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Sotirios Karkalakos / プロファイル

Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
3 (6)
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13+ 年
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Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
What a month looks like with Gold Channel Rider, honestly: about half of them are up.

MT5 Strategy Tester, 2013 - 2026, 0.5% risk per trade, 163 months:
- Positive months: 84 (52%)
- About 10 trades a month
- Worst month: -3.0% (November 2017)
- Best month: +13.9% (July 2020)

So it is not a "profit every month" EA, and I won't sell it as one. What makes it work is the asymmetry: the worst month lost 3%, the best month made almost 14%. The losing months are small because every trade has a hard stop. The good months are big because winners are left to run.

If an EA shows you a profit in every single month, ask what happens to the losing trades. Usually they are still open.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
Most of the profit comes from a few trades. That's normal for trend following, and it's why you should never close the winners by hand.

Gold Channel Rider, MT5 Strategy Tester 2013 - 2026, 0.5% risk per trade:
1,605 trades in total.
The best 80 trades (5%) made 77% of the net profit.

The other 95% of trades roughly pay for each other. Small wins, small losses, stops hit, breakouts that fade. Then gold starts a real move, and a trailing stop rides it for days.

The practical lesson:
- Don't take profit early because "it's up nicely". That trade might be one of the 80.
- Don't skip trades after a few losses. You can't know in advance which breakout becomes the big one.
- Let the EA run all four strategies, so it is there when the move starts.

Free demo for the MT5 Strategy Tester:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
14 losing trades in a row. That happened, and I want you to know before it happens to you.

Gold Channel Rider, MT5 Strategy Tester 2013 - 2026, 1,605 trades:
- Win rate: 50.7%
- Average winning trade: 85 USD
- Average losing trade: 50 USD
- Longest losing streak: 14 trades

How does a system with a coin-flip win rate make money? The average winner is 1.7 times the average loser. Small losses, cut by the stop. Bigger wins, left to run.

What do 14 losses in a row cost? Each trade risks 0.5% of the account, so about 6.8% in total. Painful, survivable, and already inside the 9.3% maximum drawdown of the backtest.

A martingale or grid EA "solves" losing streaks by doubling down. That is how a 95% win rate turns into an empty account. Here the next lot is never bigger because the last trade lost.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
The ugly part of my gold EA, in numbers: 755 days without a new high.

From September 2021 to September 2023, Gold Channel Rider did not make a new equity high in the MT5 Strategy Tester (0.5% risk per trade). The deepest point of that stretch, in March 2023, was 9.3% below the peak. That is the maximum drawdown of the whole 13.7 years.

Then gold started trending again: the rest of 2023 recovered the loss, and 2024 (+20.4%) and 2025 (+29.4%) followed.

Why do I post this? Because every trend follower has stretches like this, and most sellers only show you the smooth part. If you know it in advance, you don't switch the EA off at the worst moment, which is exactly when most people quit.

If you cannot sit through two flat years, this EA is not for you, and I'd rather you know that before you buy.

Free demo, check the 2021 - 2023 period yourself:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
Gold Channel Rider is not one strategy. It is four, and each one has to pay for itself.

All four trade breakouts of gold's recent range, with a hard stop on every trade:
S1: 5-day channel, wide stop
S2: 10-day channel, trailing stop
S3: 20-day channel, trailing stop, near target
S4: 20-day channel, wide stop

MT5 Strategy Tester, 2013 - 2026, 0.5% risk per trade, each strategy on its own:
S1: 475 trades, profit factor 1.53, +5,634 USD
S2: 490 trades, profit factor 1.82, +10,717 USD
S3: 379 trades, profit factor 2.04, +9,531 USD
S4: 261 trades, profit factor 1.60, +3,901 USD

None of them is carried by the others. Different channel lengths catch different moves, so the losing stretches don't all arrive at once.

Each strategy has its own on/off switch. With a smaller account, switching off S1 and S4 (the wide-stop ones) lowers the risk of the minimum lot.

Free demo:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
Don't trust EA screenshots. Including mine.

Every number I post about Gold Channel Rider comes from the MT5 Strategy Tester, and you can check it yourself in about three minutes with the free demo:

1. Symbol XAUUSD, period H1, model "1 minute OHLC" or "Every tick"
2. At least five years, for example 2020 to today. A trend follower judged on three months tells you almost nothing.
3. Deposit 10,000 USD or more, or load the "Small account" setfile for a smaller deposit.

