U.K. Unemployment Lowest Since 2008
The U.K. unemployment rate declined to the lowest since 2008 as employment hit record high, but earnings growth remained weak squeezing consumers' purchasing power.
The ILO jobless rate for March to May fell to 6.5 percent of workforce, the lowest since the last quarter of 2008, the Office for National Statistics reported Wednesday.
The rate was in line with economists' expectations. This was down from 6.9 percent seen in December to February and 7.8 percent in the same period last year.
During March to May, there were 2.12 million unemployed, 121,000 fewer than from December to February. The number of people in work surged 254,000 from February to 30.64 million, the highest on record.
In June, the claimant count fell to 3.1 percent, the lowest since September 2008, from 3.2 percent in May. The rate matched economists' expectations.
The number of people claiming Jobseeker's Allowance declined by 36,300 from May to 1.04 million, when it was forecast to drop by 27,000.
Despite the decline in unemployment, wage growth eased further squeezing purchasing power of consumers.
Pay including bonuses for employees for March to May was 0.3 percent higher than a year earlier, the weakest expansion since May 2009. It was slower than the 0.5 percent rise forecast by economists.
At the same time, earnings excluding bonuses were up by 0.7 percent, the slowest on record.
Ongoing very low earnings growth suggests that there is still an appreciable amount of labor market slack with little pressure on inflation coming from pay, IHS Global Insight's Chief UK Economist Howard Archer said.
The labor market statistics gained much importance after the Bank of England linked its interest rate to unemployment last August. The central bank then modified its forward guidance as unemployment started falling more sharply than anticipated.
Early this year, the BoE said the interest rate would not be raised from 0.50 percent until the slack in the labor market is exhausted.
Although employment has continued to grow rapidly, there still appears to be enough slack in the jobs market to prevent pay from picking up, Samuel Tombs, a senior UK economist at Capital Economics said.
With the majority of the evidence pointing to the economy still seeing healthy growth and the unemployment rate coming down markedly, IHS Global Insight's Archer believes that the first interest rate hike to 0.75 percent from 0.50 percent is more likely to occur in late-2014 than early-2015, but said it is a tight call.
Auto Trade Copier is designed to copy trades between multi MetaTrader 5 accounts/terminals with 100% accuracy.
With this tool, you can act as either a provider (source) or a receiver (destination). All trading actions will be copied from the provider to the receiver with no delay.
Note: Demo version for testing can be downloaded at: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/5006.
Followings are highlight features:
Switch between Provider or Receiver role within one tool.One provider can copy tr
MetaCOT 2 is a set of indicators and specialized utilities for the analysis of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission reports. Thanks to the reports issued by the Commission, it is possible to analyze the size and direction of the positions of the major market participants, which brings the long-term price prediction accuracy to a new higher-quality level, inaccessible to most traders.
These indicators, related to the fundamental analysis, can also be used as an effective long-term filte
A script for opening a grid of orders
If you need to quickly open several pending orders (Buy Limit, Sell Limit, Buy Stop, Sell Stop) on a certain distance from the current price, this script will do all the routine for you! Allow AutoTrading before running the script.
Run the script on a chart.
Language of messages displayed (EN, RU, DE, FR, ES) - language of the output messages (English, Russian, German, French, Spanish). Price for open - open price. If set to
The indicator marks supports and resistances of each rebound, also the maximum price and the minimum price of the day.
It has a basis for developing strategies, as well as for a good technical analysis.
It is very easy to detect trends, channels, trend changes, breaks and other events.
It works in any timeframe as in any type of market.
No additional parameters are needed.
Averager is intended for averaging your deals that has had a drawdown or had gone against the trend.
An example of operation of the averager in an Exeprt Advisor in the MetaTrader 5 terminal: Exp - TickSniper. The system is identical to the averaging system created for MetaTrader 4. A demo version of the averager for MetaTrader 5: Averager DEMO.Note: this is not an automated trading system (the EA doesn't work in the strategy tester). It monitors your deals and averages them in case o
The most profitable trend traders are the ones who know how to recognize not only the market trend, but also the trading opportunities that arise once a trend has been established. The Pz Trend Trading indicator has been designed to profit has much as possible from trends taking place in the maket.
