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In the forex market for over 5 years . In trade used technical analysis indicators , as well as economic and political news. If you are interested in more conservative and lucrative trade might trust.
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Прогнозы более мягкой политики ФРС принесли выгоду лире, реалу и рэнду
Сегодня ФРС вынесет решение по дальнейшему политическому курсу. Ожидается, что будет объявлено о завершении третьего раунда количественного смягчения...
· 5
177
Evgeniy Piskachev
Crude oil rices retained gains into Wednesday in as industry data on U.S. crude oil stocks showed a slightly smaller build than expected.
NYMEX crude gains in Asia lower as API crude build supportsNYMEX crude up in AsiaThe American Petroleum Institute showed a 3.2 million-barrel build in oil supplies, a 3.7 million-barrel drop in gasoline inventories and a 3 million-barrel decline in distillate stocks late Tuesday.
The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday and the forecast is for a 3.371 million barrel build in crude supplies.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for delivery in December traded at $81.54, up 0.29%, after hitting an overnight session low of $80.37 a barrel and off a high of $81.65 a barrel.
Brent oil futures on the ICE rose 0.40% to $86.17 a barrel on Tuesday.
Overnight, an upbeat U.S. consumer confidence report offset softer-than-expected data on U.S. durable goods and sent oil prices firming on Tuesday by stoking hopes a more robust economy will consume more fuel and energy going forward.
But ongoing supply concerns chipped away the commodity's gains at times.
The Conference Board reported earlier that its consumer confidence index jumped to 94.5 this month from 89.0 in September, boosted by a more favorable assessment of the current job market and business conditions.
Economists had expected the index to tick down to 87.0 this month, and the report left many investors concluding that while demand for goods and services in the U.S. remains cautious, consumers still remain upbeat over the U.S. economy and will ramp up spending soon.
The numbers offset lackluster data on durable goods.
The U.S. Commerce Department reported earlier that total durable goods orders, which include transportation items, decreased by 1.3% last month, disappointing expectations for a gain of 0.5%.
Orders for durable goods in August were revised to a decline of 18.3% from a previously reported drop of 18.4%.
Durable goods are typically products designed to last at three years and include trains, planes and automobiles.
On Monday, U.S. financial institution Goldman Sachs cut its oil price forecast for WTI in the first quarter of next year by $15 to $75 a barrel.
The bank expects Brent prices to average $85 a barrel in the first three months of 2015, down from a previous estimate of $100.
Goldman analysts expect WTI to fall as low as $70 a barrel and Brent to $80 in the second quarter of 2015, when it expects oversupply to be most pronounced.
OPEC countries have hinted recently they may leave output quotes unchanged and have stressed the need to adapt to lower prices.
OPEC will hold its next meeting on Nov. 27.
Prices have fallen by over 20% in the last three months.
NYMEX crude gains in Asia lower as API crude build supportsNYMEX crude up in AsiaThe American Petroleum Institute showed a 3.2 million-barrel build in oil supplies, a 3.7 million-barrel drop in gasoline inventories and a 3 million-barrel decline in distillate stocks late Tuesday.
The closely watched survey from the Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT Wednesday and the forecast is for a 3.371 million barrel build in crude supplies.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for delivery in December traded at $81.54, up 0.29%, after hitting an overnight session low of $80.37 a barrel and off a high of $81.65 a barrel.
Brent oil futures on the ICE rose 0.40% to $86.17 a barrel on Tuesday.
Overnight, an upbeat U.S. consumer confidence report offset softer-than-expected data on U.S. durable goods and sent oil prices firming on Tuesday by stoking hopes a more robust economy will consume more fuel and energy going forward.
But ongoing supply concerns chipped away the commodity's gains at times.
The Conference Board reported earlier that its consumer confidence index jumped to 94.5 this month from 89.0 in September, boosted by a more favorable assessment of the current job market and business conditions.
Economists had expected the index to tick down to 87.0 this month, and the report left many investors concluding that while demand for goods and services in the U.S. remains cautious, consumers still remain upbeat over the U.S. economy and will ramp up spending soon.
The numbers offset lackluster data on durable goods.
The U.S. Commerce Department reported earlier that total durable goods orders, which include transportation items, decreased by 1.3% last month, disappointing expectations for a gain of 0.5%.
Orders for durable goods in August were revised to a decline of 18.3% from a previously reported drop of 18.4%.