What you should see (2013 - 2026, 0.5% risk): 13 of 14 years profitable. Some years are big (+29% in 2025, +24% in 2020), some are nearly flat (+1% in 2018), and 2022 was -5%. Flat stretches are part of trend following, and I'd rather show them than hide them.

If your result looks very different, write in the Comments tab and I will help you find why (usually the symbol name, the period or the deposit).

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
Passing a prop firm challenge is not about the good weeks. It is about surviving the bad one.

What Gold Channel Rider does to protect the account:
- Hard stop loss on every trade, sent with the order. Nothing is ever open without one.
- Flat for the weekend: no new orders late on Friday, everything closed before the market shuts. No Monday gap.
- Daily loss limit: reach it and the EA closes everything and pauses until the next day.
- Maximum drawdown stop, measured from peak equity: reach it and trading stops.
- No grid, no martingale, no averaging down.

There is a ready-made Prop firm setfile in the Comments tab of the product page: 0.25% risk per trade, 3% daily loss limit, 6% maximum drawdown. Load it, check your firm's own limits, and adjust if they are stricter.

Test it in the Strategy Tester first with the free demo:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
One input decides how aggressive Gold Channel Rider is: risk per trade.

Every trade is sized from its own stop loss, so "0.5% risk" means that if the stop is hit you lose 0.5% of the account. Not more.

Same rules, same 13.7 years of XAUUSD (MT5 Strategy Tester, 10,000 USD start):
0.25% risk -> 19,922 USD | 5.2% a year | max drawdown 8.5%
0.5% risk (default) -> 39,783 USD | 10.6% a year | max drawdown 9.3%
1% risk -> 164,808 USD | 22.7% a year | max drawdown 18.0%

The honest part: growth and drawdown rise together. There is no setting that gives you 1% returns with 0.25% pain. My advice is to start at 0.5% or lower.

One more honest detail: gold's stops are wide right now, so the minimum lot of 0.01 already risks about 75-150 USD per trade. For a true 0.5% plan on roughly 30,000 USD. Smaller account? Use the "Small account" setfile from the Comments tab.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
A 92% win rate can still empty your account.

Before building Gold Channel Rider, I measured the mechanism most best-selling gold robots use: grid, recovery, no stop loss on any position, one equity stop. Four years of real XAUUSD data, with real spread, commission and swap.

156 winning series out of 169. A 92.3% win rate.
The account finished down 86.2%.

Both numbers are true at the same time. The 13 losing series were big enough to erase everything the 156 winners made, and more.

Gold Channel Rider wins 50.7% of its trades, and I show that number on purpose:
- every trade has a hard stop loss sent with the order
- losers are cut early, winners are left to run
- no grid, no martingale, no averaging down
Result over 13.7 years in the MT5 Strategy Tester: +298% at 0.5% risk per trade, max drawdown 9.3%.

Next time you see a 95% win rate, ask one question: where is the stop loss?

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
A 92% win rate can still empty your account.

Before building Gold Channel Rider, I measured the mechanism most best-selling gold robots use: grid, recovery, no stop loss on any position, one equity stop. Four years of real XAUUSD data, with real spread, commission and swap.

156 winning series out of 169. A 92.3% win rate.
The account finished down 86.2%.

Both numbers are true at the same time. The 13 losing series were big enough to erase everything the 156 winners made, and more.

Gold Channel Rider wins 50.7% of its trades, and I show that number on purpose:
- every trade has a hard stop loss sent with the order
- losers are cut early, winners are left to run
- no grid, no martingale, no averaging down
Result over 13.7 years in the MT5 Strategy Tester: +298% at 0.5% risk per trade, max drawdown 9.3%.

Next time you see a 95% win rate, ask one question: where is the stop loss?

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
A 92% win rate can still empty your account.

Before building Gold Channel Rider, I measured the mechanism most best-selling gold robots use: grid, recovery, no stop loss on any position, one equity stop. Four years of real XAUUSD data, with real spread, commission and swap.

156 winning series out of 169. A 92.3% win rate.
The account finished down 86.2%.