Established trends offer dozens of trading opportunities, but most trend trading indicators neglect them completely, and leave the trader completely uninformed about what the market is doing during a
Does not support hedging orders on a single symbol on MT5
MultiMTCopier MT5Receiver - new and improved multi-terminal positions copier for your real/demo account, works faster, requires less, flexible in managing and upgrading, new information support. This Expert Advisor is designed for the MetaTrader 5 terminal, trades will be copied into this terminal.
The EA will copy all positions without delays Additionally integrated notification in situations requiring user attention
We present you an effective software solution for arbitrage between brokers.
The Arbitrage on the market became widespread due to decentralization. There are many liquidity providers, whose quotes differ for various reasons. By tracking the dynamics of changes in the quotes of different brokers, it is possible to determine the delayed and leading brokers, thereby predicting the future prices of the delayed broker for a short time. Knowing these prices and using efficient built-in software filte
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo is a purpose-built trend trading charting system that has been successfully used in nearly every tradable market. It is unique in many ways, but its primary strength is its use of multiple data points to give the trader a deeper, more comprehensive view into price action. This deeper view, and the fact that Ichimoku is a very visual system, enables the trader to quickly discern and filter "at a glance" the low-probability trading setups from those of higher proba
MACD All MAs-14 is a MACD indicator that allows choosing usual parameters of the standard MACD (constructed from EMA) as well as the type of the moving average to be applied: up to 14 different types.
You can select 9 standard MAs available in MetaTrader 5 - SMA, EMA, SMMA, LWMA, DEMA, TEMA, Frama, VIDYA, AMA, TRIX, and 4 non-standard - LRMA, HMA, JMA, AFIRMA.
Method MA - select the type of moving average to be displayed in the current graph. Period slow MA - the number
The indicator determines the inside bar and marks its High/Low. It is plotted based on the closed candles (does not redraw). The identified inside bar can be displayed on the smaller periods. You may set a higher period (to search for the inside bar) and analyze on a smaller one. Also you can see the levels for Mother bar.
Period to find Inside Bar — the period to search for the inside bar. If a specific period is set, the search will be performed in that period. Al
The script creates account summary report in a separate window.
The report can be created for all deals and on deals for selected financial instruments.
It is possible to specify a time interval of calculation and save report to htm-file.
The script creates account summary report in a separate window.
The report can be created for all deals and for deals of the selected financial instruments.
It is possible to specify a time interval of calculation and save report to htm-file.
COSMOS4U Volume indicator facilitates your trade decisions. It gives confirmation of the running movement and market trends. It highlights current and past accumulation and distribution volumes, comparing them to moving average volume and the highest volume. In addition, it identifies and marks nuances as well as convergence and divergence patterns of bears and bulls in order to provide the market trend and price ranges.
The supported features are as follows:
Fast Volume Moving Average Slow
The indicator represents an additional chart window with a lower time frame where bars are combined into groups that are equivalent in time to main chart time frame. Bars are synchronized by the right hand side of the window, i.e. the time of the last bar in the main window corresponds to the time of the last bar group in the additional window. The maximum number of groups is 16; the maximum number of bars combined into groups in the additional window is 256. Limitations on the numbers are requi
The script allows users to easily close positions if their profit/loss reaches or exceeds a value specified in pips.
Please set slippage value first. Sometimes some positions do not close due to high volatility of the market. Please set larger slippage or restart the script.
Trade Copier Pro is a powerful tool to copy trade remotely between multiple accounts at different locations over internet. This is an ideal solution for signal provider, who want to share his trade with the others globally on his own rules. One provider can copy trades to multiple receivers and one receiver can get trade from multiple providers as well. The provider can even set the subscription expiry for each receiver, so that receiver will not be able to receive the signal after that
Virtual TrailingStop is an Expert Advisor that manages trailing stop without sending its information to the broker server.
EnableVirtualTrailingStop: enable or disable whole function VirtualTrailingStop: the pip use for determine how far the Virtual Trailing Stop will placed calculated from current price StartFromBreakEven: true/false. If true, Virtual Trailing Stop will placed after breakeven BreakEvenPoint: point profit from order open price where the Virtual T
Auto Trade Driver is an automatic powerful tool (run as Expert Advisor) that helps you to manage risk and control orders and maximize your profit in multi-protect/trailing-stop rules.
