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Silver Alpha Capital
Daily Market & Strategy Review — 22/09/2026
Performance Recap
- Instrument: EURUSD
- Closed trades: 11
- Gross P/L: +3.20€
- Commissions: −0.44€
- Net P/L: +2.76€ / +36.9 pips
- Winning trades: 8
- Losing trades: 3
- Win rate: 72.7%
- Median holding period: 1h 47m
- Shortest trade: 43m
- Longest trade: 8h 53m
The strategy remained profitable despite a more directional bearish environment. Seven of the eight positions opened during 22/09 closed profitably; two of the three losses were carry-over positions from the previous session.
Market Behaviour Analysis
Market regime: Bearish directional expansion with countertrend rebounds
Overall bias: Bearish
Early session: Upward recovery / retracement
Mid-session: Strong bearish expansion
Late session: Further downside followed by recovery
EURUSD initially recovered from approximately 1.1463 toward 1.1476, extending the rebound that followed the previous session's bearish move.
Market behaviour then shifted decisively lower. Price moved toward 1.1447 by mid-session and later extended to approximately 1.1434, establishing substantially lower trading levels.
The late session produced a meaningful recovery toward 1.1447, but remained well below the earlier session highs.
The observed session range was at least 41.3 pips, materially wider than 21/09.
Trade Management Takeaways
Entry Conditions
Favourable conditions:
Long entries were generally effective when followed by a recovery from recently established lower price levels.
The 11:00 Buy at 1.14472, 18:10 Buy at 1.14399, 20:10 Buy at 1.14343, and 21:40 Buy at 1.14412 all closed profitably despite the broader bearish environment.
Less favourable conditions:
The 17:40 Buy at 1.14469 was the only position opened during 22/09 that closed at a loss. Subsequent long entries occurred at lower prices and closed profitably.
This makes the 17:40 entry comparatively early relative to the continuing downside move, reinforcing the condition being tracked across sessions: long entries can become less favourable while bearish directional persistence is still developing.
Exit Conditions
Exit timing showed meaningful differences across the session:
- The 05:40 Buy closed at 1.14756, aligning well with the strongest observed level of the early recovery.
- The 11:00 Buy closed at 1.14534 before the market subsequently moved to materially lower levels, making the exit timely relative to the following bearish expansion.
- The 20:10 Buy closed profitably at 1.14406, but later exits reached 1.14460–1.14474, indicating an earlier exit relative to the subsequent rebound.
- Two carry-over losing longs closed around 04:45–04:51 before the later recovery toward 1.1472–1.1476, making those exits early relative to the subsequent price recovery.
- The later 18:10 and 21:40 Buy positions remained open into the late rebound and exited around 1.14460–1.14474, capturing a larger portion of that recovery.
Overall, trade management performed well during rebounds, while the clearest adverse condition remained long exposure initiated before bearish movement had fully developed.
Next-Session Market Behaviour & Trade Management Focus
The main contextual question is whether the late-session rebound develops into a broader recovery or remains a temporary retracement within the bearish structure established during 22/09.
Key data points to track:
- Continuation or reversal of the broader bearish structure
- Persistence of the late-session recovery
- Range expansion or contraction following the 41.3-pip session
- Directional persistence versus renewed rotation
- Intraday volatility and reversal frequency
- Performance of long entries during ongoing bearish phases
- Relative outcomes of earlier versus later entries during directional extensions
- Exit behaviour following sharp directional moves and subsequent recoveries
Continuous Strategy Refinement
This report contributes to the strategy’s continuous refinement dataset, linking market behaviour and trade-management outcomes to strategy performance. Adjustments are based on recurring evidence across sessions rather than individual daily results.
Performance Recap
- Instrument: EURUSD
- Closed trades: 11
- Gross P/L: +3.20€
- Commissions: −0.44€
- Net P/L: +2.76€ / +36.9 pips
- Winning trades: 8
- Losing trades: 3
- Win rate: 72.7%
- Median holding period: 1h 47m
- Shortest trade: 43m
- Longest trade: 8h 53m
The strategy remained profitable despite a more directional bearish environment. Seven of the eight positions opened during 22/09 closed profitably; two of the three losses were carry-over positions from the previous session.
Market Behaviour Analysis
Market regime: Bearish directional expansion with countertrend rebounds
Overall bias: Bearish
Early session: Upward recovery / retracement
Mid-session: Strong bearish expansion
Late session: Further downside followed by recovery
EURUSD initially recovered from approximately 1.1463 toward 1.1476, extending the rebound that followed the previous session's bearish move.
Market behaviour then shifted decisively lower. Price moved toward 1.1447 by mid-session and later extended to approximately 1.1434, establishing substantially lower trading levels.
The late session produced a meaningful recovery toward 1.1447, but remained well below the earlier session highs.
The observed session range was at least 41.3 pips, materially wider than 21/09.
Trade Management Takeaways
Entry Conditions
Favourable conditions:
Long entries were generally effective when followed by a recovery from recently established lower price levels.
The 11:00 Buy at 1.14472, 18:10 Buy at 1.14399, 20:10 Buy at 1.14343, and 21:40 Buy at 1.14412 all closed profitably despite the broader bearish environment.
Less favourable conditions:
The 17:40 Buy at 1.14469 was the only position opened during 22/09 that closed at a loss. Subsequent long entries occurred at lower prices and closed profitably.
This makes the 17:40 entry comparatively early relative to the continuing downside move, reinforcing the condition being tracked across sessions: long entries can become less favourable while bearish directional persistence is still developing.
Exit Conditions
Exit timing showed meaningful differences across the session:
- The 05:40 Buy closed at 1.14756, aligning well with the strongest observed level of the early recovery.
- The 11:00 Buy closed at 1.14534 before the market subsequently moved to materially lower levels, making the exit timely relative to the following bearish expansion.
- The 20:10 Buy closed profitably at 1.14406, but later exits reached 1.14460–1.14474, indicating an earlier exit relative to the subsequent rebound.
- Two carry-over losing longs closed around 04:45–04:51 before the later recovery toward 1.1472–1.1476, making those exits early relative to the subsequent price recovery.
- The later 18:10 and 21:40 Buy positions remained open into the late rebound and exited around 1.14460–1.14474, capturing a larger portion of that recovery.
Overall, trade management performed well during rebounds, while the clearest adverse condition remained long exposure initiated before bearish movement had fully developed.
Next-Session Market Behaviour & Trade Management Focus
The main contextual question is whether the late-session rebound develops into a broader recovery or remains a temporary retracement within the bearish structure established during 22/09.
Key data points to track:
- Continuation or reversal of the broader bearish structure
- Persistence of the late-session recovery
- Range expansion or contraction following the 41.3-pip session
- Directional persistence versus renewed rotation
- Intraday volatility and reversal frequency
- Performance of long entries during ongoing bearish phases
- Relative outcomes of earlier versus later entries during directional extensions
- Exit behaviour following sharp directional moves and subsequent recoveries
Continuous Strategy Refinement
This report contributes to the strategy’s continuous refinement dataset, linking market behaviour and trade-management outcomes to strategy performance. Adjustments are based on recurring evidence across sessions rather than individual daily results.