Both numbers are true at the same time. The 13 losing series were big enough to erase everything the 156 winners made, and more.

Gold Channel Rider wins 50.7% of its trades, and I show that number on purpose:
- every trade has a hard stop loss sent with the order
- losers are cut early, winners are left to run
- no grid, no martingale, no averaging down
Result over 13.7 years in the MT5 Strategy Tester: +298% at 0.5% risk per trade, max drawdown 9.3%.

Next time you see a 95% win rate, ask one question: where is the stop loss?

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
One rule made my gold EA better. And I chose it before I looked at the result.

Breakouts that go against gold's multi-month trend are the ones that fail. So Gold Channel Rider compares today's close with the close 120 days ago:
- above it: only buy-stops are placed
- below it: only sell-stops
Nothing else changes.

Same EA, 2013 - 2026, 0.5% risk per trade:
Profit factor: 1.37 -> 1.75
Max drawdown: 15.6% -> 9.3%
Losing years: 2 -> 1 (out of 14)
10,000 USD became 39,783 instead of 34,035

How I avoided curve fitting: I tested seven ideas on 2013-2020 only, then checked the survivors ONCE on 2021-2026. Only this filter held up out of sample. It also works on every lookback from 90 to 160 days, so 120 is not a lucky number.

Want the old behaviour? Set the trend filter to 0 and it trades both sides of every channel.

Free demo, test it on your own broker's data:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
One rule made my gold EA better. And I chose it before I looked at the result.

Breakouts that go against gold's multi-month trend are the ones that fail. So Gold Channel Rider compares today's close with the close 120 days ago:
- above it: only buy-stops are placed
- below it: only sell-stops
Nothing else changes.

Same EA, 2013 - 2026, 0.5% risk per trade:
Profit factor: 1.37 -> 1.75
Max drawdown: 15.6% -> 9.3%
Losing years: 2 -> 1 (out of 14)
10,000 USD became 39,783 instead of 34,035

How I avoided curve fitting: I tested seven ideas on 2013-2020 only, then checked the survivors ONCE on 2021-2026. Only this filter held up out of sample. It also works on every lookback from 90 to 160 days, so 120 is not a lucky number.

Want the old behaviour? Set the trend filter to 0 and it trades both sides of every channel.

Free demo, test it on your own broker's data:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
One rule made my gold EA better. And I chose it before I looked at the result.

Breakouts that go against gold's multi-month trend are the ones that fail. So Gold Channel Rider compares today's close with the close 120 days ago:
- above it: only buy-stops are placed
- below it: only sell-stops
Nothing else changes.

Same EA, 2013 - 2026, 0.5% risk per trade:
Profit factor: 1.37 -> 1.75
Max drawdown: 15.6% -> 9.3%
Losing years: 2 -> 1 (out of 14)
10,000 USD became 39,783 instead of 34,035

How I avoided curve fitting: I tested seven ideas on 2013-2020 only, then checked the survivors ONCE on 2021-2026. Only this filter held up out of sample. It also works on every lookback from 90 to 160 days, so 120 is not a lucky number.

Want the old behaviour? Set the trend filter to 0 and it trades both sides of every channel.

Free demo, test it on your own broker's data:
https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
Sotirios Karkalakos
Most gold EAs you see here show a 95% win rate and a perfectly straight equity line. Look closer and you will usually find a grid, a martingale, or no stop loss at all. Those curves are smooth right up to the day the account is gone.

Gold Channel Rider does the opposite.

- 4 breakout strategies on XAUUSD (5, 10 and 20-day channels)
- A hard stop loss on EVERY trade, sized by ATR
- No grid. No martingale. No averaging down. Never a bigger lot after a loss
- A 120-day trend filter: it only trades in the direction of gold's bigger move
- Friday close, spread and slippage guards, ready-made prop firm settings

MT5 Strategy Tester, Jan 2013 - Sep 2026, default settings, 0.5% risk per trade:
10,000 -> 39,783 USD
10.6% a year | max drawdown 9.3% | profit factor 1.75 | 1,605 trades
13 of 14 years profitable

The win rate is 50.7%, and I show it on purpose. A trend follower wins by letting winners run and cutting losers short, not by hiding losses.