This tool is very useful for both scalpers and trend followers. It not only calculates the trade risk exactly, but also protects and maximizes your profits in real-time.
With this tool, the only thing you have to do is to enter trade by your own strategy, then it will auto-drive your position with exit strategy y
The indicator displays economic news on the currency chart (the appropriate data must be downloaded from the Internet - please see the download instructions on the screenshots provided). The list of currencies (countries) is customizable. By default it shows all currencies. The main parameters come with a built-in description. In addition, there are parameters for advanced users. News items are divided into 3 categories by degree of importance. There is a great flexibility in display parameter s
The script is intended for automatic placing of Buy Stop pending orders, Stop Losses and Take Profits on the user specified levels.
Avoiding unwanted entering a long position in case of false hitting the level as a result of widening of the spread by a dealing center. Avoiding unwanted triggering of a Stop Loss in case a quote pierces a significant level (fractal) without further confirmation with the close price. Setting a necessary virtual order and entering the market in
Exp COPYLOT CLIENT for MT5 is a copier for the МetaТrader 5 platform. It copies forex trades from any accounts. Including those from terminals МТ5 and МТ4.
Install the Expert Advisor in the terminal where you want to copy trades. Specify any text label name as pathRead, for example, "COPY". This should match the master terminal (to bind the two terminals). To copy trades, you need to install the free Master copier in the terminal from where you want to copy the trades: COPYLOT
The Trade Manager Pro EA is a MetaTrader Expert Advisor that performs position management for you avoiding human errors and enhancing your trading activity.
Amazingly easy to use Trade easily from the chart Trade with precise risk management, hassle free Capital preservation is top priority Let profits run without your attention Enjoy risk-free trades as soon as possible Automatic trailing stops for all opened trades Initial stop losses are placed as soon as trades are
The script is intended for automatic placing of Sell Stop pending orders, Stop Losses and Take Profits on the user specified levels. This script is not that useful as "Virtual pending buy stop", since short positions are opened as Bid price crosses the levels. Thus spread widening is not dangerous. Nevertheless, you need to have this script to prevent unwanted hitting of the Stop Loss levels.
Automation of the process of placing the Sell Stop pending orders, Stop Losses and T
Does not support hedging orders on a single symbol on MT5
MultiMTCopier MT5Source - new and improved multi-terminal positions copier for your real / demo account, works faster, requires less, flexible in managing and upgrading, new information support. This expert is designed for terminal MetaTrader5 from which the position will be copied.
The EA will copy all positions without delays Additionally integrated notification in situations requiring user attention Buttons for re
qAutoActivation indicator is one of the main components of Trading Chaos Expert trading expert panel. The indicator displays the current trend on the current timeframe. This is the first indicator that is attached to the chart and saved in the trading complex template. It defines what trading signals from the expert panel should be automated for market entry (bullish or bearish ones).
When the trend changes, the indicator changes the line color and, at the same time, highlights the trading pane
Market Profile defines a number of day types that can help the trader to determine market behaviour. A key feature is the Value Area, representing the range of price action where 70% of trading took place. Understanding the Value Area can give traders valuable insight into market direction and establish the higher odds trade. It is an excellent addition to any system you may be using.
Blahtech Limited presents their Market Profile indicator for the MetaTrader community. Inspired by Jim Dalton’s
The fractal analysis of the markets is used in the indicator operation algorithm. According to the fractals theory, after the breakthrough of the fractal level confirmed by the closing price located below or above the fractal, the trend wave in the direction of the breakthrough starts to develop. Until the fractal has been passed in the opposite direction, the trend is considered to be acting even if the price is flat or moves backwards. If a bullish fractal has been previously broken through on
Safe Automatic is a safe MetaТrader 5 trading robot working autonomously on a VPS server. The good results are achieved on EURUSD.
