Intraday trading signal - page 16

 

Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

Market Review - 04/03/2010 22:51GMT

Euro tumbles on ECB n Deutsche Bank's downgrade by Moody's dollar surged broadly

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The greenback rose broadly on Thursday and the single currency declined sharply after the ECB stated it would not be 'appropriate' for the International Monetary Fund to aid Greece, adding that recovery would be uneven and reducing the chances of a near-term rise in record low euro zone interest rates.

Euro has traded with a soft undertone in Asia but staged a pullback to 1.3694 in European morning. Price fell sharply from there and picked up more downward momentum after the ECB kept rate remained unchanged at 1% as expected. After the rate decision, ECB's Trichet said eurozone economy is expected to grow at moderate pace in 2010 and inflation will be around 1% in near term. He also indicated ECB will keep its special term, one-month liquidity operations, maintaining the same rate. Besides he opposed IMF aid to Greece, saying this act as 'not appropriate'. The single currency tumbled to an intra-day low of 1.3551 in NY mid-day after Moody's downgraded Deutsche Bank's rating.

Versus the yen, dollar extended Wednesday weakness in Asia and price hit an intra-day low of 88.14 ahead of European opening. However, the pair staged an abrupt reversal from there and rose sharply in Europe and NY. Price eventually hit an intra-day high of 89.27 in NY afternoon after data showed a decline in U.S. jobless claims from previous reading of 496.0K to 469.0K, stirring hope about the U.S. economy. Markets expected Friday's non-farm payrolls to show employers cut 50,000 jobs last month, though analysts expect some of that will have been influenced by snowstorm. The pair closed the day up over 0.6%. On other news, after the US market has closed, Reuters reported that 'BOJ has begun examining possible monetary policy easing'. Newspaper also said BOJ is likely to make such decision at its next policy meeting on Mar 16-17 or in the following month.

Despite cable's weakness in Asia, price staged a strong bounce from 1.5025 and rose further after BOE kept its rate unchanged at record low of 0.5% and sterling hit an intra-day high of 1.5136 in NY morning, however, cable tumbled from there after the release of stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data and price hit an intra-day low of 1.5006 in NY mid-day before stabilising.

Data to be released on Friday include U.K. PPI core, PPI input, PPI output, Germany Factory orders, U.S. Avg. hourly earnings, Non-farm payrolls and Unemployment rate.

 

EUR/USD Intraday trading signal by AceTrader

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: EUR/USD

EUR/USD: 1.3591

Late Update At 05 Mar 2010 04:22 GMT

Although euro has ratcheted higher to 1.3603

after selloff to 1.3551 in NY y'day, as this move

signals correction fm this week's low at 1.3433 has

ended at 1.3736, consolidation with downside bias

remains for re-test of said sup, then twd 1.3515.

Hold short for 1.3560 1st n only rise abv 1.3633

(prev. sup) wud defer intra-day bearishness.

Range Forecast

1.3570 / 1.3600

Resistance/Support

R: 1.3606/1.3633/1.3694

S: 1.3551/1.3515/1.3484

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Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

Market Review - 06/03/2010 01:30GMT

Yen weakens against most currencies after better-than-expected U.S. jobs report

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The dollar fell against most of G7 currencies except the yen as U.S. non-farm payrolls showed fewer Americans lost jobs last month than economists' forecast, boosting hopes a U.S. economic recovery was on track and rekindling risk appetite.

Despite trading sideways in Asia and European morning, the greenback rallied against the yen after NPF came in better than expected at -36k vs. forecast of -50k. Unemployment rate came in 9.7%, also better than economists' forecast of 9.8%. The pair eventually rose to one-week high of 90.60 in NY afternoon and closed at 90.32.

The single currency traded with a soft undertone in Asia and Europe morning as German Economy Minister Rainer Bruederle said the German government had no intention of offering Greece a single cent in financial aid and price fell to an intra-day low of 1.3530 shortly after U.S. released its jobs data. However, as the better-than-expected NPF has increased risk appetite, euro ratceheted higher and later rose to an intra-day high of 1.3633 in NY mid-day before easing.

Data to be released next week include Japan Current account, Trade balance, Swiss Jobless rate, Retail sales, Germany Industrial production n Canada Housing starts on Monday, Japan Leading indicators, Swiss CPI, U.K. RICS house prices, Retail sales n Trade balance on Tuesday, Japan Domestic CGPI, Machine orders, Germany CPI final, Trade balance, Current account, U.K. Industrial production, Manufacturing production n U.S. Wholesale inventories on Wednesday, Swiss SNB rate decision n Canada Trade balance on Thursday, New Zealand Retail sales n Japan Industrial production on Friday.