Don't take my word for it. Download the free demo, run it in your own Strategy Tester with your own broker's data, and compare the result with the chart above. 4 setfiles (Default, Conservative, Small account, Prop firm) are in the Comments tab.

https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/195647

Past results do not guarantee future results.
Sotirios Karkalakos
パブリッシュされた投稿I built three gold grid EAs and measured them honestly
Every week someone posts a gold EA with a win rate above 95% and an equity curve that goes up like a staircase. I wanted to know whether that is a strategy or an accounting trick, so over the last month I built three grid systems for XAUUSD and tested each one until it told me the truth...
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Sotirios Karkalakos パブリッシュされたプロダクト
Gold Channel Rider

499.00 USD

コメント欄に、すぐ使える 4 つの set ファイル（Default、Conservative、Small account: 15,000 USD 未満、Prop firm）と、無料デモをテストする際の正確な設定を添付しています。 Gold Channel Rider は XAUUSD 専用の完全自動 Expert Advisor です。システムトレードで最も古く、今もゴールドで通用する考え方に基づいています。価格が数日間のレンジを抜けると、その方向に進み続けやすいという考え方です。 5日、10日、20日のチャネルで 4つの独立したブレイクアウト戦略 を同時に運用します。すべての取引はチャネルの端に置いたストップ注文で、 エントリーした瞬間から固定のストップロスとテイクプロフィットが付いています 。 グリッドなし マーチンゲールなし ナンピンなし、リカバリーロットなし 1戦略につき最大1ポジション 仕組み EAは直近120本、240本、または480本の確定したH1足の最高値と最安値を読み取ります。 チャネルの上にbuy stop、下にsell

Sotirios Karkalakos パブリッシュされたプロダクト
Grid Guard

149.00 USD

あなたのグリッドEAは10回中9回勝っています。問題はそこではありませんでした。 最も売れている金のロボットが使っている仕組み——グリッド、ナンピン回復、どのポジションにもストップロスなし、あるのは硬い証拠金ストップひとつだけ——を、4年分の実際のXAUUSDデータで動かしました。スプレッドは各足に記録された実測値、手数料もスワップも実測値です。 169シリーズ中156シリーズが利益。勝率92.3%。 口座は86.2%のマイナスで終わり、最大ドローダウンは96.8%でした。 この二つの数字は同時に真実であり、問題はまさにそこにあります。92%は販売ページに載る数字です。8%は、ある火曜日にやってくる数字です。 GRID GUARDはあなたのEAを置き換えません。見張ります。 すでに購入したロボットと同じチャートに載せてください。建玉を読み取り、そこからグリッドの実際の値幅とロットの増え方を測り、あなたのEAが決して見せてくれない唯一の問いに答えます。 あと4層積んだら、このバスケットはいくらになるのか。

· 1
Sotirios Karkalakos パブリッシュされたプロダクト
VolGuard Volatility Risk Manager

199.00 USD

MetaTrader 向けに売られているものは、ほとんどが方向を予測します。それが本当に可能なのかを、EURUSD と金の13年分のデータで検証しました。ウォークフォワード検証を行い、さらにラベルをランダムに入れ替えた対照実験も走らせています。 方向の的中率は48%から51%の間でした。金では、同じモデルが入れ替えたラベルに対して53.4%を出しています。つまり本物のデータより高い。過学習したシステムを内側から見ると、これがその姿です。バックテストの曲線が証拠にならない理由もここにあります。 明日どれだけ動くか、という問いは別物で、こちらには答えがあります。VolGuard はその答えの上に、それだけを土台にして作られています。 何をするのか 毎日、日足が確定したときに、VolGuard は明日の値幅を予測し、その予測を一つの数字に変えます。あなたのポジションサイズに掛けるべき係数です。

Sotirios Karkalakos パブリッシュされたプロダクト
Prop Guard Monitor

FREE

Most traders who fail a prop firm challenge do not fail because they did not know the rules. They fail because, at the moment it mattered, nobody was doing the arithmetic. Prop Guard Monitor does the arithmetic. It sits on one chart, watches the whole account, and answers one question continuously: how much room is left before a rule breaks. It never closes a position. It never deletes an order. It never locks anything. This build cannot touch a trade even if you want it to - the trading

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