The EA applies modified versions of a trend-following strategy, half-pyramiding, scalping, Elliott Wave method and speculating trading with a deposit protection. The EA switches the strategies automatically. The program also takes the news calendar into account: the robot does not enter the market in a 10-minute interval before and after a news rel
CandleTimer is an indicator that can be usable for scalper and short-term traders. It shows the following useful information:
Remaining and past time of a candle on the current chart or other timeframe Alarm setting for play sound at the start of the current candle Show SL/TP line defining whether the indicator has a Sell or Buy order or both Show a spread value Show Ask and Bid lines in different colors in high and low spread Compatible with a money management EA (you can buy it separat
The Expert Advisor implements the classic "triangular arbitrage", which is successfully used by hedge funds.
"Triangular" arbitrage refers to a class of neutral-market strategies, in which the profit or loss of open positions does not depend on the direction of the market movement as a whole.
In order to take profit, the EA exploits a weak spot of market makers - it utilizes the difficulty of balancing cross rates of all currency pairs.
The advantages of the strategy are the following:
Pound Rises to 22-Month High Versus Euro as Jobless Rate Drops
The pound rose to the strongest level in 22 months against the euro as a report showing U.K. unemployment slid to the lowest since 2008 added to signs the economy can withstand higher interest rates.
Sterling was about 0.3 percent from an almost six-year high versus the dollar. Today’s data added fuel to a resurgence in the pound’s world-beating rally that was given impetus yesterday when inflation exceeded economist estimates, spurring bets Bank of England Governor Mark Carney will hasten plans to increase borrowing costs. The report, which also showed slower pay growth, pushed a gauge of future price swings for the pound versus the euro to the highest in a month.
“The U.K. economy is on every measure outperforming euro land,” said Nick Parsons, head of research for U.K. and Europe at National Australia Bank Ltd. in London. “The fall in the jobless rate is clearly good news. Slowing wage growth is a temporary statistical phenomenon, which will be reversed. This is an opportunity to reload with sterling longs.” A long position is a bet an asset will appreciate in value.
The pound strengthened 0.2 percent to 78.98 pence per euro at 4:23 p.m. London time after touching 78.90, the strongest level since September 2012. Sterling was little changed at $1.7135 after appreciating to $1.7192 yesterday, the highest since October 2008.
U.K. Firms Raise Marketing Budgets For Seventh Quarter
U.K 's marketing budgets was increased for the seventh straight quarter in the second quarter of 2014, as firms took advantage of a strengthening business climate, results of a survey by Markit Economics and IPA showed Thursday.
The Bellwether survey showed that a net balance of 15.2 percent of companies raised their advertising budgets in the second quarter.
This was the second highest reading in 14-year survey history and down from the survey high of 20.4 percent recorded in the first quarter. The survey also revealed the longest period of continuous growth.
Spending on internet marketing was raised the most in the second quarter as this allowed companies to target specific clientele in a cost effective manner. The net balance rose to 14.7 percent.
Also, high profile media campaigns were also used to maintain a competitive edge. Main media advertising balance increased to 11.5 percent in the second quarter, slightly below the record 11.7 percent in the first three months of the year.
Other sub-categories, such as direct marketing, events, PR and sales promotions, also recorded moderate growth. However, the balance for market research was negative in the second quarter.
Going forward, firms expect to raise their marketing budgets on the back of continued optimism regarding their own and wider industry financial prospects, the survey found. That said, cost pressures continue to weigh on budgets.
The U.K. economy is likely to expand at least 3 percent this year, according to the survey. The survey also raised their adspend growth forecast for the year to 6.1 percent from 4.7 percent seen in the first quarter. Adspend is projected to grow 3.8 percent in 2015.
Markit Chief Economist Chris Williamson said, "This year's budgeted spend, which was already set higher than last year, has been revised up again in the second quarter, setting the scene for a bumper year."
"The survey also adds to a growing body of data which points to the UK economy sustaining strong growth as we move into the second half of the year."
GBP/USD edges lower as sentiment wanes
The pound edged lower against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, as recent comments by Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen continued to support demand for the greenback and fresh concerns over tensions in Ukraine dampened market sentiment.
GBP/USD hit 1.7108 during European morning trade, the pair's lowest since July 15; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.7111, slipping 0.15%.
