USD/JPY Analysis - page 8

 
I have a long on this pair, my TP is at 114.50. Sideways consolidation continues for the moment.
 
Bullish.
 

Weekly US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 09/12/16

A white body has formed as prices closed higher than open.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 8 white candles versus 2 black candles with a net of 6 white candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 28 white candles versus 22 black candles with a net of 6 white candles.

Three white candles has formed during the last three bars. Although these candles were not big enough to create three white soldiers, the steady upward pattern is bullish.MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

 The MACD crossed above the signal line 15 week(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has increased 13.27%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 115.365 to a low of 99.941.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

The Stochastic Oscillator is currently above 80. This is an indication of the security being in an "overbought" condition. No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy 29 Week(s) Ago.

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 21 week(s) ago.

 The RSI has just reached its highest value in the last 14 week(s). This is BULLISH signal.

 

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator is in an overbought condition.

 

 The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a BUY 3 week(s) ago.

There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Buy 6 week(s) Ago.

The close is currently

ABOVE its 200 weekly moving average

ABOVE its 50 weekly moving average

ABOVE its 20 weekly moving average

  The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bullish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the upper Bollinger Band by 8.7%.  Although prices have broken the upper Bollinger Band and an upside breakout is possible, the most likely scenario is for the current trading range that US Dollar / Japanese Yen is in to continue.   Bollinger Bands are 71.45% wider than normal. 

 


 
The pair upward momentum remains strong, but I'm expecting some correction movement until Wednesday Fed's interest rate decision.
 
Eur/Jpy upward strength remains, some correction movement within positive territory might continue in the near term.
 

Daily US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 09/12/16

*** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy: BUY US Dollar / Japanese Yen

Buy Target: 115.7473

Enter New BUY on OPEN and exit BUY positions at Target price or at Stop price.

(NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!

 

A big bullish white candle has formed. Prices closed considerably higher than open. If the candle appears when prices are "low," it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off a support area, a moving average, trend line, or retracement level, the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Likewise, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 6 white candles versus 4 black candles with a net of 2 white candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 30 white candles versus 20 black candles with a net of 10 white candles.

MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

 The MACD crossed above the signal line 0 day(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has been unchanged, and has been fluctuating from a high of 115.365 to a low of 114.058.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

The Stochastic Oscillator is currently above 80. This is an indication of the security being in an "overbought" condition. No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 28 Day(s) Ago.

The RSI is above 70. This is where it usually tops. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Sell  9 day(s) ago.

 

Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen has set a new 14-period high while the RSI has not. This is a BEARISH DIVERGENCE.

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

 

 The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL 21 day(s) ago.

A SAR Buy signal generated today. If you are short, this might be a good place to exit.

The close is currently

ABOVE its 200 daily moving average

ABOVE its 50 daily moving average

ABOVE its 20 daily moving average

With strong confirmation from the short term-trend and a current Buy signal. The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bullish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed below the upper Bollinger Band by 15.2%.  Bollinger Bands are 59.85% wider than normal. 

 


 
USD/JPY is trading flat in preparation for the FED interest rate decision. In my opinion, the news will cause a drop, but whether that will happen will become clear in a few hours.
 
The pair rebounded from 116.54 after forming a spinning top bar on the 30M time frame. I think the move to the upside will continue towards the previous high at 118.65.
 
The pair is stuck in a tight range, I think if it breaks out above 117.75 it will reach 118.00 - 118.10.
 
Expecting a move down.
Reason: