Ruble have had the biggest price % drop ( more than 55% ) the last 3 months.
The drop was due:
1. Collapse of oil and commodities prices. Russian budget assumed an average $100 per barrel price for 2014.
2. Sanctions from western countries to Russia due to the Crimea.
3. Inability of Russian Central Bank to control the Ruble effectively though interventions.
4. Russia Ecomony is entering a recession and expected to stay for at least 2 years.
In this topic we will update with news that are relevant to Russia Economy, Politics, and Energy price.
The Pz Oscillator is a very smooth and responsive accelerometer which provides a lot of useful information and detects divergences automatically. It is a great trading confirmation and can be used to identify the trend direction and strength. It has been designed as a complement for our trading tools.
The oscillator plots two moving averages to display the trend direction. If the fast moving average is above the slow moving average, the market is during an uptrend and long trad
FULL Automatic is a fully autonomous trading robot for MetaТrader 5 without configurable parameters.
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The indicator represents an additional chart window with a lower time frame where bars are combined into groups that are equivalent in time to main chart time frame. Bars are synchronized by the right hand side of the window, i.e. the time of the last bar in the main window corresponds to the time of the last bar group in the additional window. The maximum number of groups is 16; the maximum number of bars combined into groups in the additional window is 256. Limitations on the numbers are requi
Auto Trade Driver is an automatic powerful tool (run as Expert Advisor) that helps you to manage risk and control orders and maximize your profit in multi-protect/trailing-stop rules.
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This trading panel has been developed for fast and comfortable operation of the financial markets. It is equipped with the necessary functions for manual and semi-automated trading. Due to the presence of the order trailing feature, trailing stop and automatic closure by equity, profit, time. You can use it to automate your trading system. All you have to do is open a position and set the parameters for maintenance, everything else will be handled by the EA. If you want to limit your losses, set
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Currently, the IT sphere is experiencing a boom in neural networks and machine learning. Machine learning is widely used in various fields and is intended to replace the human brain for solving complex problems of classification and prediction.
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The Synchronized Charts script allows comparing bars of different symbols or different periods of the same symbol.
Attach the script to a chart and move bars or change the scale, all opened chart will move synchronously with the current one. The bars on different charts aligned to the border according to their open time.
This is a half scalping system that analyzes the market using a transmission function and price movement speed.
This Expert Advisor is intended for trading on EURUSD, however it can run on other currency pairs. Please use the M1 timeframe.
You should optimize only two parameters: Seconds_to_move and TradePrice. It is sufficient to optimize Bobra Adept only once, for example, for a half year period. After that, Bobra Adept shows good results on a forward period (or backward in my case). This ca
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Cluster analysis of volumes is now available in MetaTrader 5!
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Allows specifying the desired risk, target and searching for the best open price and trade volume.
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Scalper with Automatic Parameter Setting
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Advantages and Features
runs and works at any open chart window (called "base chart" further on in this document); looks like a common chart after launching (see Screenshots); history quality is monitored - each missed o
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Beginning with the version 1.4
The situation with USD/RUB
As we see on H4 timeframe - it is uptrend:
D1 timeframePrice crossed 58.45 resistance level on open D1 bar. If the price will break this level on close bar (tomorrow) so we can expect the bullish trend to be continuing. Otherwise it will be correction within the primary bullish.
It was short term situation. Long term: W1 and MN1.
W1 - same resistance level and the price is breaking it on open bar. We should wait for this bar to be closed to be sure for this uptrend to be continuing:
Conclusion.Just fundamental factors only can move this pair to be down for downtrend. It means - it should be something happened in the world for Russian Runle to be stronger compare with US Dollar for example.
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
newdigital, 2014.12.16 04:21
Russian Ruble Plummets and Here’s How We Might Trade the Clear Trend (based on dailyfx article)
If the Central Bank of Russia is unable to stop
further USDRUB rallies via interest rate hikes and interventions, we
believe that the Russian government will effectively halt speculation on the domestic currency. This may admittedly seem hyperbolic and sensationalist, but already we’ve seen the CBR hike interest rates by 100bps at a time to a massive 10.5 percent
and most recently to 17 percent. Near-zero short-term interest rates in
the US Dollar and other major currencies should make investors more
than happy to receive 10 percent yields. And yet the Ruble rout
continues; it will be critical to see how markets react to the massive,
unexpected interest rate hike.
We believe the Euro
seems especially at risk on further turmoil given economic links and
geographical proximity to Russia—particularly as Western Europe and its
allies leave Russia politically isolated. The Russian Crisis of 1998 was
at the time the world’s largest sovereign credit default and its
effects across broader markets were substantial.