Cable was likely to find support at 1.7060, the low of July 15 and resistance at 1.7192, the high of July 15 and an almost six-year high.
The greenback strengthened broadly after Ms. Yellen said Tuesday that rates could rise sooner if the economic recovery continued to improve. However, the Fed chair also said that if the recovery was disappointing monetary policy would remain accommodative.
Separately, markets were jittery as the U.S. and the European Union announced on Wednesday a fresh round of sanctions against Russia, following the annexation of Crimea in April and ongoing tensions in the rest of Ukraine. The U.S. package was the largest round of penalties so far.
In reponse to the sanctions, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that relations with the U.S. are in danger of reaching a "dead end" and could damage U.S. business interests in his country.
The pound remained mildly supported however, after data on Wednesday showed that the U.K. unemployment rate fell to 6.5% in the three months to May, the lowest since late 2008. However, wage growth in the same period remained weak, slightly tempering expectations for a rate hike by the Bank of England this year.
Elsewhere, the euro pulled back from almost two-year lows against sterling, with EUR/GBP up 0.18% to 0.7907, off lows of 0.7889.
Pound Retreats From Two-Year High as BNP Warns on Scotland Vote
The U.K. pound retreated from its strongest level in almost two years against the euro as BNP Paribas SA said sentiment toward the currency may be unsettled as Scotland’s independence referendum nears.
Sterling has posted the biggest gain in the past year among 10 developed-country currencies tracked in Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes amid bets an intensifying recovery will prompt the Bank of England to raise interest rates. The referendum “stands to unsettle sterling at a time when sentiment is otherwise supportive,” Phyllis Papadavid, a London-based senior global-currency strategist, wrote in a client note today.
With just two months before the Sept. 18 vote, polls show more people want to remain within the U.K. than end the 307-year-old union, though enough are undecided to make an upset possible. The future of the pound has been central to the debate, with Prime Minister David Cameron ruling out sharing sterling with a newly independent state, while nationalists threatened to walk away from Scotland’s liabilities, which would increase Britain’s debt as a proportion of gross domestic product.
“The market’s attention to the referendum is growing and will continue to grow as we head into September,” Papadavid said in a telephone interview. “Our base case is that they don’t vote for independence but the risk in the run up to the vote and the potential uncertainty around the actual vote will boost sterling volatility.”
U.K. Bank Lending To Businesses Improves: BoE
U.K. net lending to businesses was positive in the three months to May, while mortgage approvals for house purchases declined, the Trends in Lending data released by the Bank of England showed Friday.
Lending to businesses increased in three months ended May, in contrast to a negative flow in the previous period, it said.
Nonetheless, the annual growth rate in lending to both small and medium-sized enterprises and large business remained negative.
Meanwhile, data revealed that mortgage approvals by all UK-resident mortgage lenders for house purchase fell, partly due to delays associated with operational requirements arising from the introduction of the Mortgage Market Review.
Gross secured lending in the three months to May was broadly similar to the previous period. At the same time, consumer credit flows were GBP 2.4 billion, higher than the previous period.
Spreads over reference rates on new lending were unchanged for small businesses, while it fell significantly for medium-sized and large businesses in the second quarter.
GBP/USD forecast for the week of July 21, 2014
The GBP/USD pair went back and forth during the course of the week, showing the 1.70 level to be supportive yet again. Ultimately, we did not have that larger range, but we do recognize that the market is still positive as long as we are above the aforementioned 1.70 handle. A supportive candle could get us to start buying, just as a break of the top of the range for the previous week would. We believe that the market should go to the 1.75 handle given enough time, and that is our longer-term target.
GBP/USD weekly outlook: July 21 - 25
The pound fell to three-week lows against the dollar on Friday amid concerns over escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and the West before recovering slightly late in the session.
GBP/USD touched lows of 1.0737, the weakest since June 30 before pulling back to 1.0786 late Friday, ending the day down 0.08%. For the week, the pair lost 0.20%. It was the second straight week of losses after the pair hit an almost six-year high of 1.7190 on July 15.
Cable is likely to find support at around the 1.7000 level and resistance at 1.7150.