Durable goods are typically products designed to last at three years and include trains, planes and automobiles.
On Monday, U.S. financial institution Goldman Sachs cut its oil price forecast for WTI in the first quarter of next year by $15 to $75 a barrel.
The bank expects Brent prices to average $85 a barrel in the first three months of 2015, down from a previous estimate of $100.
Goldman analysts expect WTI to fall as low as $70 a barrel and Brent to $80 in the second quarter of 2015, when it expects oversupply to be most pronounced.
OPEC countries have hinted recently they may leave output quotes unchanged and have stressed the need to adapt to lower prices.
OPEC will hold its next meeting on Nov. 27.
Prices have fallen by over 20% in the last three months.
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
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· 5
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Распределение вероятностей учетной ставки ФРС
Поскольку грядет заседание FOMC, обратимся к фьючерсному рынку по евродолларовым контрактам (3-месячные депозиты размером в 1 млн долларов США), которые можно использовать в качестве индикатора ожиданий изменений учетной ставки в США...
· 5
212
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Евро окунулся в эйфорию. Надолго ли?
В начале последней недели октября евро пользуется заслуженным спросом...
· 4
162
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Прогноз на 29 октября
Пара EUR/USD образовала «шип» наверх к $1,2760, т.к. цены на импорт в Германии выросли, а заказы на товары длительного пользования в США, напротив, сократились. Затем, однако, курс евро вернулся чуть ниже, т.к. индекс уверенности американских потребителей поднялся до максимума с конца 2007 г...
· 5
149
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 25 банков еврозоны не прошли стресс-тест ЕЦБ
Дилма Руссефф была переизбрана на пост президента Бразилии. На прошедших вчера выборах она набрала 52% голосов...
· 9
160
Evgeniy Piskachev
U.S. stock index futures dipped on Monday after the S&P 500 closed its best week in nearly two years on Friday and ahead of data on U.S. services sector growth and home sales.
Futures dip ahead of service sector dataFutures dip ahead of service sector data
* Earnings continue to trickle in, with Merck (N:MRK) reporting lower than expected third quarter revenue though it beat earnings forecasts thanks to cost cuts. Its shares were little changed in early trading.
* German business sentiment fell in October for a sixth straight month to its lowest level in almost two years, adding to recent concerns the largest European economy may continue to struggle to grow.
* Sarepta Therapeutics shares fell 25.7 percent in premarket trading after it said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration requested additional data regarding a marketing application for its experimental muscle disorder drug.
* Shares of Brazilian companies traded in the United States tumbled after incumbent Dilma Rousseff won reelection in a runoff vote, defeating centrist and market favorite Aecio Neves by a slim margin. Petrobras ADRs (N:PBR) slumped 16.1 percent in premarket trading and Vale (N:VALE) lost 4.9 percent.
* The S&P 500 closed its best week since January 2013 helped on Friday by earnings from Microsoft and Procter & Gamble and as concerns eased over the possible spread of Ebola in the United States.
Futures snapshot at 7:34 a.m.:
* S&P 500 e-minis fell 4.25 points, or 0.22 percent, with 167,042 contracts changing hands.
* Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 6 points, or 0.15 percent, in volume of 25,549 contracts.
* Dow e-minis lost 21 points, or 0.13 percent, with 27,303 contracts changing hands.
Futures dip ahead of service sector dataFutures dip ahead of service sector data
* Earnings continue to trickle in, with Merck (N:MRK) reporting lower than expected third quarter revenue though it beat earnings forecasts thanks to cost cuts. Its shares were little changed in early trading.
* German business sentiment fell in October for a sixth straight month to its lowest level in almost two years, adding to recent concerns the largest European economy may continue to struggle to grow.
* Sarepta Therapeutics shares fell 25.7 percent in premarket trading after it said the U.S. Food and Drug Administration requested additional data regarding a marketing application for its experimental muscle disorder drug.
* Shares of Brazilian companies traded in the United States tumbled after incumbent Dilma Rousseff won reelection in a runoff vote, defeating centrist and market favorite Aecio Neves by a slim margin. Petrobras ADRs (N:PBR) slumped 16.1 percent in premarket trading and Vale (N:VALE) lost 4.9 percent.
* The S&P 500 closed its best week since January 2013 helped on Friday by earnings from Microsoft and Procter & Gamble and as concerns eased over the possible spread of Ebola in the United States.