 

AUD/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM :

AUD/USD: 0.9110

Last Update At 08 Mar 2010 06:39 GMT

As aud has contineud to trade with a firm under-

tone after intra-day rise to 0.9119 n upside bias

remains for upmove fm 0.8678 to extend to 0.9130,

nr term loss of momentum shud cap price at 0.9150/

53 n yield a long-over due minor correction today.

Turn long on pullback for this move n only firm

break below 0.9056/60 sup confirms top is made.

Range Forecast

0.9095 / 0.9122

Resistance/Support

R: 0.9122/0.9153/0.9177

S: 0.9081/0.9056/0.9040

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GBP/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD: 1.4955

Last Update At 11 Mar 2010 06:52 GMT

Despite intra-day rebound fm 1.4949 to 1.4988 in

Asian trading, failure to re-test y'day's 1.4993

high (NY) suggests further sideways move wud conti-

nue but as long as 1.4928 (reaction low) holds, cor

rective rise fm 1.4873 wud head twd 1.5017 later.

For st trade, buy cable on dips with stop below

said sup, break may risk weakness to 1.4900/05.

Range Forecast

1.4955 / 1.4985

Resistance/Support

R: 1.4993/1.5017/1.5031

S: 1.4928/1.4900/1.4873

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Support, Resistance and Range forecast by AceTrader

INTRA-DAY USD/JPY:

Last Update At 12 Mar 2010 04:37 GMT

Range Forecast

90.50 / 90.75

Resistance/Support

R: 90.83/91.10/91.42

S: 90.50/90.20/89.94

-------------------------------------------------

INTRA-DAY EUR/USD:

Last Update At 12 Mar 2010 04:38 GMT

Range Forecast

1.3675/ 1.3705

Resistance/Support

R: 1.3705/1.3736/1.3789

S: 1.3658/1.3621/1.3596

-------------------------------------------------

INTRA-DAY USD/CHF:

Last Update At 12 Mar 2010 04:43 GMT

Range Forecast

1.0670 / 1.0700

Resistance/Support

R: 1.0708/1.0733/1.0754

S: 1.0676/1.0648/1.0609

-------------------------------------------------

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD:

Last Update At 12 Mar 2010 06:40 GMT

Range Forecast

1.5038 / 1.5075

Resistance/Support

R: 1.5089/1.5112/1.5169

S: 1.5029/1.4993/1.4947

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AUD/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM :

AUD/USD: 0.9165

Last Update At 12 Mar 2010 09:09 GMT

As aussie has risen again after finding renewed

buying around 0.9150/54, suggesting upside bias is

still seen for re-test of Wednesday's high of 0.91

93 n abv wud extend recent erratic upmove fm 0.8578

to 0.9200 but reckon 0.9224 wud cap upside.

Trade fm long side with now as indicated, break

wud prolong choppy trading n risk 0.9111 again.

Range Forecast

0.9155 / 0.9193

Resistance/Support

R: 0.9193/0.9224/0.9255

S: 0.9140/0.9111/0.9086

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AUD/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM :

AUD/USD: 0.9147

Last Update At 15 Mar 2010 06:14 G

As aud has continued to edge lower after early

resumption of recent upmove to 0.9209 (NZ/AUD), sug

gesting further weakness to 0.9111 is seen after

minor consolidation, however, steep decline below

there is not likely ahead of European opening.

Trade fm short side with stop now as indicated,

abv wud risk 0.9180/85 b4 'down'.

Range Forecast

0.9125 / 0.9165

Resistance/Support

R: 0.9209/0.9224/0.9255

S: 0.9111/0.9086/0.9056

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GBP/USD Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

INTRA-DAY GBP/USD: 1.5056

Last Update At 16 Mar 2010 04:40 GMT

Although cable has edged higher in tandem with

euro in Asian morning trading, as 1.5073 has capped

recovery, consolidation with downside bias remains

for re-test of y'day's 1.5019 low but below needed

to extend weakness to 1.4980 later today.

Hold short n only abv 1.5087 wud risk stronger

retrace. of y'day's fall fm 1.5218 twd 1.5118/23.

Range Forecast

1.5040 / 1.5070

Resistance/Support

R: 1.5089/1.5123/1.5173

S: 1.5019/1.4993/1.4947

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USD/JPY Daily Market Outlook by AceTrader

INTRADAY TRADING SIGNAL BY ACETRADER.COM: USD/JPY

USD/JPY : 90.56

Last Update At 17 Mar 2010 05:15 GMT

Although dlr's strg rebound after brief dip to

90.02 after BOJ kept rate unchanged, as outlook is

still consolidative, reckon y'day's 90.74 high shud

cap present upmove n yield subsequent retreat twd

89.97/02, below brings further weakness to 89.63.

Stand aside n hold short for day trade. Abv 90.

74 defers but Monday's 91.09 wud remain intact.

Range Forecast

90.40 / 90.70

Resistance/Support

R: 90.74/90.97/91.09

S: 89.97/89.63/89.45

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