Determine The Market Direction

[Francis Dogbe]

The market direction depends on which type of fractal has broken last

In order to determine the market direction, find the last broken up fractal and the last broken down fractal. Determine which of these two fractals broke last. If the up fractal broke last, the market direction is up. If the down fractal broke last, the market direction is down.

Note: it does not matter where the actual fractal that is broken is located, what counts is the location of the point where it breaks. It is important to understand that it is the last break of a fractal that counts to determine the market direction, and not the fractal itself. Take a look at the following chart:

[Alain Verleyen]

Roszey:

The market direction depends on which type of fractal has broken last

In order to determine the market direction, find the last broken up fractal and the last broken down fractal. Determine which of these two fractals broke last. If the up fractal broke last, the market direction is up. If the down fractal broke last, the market direction is down.

Note: it does not matter where the actual fractal that is broken is located, what counts is the location of the point where it breaks. It is important to understand that it is the last break of a fractal that counts to determine the market direction, and not the fractal itself. Take a look at the following chart:

It's Bill Williams way of using fractals indicator, but it's only a part of his strategy, and is not enough reliable alone. Market is not always (and almost never ?) so easy that on the chart you posted, unfortunately.

[Ramesh Poudyal]

angevoyageur:
It's Bill Williams way of using fractals indicator, but it's only a part of his strategy, and is not enough reliable alone. Market is not always (and almost never ?) so easy that on the chart you posted, unfortunately.

Absolutely right, sure can be implemented as a part of a strategy, currently I am trying to see the fractals highs and lows around considered SMA 60 and SMA 150 and figure out how the trend behaved in the past, hoping, based on which, to figure out possible trend up ahead. It sure is not that easy to figure out the market direction.

[Rogerio Figurelli]

angevoyageur:
It's Bill Williams way of using fractals indicator, but it's only a part of his strategy, and is not enough reliable alone. Market is not always (and almost never ?) so easy that on the chart you posted, unfortunately.

Indeed, by the way this indicator was introduced by Bill Williams in the suggestive book title "Trading Chaos" !! (http://www.amazon.com/Trading-Chaos-Maximize-Technical-Techniques/dp/0471463086)

In this sense, maybe instead of unfortunately we can say luckily, since chaos theory makes trading challenge an infinity complexity problem to we all address.