Futures snapshot at 7:34 a.m.:
* S&P 500 e-minis fell 4.25 points, or 0.22 percent, with 167,042 contracts changing hands.
* Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 6 points, or 0.15 percent, in volume of 25,549 contracts.
* Dow e-minis lost 21 points, or 0.13 percent, with 27,303 contracts changing hands.
· 5
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Анонс значимых событий и данных макростатистики на 27-31 октября
В пятницу евро вырос по отношению к доллару после того, как данные показали, что немецкий индекс потребительского доверия повысился, в то время как оптимистичные данные по росту ВВП Великобритании в третьем квартале поддержали спрос инвесторов на фунт...
· 7
248
Evgeniy Piskachev
В пятницу евро вырос по отношению к доллару после того, как данные показали, что немецкий индекс потребительского доверия повысился, в то время как оптимистичные данные по росту ВВП Великобритании в третьем квартале поддержали спрос инвесторов на фунт.
Анонс значимых событий и данных макростатистики на 27-31 октябряДоллар немного ослаб в пятницу
Евро получил поддержку после того, как предварительное значение индекса потребительского климата в Германии от Gfk за ноябрь поднялось до 8,5 с пересмотренных 8,4 в октябре. Индекс резко падал предыдущие два месяца, поскольку опасения по поводу геополитических рисков и последующего экономического спада оказали давление.
В конце торгов пара EUR/USD поднялась на 0,17% до 1,2668 в конце торговли, ниже сессионного максимума 1,2695.
Обеспокоенность по поводу предстоящей публикации результатов стресс-тестов европейских банков, запланированной на сегодня, а также подтвержденный диагноз лихорадки Эбола в Нью-Йорке, укрепили спрос на убежище-иену и несколько ослабили доллар.
В пятницу вечером пара USD/JPY опустилась на 0,12% до 108,14 после падения до 107,77 в начале сессии. В то же время пара USD/CHF ослабла на 0,22% до 0,9518.
Британские данные показали в пятницу, что валовой внутренний продукт вырос на 0,7% в третьем квартале, замедлившись с 0,9% в течение трех месяцев по июнь, в соответствии с прогнозами. Годовой рост ВВП составил 3%, как и прогнозировалось.
Данные подчеркнули ожидания, что сохраняющееся восстановление экономики может подтолкнуть Банк Англии к повышению процентной ставки во второй половине следующего года.
Пара GBP/USD поднялась до 1,6083 в конце торгов, на 0,33% за день.
Индекс USD, который отслеживает динамику доллара против корзины из шести основных валют, снизился на 0,19% до 85,79. Тем не менее, индекс завершил неделю приростом, стабилизировавшись после резкого снижения на предыдущей неделе.
Опасения, что спад мировой экономики может выступить в качестве сопротивления восстановлению экономики США, вынудили инвесторов ослабить ожидания повышения процентных ставок Федеральной резервной системой во второй половине 2015 года.
На будущей неделе, в среду, инвесторы готовятся к результатам политического заседания ФРС на фоне ожиданий, что банк завершит свою программу покупки активов.
Инвесторы также внимательно изучат заявление ФРС, чтобы найти в нем дальнейшие намеки на сроки повышения процентных ставок.
Пятничный отчет еврозоны по потребительской инфляции также будет в центре внимания трейдеров на фоне растущих ожиданий, что Европейский центральный банк примет дополнительные меры смягчения, чтобы простимулировать слабеющую экономику блока.
Накануне предстоящей недели Investing.com составил список этих и других значимых событий, способных повлиять на рынки.
Понедельник, 27 октября
Институт IFO опубликует индикатор деловой уверенности в Германии. Еврозона опубликует данные по изменению агрегата М3 денежной массы и объему кредитования частного сектора.
Великобритания выпустит данные частного сектора по розничным продажам.
США опубликует отчет по объему незавершенных сделок по продаже жилья.
Вторник, 28 октября
Япония опубликует данные по розничным продажам, правительственную меру потребительских расходов, на долю которых приходится большая часть общей экономической активности.
США опубликует данные по заказам на товары длительного пользования, а также отчет по потребительской уверенности.
Среда, 29 октября
Япония опубликует предварительные данные по промышленному производству.
Новая Зеландия опубликует данные частного сектора по деловой уверенности.
