a question about probability - page 2

[mrluck1]

Pham Duy Duc:

it's better to separate 2 tactics into 2 different accounts, so you can keep the probability of each tactic 80%, and also double the winning-rate. The reason is that you will not miss with the 20%-loss of each tactic together.

that sounds like a great idea, so you think its better to use different accounts? but about doubling the winning rate, what do you mean by that, how much it would be?

thanks

[Pham Duy Duc]

mrluck1:

that sounds like a great idea, so you think its better to use different accounts? but about doubling the winning rate, what do you mean by that, how much it would be?

thanks

I mean, in the IDEAL situation, you say the rate is surely 80%-win for each tactic => so it's 20%-lost-rate, and you use both tactics for 1 account:

- The first trade: tactic 1: it may get loss with 20%-lost of tactic 1

- The second trade: tactic 2: it may get loss with 20%-lost of tactic 2.

- The third trade: tictac 1: it still may get loss with 20%, not 10%, because you kind of refresh the lost-rate of tactic-1 due to the second trade, we dont use tactic 1, but using the tactic 2.

- The fourth trade: tactic 2: again, we refesh and still face to the 20%-lost of tactic-2.

=>> So in the really-bad-luck situation, we get lost slowly.

If you got 2 accounts, using each tactic for each account, you are sure that 20%lost and 80%win (in the IDEAL situation like you claim). So double the winning rate here means it separately operates and does't conflict each other.

IF you want to increase the profit, just increase the amount of money, the initial capital.

[mrluck1]

thank you for your answer my friend, have a nice day