The drop in the pound came amid increased demand for save haven assets following the shooting down of a Malaysia Airlines jet in eastern Ukraine. Moscow has denied involvement in the crash, which came a day after the U.S. announced a fresh round of sanctions against Russia for supporting separatists in east Ukraine.
Markets were also unsettled as Israel expanded its ground offensive in Gaza.
Demand for the dollar continued to be underpinned after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen indicated earlier in the week that interest rates may rise sooner if the economy continues to improve.
The US Dollar Index, which tracks the performance of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, was at 80.60 late Friday, after rising to one-month highs of 80.75 earlier in the session.
Elsewhere Friday, sterling also edged lower against the euro, with EUR/GBP touching highs of 0.7934 before easing back to 0.7914 at the close, not far from Wednesday’s 22-month low of 0.7880.
The single currency remained under pressure after the Bank of Italy cut its growth forecast for 2014 to 0.2% from 0.7% on Friday and warned that risks to the economy remained to the downside.
The announcement underlined concerns over the faltering economic recovery in the currency bloc.
Earlier in the week European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said that large scale asset purchases are “squarely” within the bank’s mandate. The remarks were the latest indication that the central bank is open to further monetary easing measures to stave off the risk of deflation in the euro area.
In the week ahead, the U.S. is to release what will be closely watched data on consumer prices, home sales and manufacturing orders. Investors will also be awaiting data on second quarter growth from the U.K.
Sterling slips lower against dollar
The pound edged lower against the dollar on Monday as concerns over escalating tensions between Russia and the West weighed on market sentiment, underpinning safe haven demand.
GBP/USD touched lows of 1.7070 and was last at 1.7083.
Cable was likely to find support at around the 1.70 level and resistance at 1.7150.
Tensions between the West and Russia have mounted since the shooting down of a Malaysian airliner in eastern Ukraine late last week. The U.S. and other nations have accused Russia of complicity in the crash, which Moscow has denied.
Market sentiment deteriorated on Monday following reports that Ukrainian troops were moving in to the rebel held city of Donetsk, fuelling fears over an escalation in the region.
Concerns over Israel's ground offensive in Gaza also contributed to risk aversion in markets.
Sterling rose to almost six-year high of 1.7190 against the dollar last week amid expectations that the deepening economic recovery in the U.K. will prompt the Bank of England to raise interest rates before the end of the year.
However, the dollar received a boost after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen indicated last week that interest rates may rise sooner if the economy continues to improve.
Elsewhere Monday, the pound was almost unchanged against the euro, with EUR/GBP at 0.7913, holding above Friday’s 22-month lows of 0.7888.
The single currency remained under pressure after recent comments by European Central Bank President Mario Draghi were seen as the latest sign that the bank is open to further monetary easing measures to stave off the risk of deflation in the euro area.
U.K. Consumer Confidence Falls For First Time In 2014
U.K. consumer confidence declined in June for the first time in 2014, according to Lloyds Bank Spending Power Report, published on Monday.
The overall consumer confidence index fell by a percentage point to 145 in June. However, spending growth on essentials was around 1 percent higher than a year ago, limiting the pressure on consumer wallets.
Patrick Foley, chief economist at Lloyds Bank, said, "Notwithstanding a modest easing in confidence, the economic backdrop for consumers remains positive, particularly so in light of continued gains in employment."
Data showed that sentiment towards employment situation remained relatively stable at -26 percent for June. Consumers' sentiment towards their own personal finances continues to maintain a positive balance, despite seeing a slight decline to 14 percent.
Feelings towards the housing market declined eight points to -12 percent in June. The balance of opinion on future discretionary income fell to zero from 6 percent in May.
Elsewhere, British Retail Consortium /Springboard Footfall Monitor showed that footfall was down 0.7 percent in June from a year ago, which was sharper than the 0.2 percent fall in May.
Footfall on high street was 1.7 percent down on the previous year for June, down from May's fall of 0.9 percent, it said.
Helen Dickinson, BRC Director General, said, "At first glance, this month's figures don't paint a rosy picture for the retail industry with the headline figure showing footfall shrinking once again." However, out-of-town shopping destinations continue to outperform high streets and shopping centres.