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CFTC: Speculators Euro Net Short Positions at 42-Week High
Data in this report cover up to Tuesday Nov 1 & were released Friday Nov 4.
IMM data for the week through November 1 showed speculative FX accounts sticking with recent trends by and large. The market’s aggregate USD long position continues to rise, with a USD2.2bn net addition this week to total USD 21.7bn—the highest since January.
Positioning suggests that, as of Tuesday, investors were happy to stay net long USD into the US presidential election. For individual currencies, net positioning changes were relatively muted.
Net EUR longs increased USD2.1bn in the week, accounting for virtually the entire aggregate rise in long USD positioning. Gross EUR longs liquidated positions while gross shorts held their ground overall.
Investors trimmed GBP shorts slightly in the week (USD 48mn) while net CHF shorts were boosted by USD208mn— suggesting no interest in “safe havens” here.
CAD bearish sentiment strengthened overall, with net shorts growing by USD194mn (or by some 3k contracts) as both gross long and gross short exposure rose in the week.
Bullish AUD sentiment strengthened relatively more, however, as net long AUD positions rose sharply (USD686mn or some 9k contracts) - reflecting the rather strong and persistent uptrend in AUDCAD. Net Kiwi shorts fell slightly but positioning here remains flat overall.
CFTC commitments of traders: Speculative positions at 9 1/2 month highs
Forex futures market positioning data as of the close of the market on Tuesday, November 8, 2016
CFTC - Commitments of Traders - No Major Changes in Speculative Positions
CFTC commitment of traders: Most currency positions are pared in the current week
Forex futures market positioning data as of the close of the market on Tuesday, November 15, 2016
- EUR 119K short vs 129K short last week. Shorts pared by 10K
- GBP 80K short vs 90K short last week. Shorts pared by 10K
- JPY 21K long vs 32K long last week. Longs pared by 11K
- CHF 22K short vs. 23K short last week. Short pared by 1K
- CAD 18K short vs 21K short last week. Shorts pared by 3K
- AUD 42K long vs 41K long last week. Longs increased by 1K
- NZD 2K long vs 2K long last week. Unchanged on the week.
The EUR position remains the largest and position but compared to short positions in the 1st quarter of 2015, it is not near those positions. The EUR has been short since May 2014.CFTC: Speculators Less Bearish on EUR, GBP; Less Bullish on Japanese Yen
CFTC Commitments of Traders: Yen bets still on, but not many
Forex futures market positioning data as of the close of the market on Tuesday, November 22, 2016
CFTC: Speculators More Bearish on S&P 500; Less Bullish on Japanese Yen, Aussie
CFTC Commitments of Traders: Yen traders are finally square
Forex futures market positioning data as of the close of the market on Tuesday, November 29, 2016
CFTC: Speculators More Bearish on S&P 500, Sterling; More Bullish on Crude Oil