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"Hi Christopher,
Great job on maintaining such a low drawdown (0.40%), but a Profit Factor of 1.79 with only £200 profit over 3 years suggests your strategy might be a bit too conservative or your entry filters are filtering out too many high-probability moves.
I’ve been working on a similar 'Sweep & Mean Reversion' logic specifically for XAUUSD (Gold), and I found that by optimizing the Standard Deviation (Bollinger Bands) and using a dynamic ATR-based Exit, you can significantly increase the yield without blowing up the drawdown.
For instance, on my recent 2026 Q1 tests (Jan-March):
January: 11.79 Profit Factor with a 96% Win-Rate.
Feb & March: Consistent 100% Win-Rate with zero Drawdown.
My advice would be:
Check your Volatility Filter: If your profit is that low, you might be missing the 'meat' of the move. Try adjusting your TP multipliers based on current ATR.
Liquidity Sweeps: Instead of just fixed entries, look for liquidity grabs (Sweeps) before the reversal. This is what pushed my equity curve vertically in March.
Keep testing, you have a solid foundation!"
My treat have been running about 185 a year
imo that many trades is not enuf to verify on strategy tester. Main reason why is that a backtest rarely shows the real dd -- while each trade is open. So, forward testing on live charts is definitely the next step, imo.
And do not worry if you do not get any trades during the current markets, because like ryan said, the current markets are far from normal, even much of last year was abnormal. If your strategy avoids much of these times, then that is good -- again -- as ryan said.
imo that many trades is not enuf to verify on strategy tester. Main reason why is that a backtest rarely shows the real dd -- while each trade is open. So, forward testing on live charts is definitely the next step, imo.
And do not worry if you do not get any trades during the current markets, because like ryan said, the current markets are far from normal, even much of last year was abnormal. If your strategy avoids much of these times, then that is good -- again -- as ryan said.