Великобритания сообщит о чистом объеме кредитов населению.
Канада выпустит производственные данные по инфляции цен на сырье.
Федеральная резервная система объявит решение FOMC по ставке и опубликует сопутствующее заявление.
Позднее в тот же день Резервный банк Новой Зеландии примет решение по процентной ставке и опубликует сопутствующее заявление.
Четверг, 30 октября
Австралия выпустит отчет по ценам на импорт.
Великобритания опубликует данные частного сектора по инфляции цен на жилье.
Германия огласит предварительное значение индекса потребительских цен, на который приходится большая часть общей инфляции. Страна также выпустит отчет по изменению числа безработных.
Испания выпустит предварительные данные по потребительской инфляции и сообщит о росте ВВП в третьем квартале.
Швейцария опубликует экономический барометр от KOF.
США выпустит пересмотренные данные по росту ВВП в третьем квартале, а также еженедельный отчет по первичным обращениям за пособием по безработице. Позднее в тот же день глава ФРС Джанет Йеллен выступит на мероприятии в Вашингтоне; инвесторы будут внимательно следить за ее комментариями.
Пятница, 31 октября
Новая Зеландия опубликует данные по выданным разрешениям на строительство.
Япония выпустит данные по расходам домашних хозяйств, а также индекс потребительских цен. Между тем Банк Японии объявит решение по процентной ставке и опубликует сопутствующее заявление. Банк также проведет пресс-конференцию.
Еврозона выпустит ожидаемые предварительные данные по потребительской инфляции, а также доклад об уровне безработицы. Кроме того, Германия сообщит об уровне розничных продаж, в то время как Франция опубликует данные по потребительским расходам.
Канада опубликует ежемесячный доклад о росте ВВП.
США завершит неделю выпуском данных по личным доходам и расходам, а также пересмотренные данные по потребительским настроениям и отчет о деловой активности в штате Чикаго.
Анонс значимых событий и данных макростатистики на 27-31 октябряДоллар немного ослаб в пятницу
Евро получил поддержку после того, как предварительное значение индекса потребительского климата в Германии от Gfk за ноябрь поднялось до 8,5 с пересмотренных 8,4 в октябре. Индекс резко падал предыдущие два месяца, поскольку опасения по поводу геополитических рисков и последующего экономического спада оказали давление.
В конце торгов пара EUR/USD поднялась на 0,17% до 1,2668 в конце торговли, ниже сессионного максимума 1,2695.
Обеспокоенность по поводу предстоящей публикации результатов стресс-тестов европейских банков, запланированной на сегодня, а также подтвержденный диагноз лихорадки Эбола в Нью-Йорке, укрепили спрос на убежище-иену и несколько ослабили доллар.
В пятницу вечером пара USD/JPY опустилась на 0,12% до 108,14 после падения до 107,77 в начале сессии. В то же время пара USD/CHF ослабла на 0,22% до 0,9518.
Британские данные показали в пятницу, что валовой внутренний продукт вырос на 0,7% в третьем квартале, замедлившись с 0,9% в течение трех месяцев по июнь, в соответствии с прогнозами. Годовой рост ВВП составил 3%, как и прогнозировалось.
Данные подчеркнули ожидания, что сохраняющееся восстановление экономики может подтолкнуть Банк Англии к повышению процентной ставки во второй половине следующего года.
Пара GBP/USD поднялась до 1,6083 в конце торгов, на 0,33% за день.
Индекс USD, который отслеживает динамику доллара против корзины из шести основных валют, снизился на 0,19% до 85,79. Тем не менее, индекс завершил неделю приростом, стабилизировавшись после резкого снижения на предыдущей неделе.
Опасения, что спад мировой экономики может выступить в качестве сопротивления восстановлению экономики США, вынудили инвесторов ослабить ожидания повышения процентных ставок Федеральной резервной системой во второй половине 2015 года.
На будущей неделе, в среду, инвесторы готовятся к результатам политического заседания ФРС на фоне ожиданий, что банк завершит свою программу покупки активов.
Инвесторы также внимательно изучат заявление ФРС, чтобы найти в нем дальнейшие намеки на сроки повышения процентных ставок.
Пятничный отчет еврозоны по потребительской инфляции также будет в центре внимания трейдеров на фоне растущих ожиданий, что Европейский центральный банк примет дополнительные меры смягчения, чтобы простимулировать слабеющую экономику блока.
