at the column where the last day is Monday (Wed), and look at the candlesticks that were on the previous days, i.e. Friday, Thursday and Wednesday. We get the following candlesticks: Wednesday H, Thursday H, Friday H.

Now we're looking at the probability of an H or a B for Monday.
So we'll choose two alternatives from the Monday forecast column:

HHHH 40.

EAR 51

In this case, we think that an upwards move is more probable.

In practice it is better to monitor not only the previous three days but also 2 and 4. If they all indicate the same direction, then its probability is very high (after all, statistics is a stubborn thing).


I've tried to count the number of chosen directions with these tables manually and the value exceeds 70%.

It would be very interesting to code such an approach in MQL.

In the attached file, if you are interested, the principle of calculation in Excel is implemented, but of course everything is done manually.

 

Amateur question: what is the meaning of the numbers in the table?

Is it probability in % of profit/loss or bar height in pips or what else?

Reason: