Which presidential candidate will affect the USD more?

[Fernando Carreiro]

Cuong Truong:

• Hillary Clinton
• Donald Trump
• I don't know

You left out "both" as an option!

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2016.11.07 18:16

USD/JPY: Scenarios & Tactical Strategies For Trading The US Elections - Deutsche Bank (based on the article)

 

1. "Clinton victory + Republican House and Senate: Risk of continued political turmoil. Dead-locked fiscal policies."
   
2. "Clinton victory + Republican House + Democratic Senate: Somewhat reduced uncertainty. Concern about political situation and fiscal administration."
   
3. "Trump victory + Republican House and Senate: Heightened expectations for US fiscal policy. Increased global political uncertainty."
   
4. "Trump victory + Republican House + Democratic Senate: Brake on more aggressive US fiscal policy. Increased global political uncertainty."

Scenarios 1 and 2 - "We would recommend selling if USD/JPY rose to around 105 or higher."

Scenarios 3 and 4 - "Our tactical approach to USD/JPY would be to sell on Trump-favorable news about the election process, buy back on confirmation of the results of his victory, then gauge the timing to build short positions."

[Laurentiu Octavian Niculescu]

Fernando Carreiro:
You left out "both" as an option!

I totally agree with you.

[Bernhard Schweigert]

Laurentiu Octavian Niculescu:
I totally agree with you.

there can be only one be MORE. but that is a logical matter. politic is not logical

[Alain Verleyen]

Laurentiu Octavian Niculescu:
I totally agree with you.

Also missing "None" :-D

[Cuong Truong]

I have no idea why EUR/USD price is heading up.

Speculators?