Determine the future operability of the vehicle. - page 2
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i don't think that the market has changed. some parameters have changed a bit, but nothing more. the basic principles are the same as before, and a good system should be profitable over the entire history.
Then we need to define the concept of "what is a good system"? On the whole history - is it from which year? And to be profitable on the whole history - is it a period of optimization or OOS? If optimization on the entire history - then we face the same question about the TC performance in the future, if the entire history is OOS - then what to optimize it on? If it is split up - then how should it be split up and for which periods? And how profitable should TS be at these periods? And so on.....
I don't think the market has changed. some parameters have changed a bit, but nothing more. the basic principles are the same as before, and a good system should be profitable over the whole history.
i think this is a dangerous misconception
I think it's a dangerous delusion.
100%. The market changes all the time. If it wasn't changing, they would have invented a program with one button, "BABLO", a long time ago. You press it and it starts to make money. The only thing to do is to find a good brick to press this button so it will be pressed all the time )))))
100%. The market changes all the time. If it wasn't changing, they would have invented a tool with a single button that says "BABLO". You press it and it starts to make money. All that's left is to find a good brick to press this button so that it's pressed all the time ))))).
>> from 3rd place to 272nd.
Bablocos
I think this is a dangerous misconception.
There are basic principles that don't change over time, and if you describe them correctly you'll get your own "grail", simple rules like "if the third bar is below the fifth && the second is above the fourth, or if ask<MA of period 13 & ask>MA33 then sell" and others with similar principles in the optimization modes will work fine... but not for long.
There are basic principles that do not change over time, and if you describe them correctly you will get your "grail", simple patterns like "if the third bar is below the fifth && the second is above the fourth or ask<MA 13 period and ask>MA33 then sell" and others on similar principles in optimization modes will work... but not for long.
Constantly - this is meant not on every bar. It changes constantly over a period of time. That is, the same rules may work from one month to six months. More than that is unlikely - or you have to look for some "global" patterns. You write yourself - "will work... but not for long". )))))
There are basic principles that don't change over time, and if you describe them correctly you'll get your own "grail", simple patterns like "if the third bar is below the fifth && the second is above the fourth, or if ask<MA of 13 periods and ask>MA33 then sell" and others on similar principles in the optimization modes will work fine... but not for long.
In this case the art in this case lies not in writing a TS for some system, but in a skillful periodic shuffling of different systems and constant withdrawal of profit during successful periods of their work. If you have a principle, it needs a complete description. If there is one, it needs a complete description. If there's a description then it can be programmed, can't it, but then what's the point? Why are people still racking their brains about how long their next piece of code will last...
You write that there are some basic principles that do not change over time, what are they? If there is a principle, there must be a full description of it. If there's a description, then it can be programmed, can't it, but then what's the point? Why are people still racking their brains about how long their next piece of code will last...
there's no limit to perfection, people are always looking for something, racking their brains for something, it's the way forward...
what are the principles? probably the simplest one is " every relatively large movement has a minimum of 30% pullback"
But to calculate the entry point is a mental task (but it can be solved), the second elementary and immutable principle - after a long flat, there is always a strong movement, "spring effect", you just need to determine the direction, which is also quite solvable.
Help find history on the pound/dollar over 1999 from the hour and below .
On the subject read this 'How to optimise an EA' and https://forum.mql4.com/ru/14208