Russia took its biggest step yet to shore up the ruble and defuse the currency crisis threatening its stricken economy.
In a surprise announcement just before 1 a.m. in Moscow, the Russian central bank said it would raise its key interest rate
to 17 percent from 10.5 percent, effective today. The move was the
largest single increase since 1998, when Russian rates soared past 100
percent and the government defaulted on debt.
The news prompted an immediate gain in the ruble, with one-month ruble forwards up 1.6 percent in Asian trading.
the announcement, as well as its timing, underscored the financial
straits in which Russia now finds itself. If sustained, the new higher
rates would squeeze an economy that is already being hurt by sanctions
led by the U.S. and European Union, and by a collapse in oil prices. Some analysts said they doubted the economy could withstand such high rates for long.
move symbolizes the surrender of economic growth for the sake of
preserving the financial system,” said Ian Hague, founding partner at
New York-based Firebird Management LLC, which oversees about $1.1
billion, including Russian stocks. “It’s the right move to make, and it
wasn’t easy to make it.”
So far this year, Russia has spent $80 billion of its
foreign-exchange reserves in an unsuccessful attempt to prop up the
ruble, which tumbled past 64 against the dollar for the first time
yesterday. The currency’s collapse has evoked the turmoil of the 1998
Russian crisis, an event that reverberated through financial markets
around the world.
central bank announced the increase -- the sixth this year -- after
policy makers gathered for an unscheduled meeting.
decision is aimed at limiting substantially increased ruble depreciation
risks and inflation risks,” the central bank said in the statement.
President Vladimir Putin,
whose incursion into Ukraine’s Crimean peninsula in March prompted the
U.S. and its allies to strike back with sanctions, this month called for
“harsh” measures to deter currency speculators.
drastic tightening measures will inflict more pain on the economy, we
have been arguing for a while that it is not about preventing recession,
but full-scale financial turmoil caused by the precipitous ruble fall,”
said Piotr Matys, a currency strategist at Rabobank International in London.
ruble lost 9.7 percent to 64.4455 per dollar yesterday, extending its
plunge this year to 49 percent. Brent, the grade of oil traders look at
for pricing Russia’s main export blend, slipped 79 cents, or 1.3
percent, to end the session at $61.06 a barrel on the London-based ICE
Futures Europe exchange.
Russia derives about 50 percent of its
budget revenue from oil and natural gas taxes. As much as a quarter of
gross domestic product is linked to the energy industry, Moody’s Investors Service estimated in a Dec. 9 report.
economy may shrink 4.5 percent to 4.7 percent next year, the most since
2009, if oil averages $60 a barrel under a “stress scenario,” the
central bank said yesterday. Net capital outflow may reach $134 billion
this year, more than double last year’s total.
“There is a feeling that this rate hike is unfortunately not going to be enough,” Nicholas Spiro,
managing director of Spiro Sovereign Strategy in London. “Russia’s
central bank has tried every trick in the book with exception of
full-blown capital controls.”
were more optimistic, saying the action was big enough to arrest the
ruble’s record decline. “The central bank is trying to stop the
avalanche, and such a massive hike may be sufficient,” said Slava
Breusov, an analyst at Alliance Bernstein in New York. “No one seems to be thinking what it will do to the economy, as the priority is to stop the ruble plunge.”
PARIS -- In recent weeks, the fall in the Russian ruble and Russian
stock markets closely tracked the declines in global oil prices. But
everything changed on Dec. 15. The oil price remained stable, but the
ruble and the stock price indexes lost 30 percent from Monday morning to
Tuesday afternoon. An unprecedented effort by Russia's Central Bank in
the wee hours of Dec. 16 to stabilize the ruble, by hiking the interest rate from 10.5 percent to 17 percent, proved useless.
cause of Russia's "Black Monday" was readily apparent: the government
bailout of state-owned Rosneft, the country's largest oil company.
Usually, bailouts calm markets, but this one recalled early post-Soviet
experiments, when the Central Bank issued direct loans to enterprises --
invariably fueling higher inflation. The Central Bank's governor at the
time, Viktor Gerashchenko, was once dubbed the world's worst central
In 2014, the Central Bank is more constrained than it was
in Gerashchenko's era: It cannot lend directly to firms. Yet it has also
become more sophisticated at achieving the same ends that Gerashchenko
Alpari uk email to clients regarding the ruble:
"USDRUB trades close-only
We're always here to help, so if you have any
questions please contact our Client Services team at"