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I am a trader with 15 years of experience living in Tokyo. I am meticulous about risk management and profit management.
I read multiple global macroeconomic data points and news articles daily and trade based on fundamentals. For techniques, I only use horizontal lines and OHLC.
Asset management is not easy, so it’s essential to focus not only on fundamentals and technical analysis but also on risk management and mental control.
If you want to copy completely, I recommend this broker that has many trading pairs and free swap fees.
https://one.exnesstrack.org/a/q93nryv195
(GetLambo is about 11000USD minimum, other signal can use more small asset. Each signal requires at least 1/10th of the funds or 2500USD minimum you have in it.)
---update on April.15---
Due to Trump tariffs, I expect the end of the year price of the SP500 to be around $5700. I have a negative outlook on US stocks and won't be buying them for a while. I might buy them if they drop to around 4500 in the short term.
---update on Mar.17---
I think BTCUSD bottom is near 68-72K, SP500 bottom is near 5400, but if market has another signal , I will change my mind. ( ex. put call ratio, bull bear indicator, FOMC powel put,HY spread, , etc..)
---update on Feb.12---
I think GOLD will go up in the long term, but it has been overheated lately and I wouldn't be surprised if it goes up or down.It could go up, but I don't think the odds are good to buy now.
I will trade with caution in February because of the tariff issue and in March because of the government's budget issue.
---update on Jan.7---
The first quarter of 2025 might see BTC rise around the presidential inauguration if there's positive news, but it could decline around February depending on inflation indicators or if there's no new positive catalysts. FTX creditors' buying might potentially serve as a bottom support.
For US stocks, historically, February following a presidential election year and February after the ruling party loses tend to show downward trends. While there's a sense of overvaluation that could lead to a correction, given the market's optimistic outlook, there's about a 50:50 chance between continued upward movement and a correction. February, in particular, requires careful attention (for BTC as well).
Fund management should be prepared for either scenario.
The Fed is likely to implement two rate cuts sometime after March. Since the market had priced in four cuts by the end of last year, the 2025 GOLD price target is predicted to be below $2,900.
While various funds are forecasting the S&P 500 to reach between 6,300 and 7,000, even if this happens, it's unlikely to be a smooth upward trajectory - we should expect to experience corrections along the way.
I plan to monitor economic indicators closely and respond accordingly.
---update on Nov. 26---
Regarding Gold
When a war ends or there is a sense that it might be coming to an end, those who had been buying gold often sell, leading to short-term adjustments. However, the long-term trend remains upward.
As I had anticipated this, I closed my positions near the peak. I am now in the accumulation phase again.
Regarding BTC
The $100,000 mark tends to act as a psychological barrier, so I closed my positions and even went short before reaching that level.
When the market became sideways, I closed my positions again and waited for either a decline or a breakout.
As the price started to drop, it became an excellent phase for accumulation.
Is this a Black Friday sale? While my unrealized losses increase, I continue to accumulate.
---update on Nov. 14---
I forecast the Federal Funds Rate to be 4.25% by the end of 2024 and 3.00% by the end of 2025.
I expect the unemployment rate to be 4.2% by the end of 2024 and 4.7% by the end of 2025.
I read multiple global macroeconomic data points and news articles daily and trade based on fundamentals. For techniques, I only use horizontal lines and OHLC.
Asset management is not easy, so it’s essential to focus not only on fundamentals and technical analysis but also on risk management and mental control.
If you want to copy completely, I recommend this broker that has many trading pairs and free swap fees.
https://one.exnesstrack.org/a/q93nryv195
(GetLambo is about 11000USD minimum, other signal can use more small asset. Each signal requires at least 1/10th of the funds or 2500USD minimum you have in it.)
---update on April.15---
Due to Trump tariffs, I expect the end of the year price of the SP500 to be around $5700. I have a negative outlook on US stocks and won't be buying them for a while. I might buy them if they drop to around 4500 in the short term.
---update on Mar.17---
I think BTCUSD bottom is near 68-72K, SP500 bottom is near 5400, but if market has another signal , I will change my mind. ( ex. put call ratio, bull bear indicator, FOMC powel put,HY spread, , etc..)
---update on Feb.12---
I think GOLD will go up in the long term, but it has been overheated lately and I wouldn't be surprised if it goes up or down.It could go up, but I don't think the odds are good to buy now.
I will trade with caution in February because of the tariff issue and in March because of the government's budget issue.
---update on Jan.7---
The first quarter of 2025 might see BTC rise around the presidential inauguration if there's positive news, but it could decline around February depending on inflation indicators or if there's no new positive catalysts. FTX creditors' buying might potentially serve as a bottom support.
For US stocks, historically, February following a presidential election year and February after the ruling party loses tend to show downward trends. While there's a sense of overvaluation that could lead to a correction, given the market's optimistic outlook, there's about a 50:50 chance between continued upward movement and a correction. February, in particular, requires careful attention (for BTC as well).
Fund management should be prepared for either scenario.
The Fed is likely to implement two rate cuts sometime after March. Since the market had priced in four cuts by the end of last year, the 2025 GOLD price target is predicted to be below $2,900.
While various funds are forecasting the S&P 500 to reach between 6,300 and 7,000, even if this happens, it's unlikely to be a smooth upward trajectory - we should expect to experience corrections along the way.
I plan to monitor economic indicators closely and respond accordingly.
---update on Nov. 26---
Regarding Gold
When a war ends or there is a sense that it might be coming to an end, those who had been buying gold often sell, leading to short-term adjustments. However, the long-term trend remains upward.
As I had anticipated this, I closed my positions near the peak. I am now in the accumulation phase again.
Regarding BTC
The $100,000 mark tends to act as a psychological barrier, so I closed my positions and even went short before reaching that level.
When the market became sideways, I closed my positions again and waited for either a decline or a breakout.
As the price started to drop, it became an excellent phase for accumulation.
Is this a Black Friday sale? While my unrealized losses increase, I continue to accumulate.
---update on Nov. 14---
I forecast the Federal Funds Rate to be 4.25% by the end of 2024 and 3.00% by the end of 2025.
I expect the unemployment rate to be 4.2% by the end of 2024 and 4.7% by the end of 2025.