Накануне предстоящей недели Investing.com составил список этих и других значимых событий, способных повлиять на рынки.
Понедельник, 27 октября
Институт IFO опубликует индикатор деловой уверенности в Германии. Еврозона опубликует данные по изменению агрегата М3 денежной массы и объему кредитования частного сектора.
Великобритания выпустит данные частного сектора по розничным продажам.
США опубликует отчет по объему незавершенных сделок по продаже жилья.
Вторник, 28 октября
Япония опубликует данные по розничным продажам, правительственную меру потребительских расходов, на долю которых приходится большая часть общей экономической активности.
США опубликует данные по заказам на товары длительного пользования, а также отчет по потребительской уверенности.
Среда, 29 октября
Япония опубликует предварительные данные по промышленному производству.
Новая Зеландия опубликует данные частного сектора по деловой уверенности.
Великобритания сообщит о чистом объеме кредитов населению.
Канада выпустит производственные данные по инфляции цен на сырье.
Федеральная резервная система объявит решение FOMC по ставке и опубликует сопутствующее заявление.
Позднее в тот же день Резервный банк Новой Зеландии примет решение по процентной ставке и опубликует сопутствующее заявление.
Четверг, 30 октября
Австралия выпустит отчет по ценам на импорт.
Великобритания опубликует данные частного сектора по инфляции цен на жилье.
Германия огласит предварительное значение индекса потребительских цен, на который приходится большая часть общей инфляции. Страна также выпустит отчет по изменению числа безработных.
Испания выпустит предварительные данные по потребительской инфляции и сообщит о росте ВВП в третьем квартале.
Швейцария опубликует экономический барометр от KOF.
США выпустит пересмотренные данные по росту ВВП в третьем квартале, а также еженедельный отчет по первичным обращениям за пособием по безработице. Позднее в тот же день глава ФРС Джанет Йеллен выступит на мероприятии в Вашингтоне; инвесторы будут внимательно следить за ее комментариями.
Пятница, 31 октября
Новая Зеландия опубликует данные по выданным разрешениям на строительство.
Япония выпустит данные по расходам домашних хозяйств, а также индекс потребительских цен. Между тем Банк Японии объявит решение по процентной ставке и опубликует сопутствующее заявление. Банк также проведет пресс-конференцию.
Еврозона выпустит ожидаемые предварительные данные по потребительской инфляции, а также доклад об уровне безработицы. Кроме того, Германия сообщит об уровне розничных продаж, в то время как Франция опубликует данные по потребительским расходам.
Канада опубликует ежемесячный доклад о росте ВВП.
США завершит неделю выпуском данных по личным доходам и расходам, а также пересмотренные данные по потребительским настроениям и отчет о деловой активности в штате Чикаго.
· 6
Evgeniy Piskachev
The euro pushed higher against the dollar on Friday after data showed that German consumer confidence improved, while upbeat U.K. third quarter growth data underpinned investor demand for the pound.
Forex - Weekly outlook: October 27 - 31Dollar weakens slightly on Friday
The euro found support after the forward looking Gfk index of German consumer climate ticked up to 8.5 for November from a revised 8.4 in October. The index had fallen sharply in the preceding two months as concerns over geopolitical risks and the ensuing economic slowdown weighed.
EUR/USD was up 0.17% to 1.2668 in late trade, holding below session highs of 1.2695.
Concerns over upcoming European bank stress test results, due for release on Sunday, along with a confirmed Ebola diagnosis in New York City bolstered safe haven demand for the yen and saw the dollar weaken slightly.
USD/JPY was down 0.12% to 108.14 late Friday, after falling as low as 107.77 earlier in the session. At the same time, USD/CHF was down 0.22% to 0.9518.
In the U.K., data on Friday showed that gross domestic product expanded by 0.7% in the third quarter, slowing from 0.9% in the three months to June, but in line with forecasts. Annual GDP was up 3%, also in line with forecasts.
The data underpinned expectations that the continuing economic recovery could prompt the Bank of England to hike interest rates in the second half of next year.
GBP/USD was at 1.6083 in late trade, 0.33% higher for the day.
The US dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.19% to 85.79 late Friday. The index still ended the week higher, stabilizing following a steep selloff in the previous week.
