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The poll asks the right question but measures the wrong thing. Consecutive losses are not evidence that anything changed - they are the expected texture of any edge with a win rate below 100 percent.
Before you use a losing streak as a signal to stop, ask what a streak of that length would look like if your system were working exactly as designed. With a 40 percent win rate the probability of a run of 5 or more losses inside 100 trades is high enough that stopping on it is not risk management, it is just abandoning the sample.
The number worth setting is not a loss count but a drawdown in currency that you decided in advance, while calm, was the point at which you would admit the premise was wrong. A streak is noise. Drawdown past your tested maximum is information.
The poll asks the right question but measures the wrong thing. Consecutive losses are not evidence that anything changed - they are the expected texture of any edge with a win rate below 100 percent.
Before you use a losing streak as a signal to stop, ask what a streak of that length would look like if your system were working exactly as designed. With a 40 percent win rate the probability of a run of 5 or more losses inside 100 trades is high enough that stopping on it is not risk management, it is just abandoning the sample.
The number worth setting is not a loss count but a drawdown in currency that you decided in advance, while calm, was the point at which you would admit the premise was wrong. A streak is noise. Drawdown past your tested maximum is information.