Fears that a slowdown in global economic growth could act as a drag on the U.S. economic recovery have prompted investors to push back expectations for an increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve to the second half of 2015.
In the week ahead investors will be looking ahead to the outcome of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting amid expectations that it will wind up its asset purchase program.
Investors will be scrutinizing the Fed statement for further indications on how soon interest rates could start to rise.
Friday’s report on euro zone consumer inflation will also be in focus, amid growing expectations that the European Central Bank will have to take additional easing steps to boost the flagging euro area economy.
Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.
Monday, October 27
The Ifo Institute is to release its report on German business climate. The euro zone is to release data on M3 money supply and private loans.
The U.K. is to release private sector data on retail sales.
The U.S. is to publish an industry report on pending home sales.
Tuesday, October 28
Japan is to release data on retail sales, the government measure of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
The U.S. is to release data on durable goods orders and a report by the Conference Board on consumer confidence.
Wednesday, October 29
Japan is to publish preliminary data on industrial production.
New Zealand is to release private sector data on business confidence.
The U.K. is to report on net lending to individuals.
Canada is to produce data on raw material price inflation.
The Federal Reserve is to announce its federal funds rate and publish its rate statement.
Later Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is to announce its official cash rate and publish its rate statement.
Thursday, October 30
Australia is to release a report on import prices.
The U.K. is to publish private sector data on house price inflation.
In the euro zone, Germany is to produce preliminary data on the consumer price index, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation. The country is also to release a report on the change in the number of people unemployed.
Elsewhere in the euro area, Spain is to release preliminary data on consumer inflation and third quarter GDP.
Switzerland is to publish its KOF economic barometer.
The U.S. is to publish revised data on third quarter GDP, as well as the weekly report on initial jobless claims. Later in the day, Fed Chair Janet Yellen is to speak at an event in Washington; her comments will be closely watched.
Friday, October 31
New Zealand is to release data on building consents.
Japan is to release reports on household spending and the consumer price index. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan is to announce its monetary policy decision and publish its rate statement. The bank is also to hold a post-policy meeting press conference.
The euro zone is to release what will be closely watched preliminary data on consumer inflation, as well as a report on the unemployment rate. In addition, Germany is to report on retail sales, while France is to publish data on consumer spending.
Canada is to publish its monthly report on GDP growth.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on personal income and expenditure as well as revised data on consumer sentiment and a report on business activity in the Chicago region.
Forex - Weekly outlook: October 27 - 31Dollar weakens slightly on Friday
The euro found support after the forward looking Gfk index of German consumer climate ticked up to 8.5 for November from a revised 8.4 in October. The index had fallen sharply in the preceding two months as concerns over geopolitical risks and the ensuing economic slowdown weighed.
EUR/USD was up 0.17% to 1.2668 in late trade, holding below session highs of 1.2695.
Concerns over upcoming European bank stress test results, due for release on Sunday, along with a confirmed Ebola diagnosis in New York City bolstered safe haven demand for the yen and saw the dollar weaken slightly.
USD/JPY was down 0.12% to 108.14 late Friday, after falling as low as 107.77 earlier in the session. At the same time, USD/CHF was down 0.22% to 0.9518.
In the U.K., data on Friday showed that gross domestic product expanded by 0.7% in the third quarter, slowing from 0.9% in the three months to June, but in line with forecasts. Annual GDP was up 3%, also in line with forecasts.
The data underpinned expectations that the continuing economic recovery could prompt the Bank of England to hike interest rates in the second half of next year.
GBP/USD was at 1.6083 in late trade, 0.33% higher for the day.
The US dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.19% to 85.79 late Friday. The index still ended the week higher, stabilizing following a steep selloff in the previous week.
Fears that a slowdown in global economic growth could act as a drag on the U.S. economic recovery have prompted investors to push back expectations for an increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve to the second half of 2015.
In the week ahead investors will be looking ahead to the outcome of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting amid expectations that it will wind up its asset purchase program.
Investors will be scrutinizing the Fed statement for further indications on how soon interest rates could start to rise.
Friday’s report on euro zone consumer inflation will also be in focus, amid growing expectations that the European Central Bank will have to take additional easing steps to boost the flagging euro area economy.
Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.
Monday, October 27
The Ifo Institute is to release its report on German business climate. The euro zone is to release data on M3 money supply and private loans.
The U.K. is to release private sector data on retail sales.
The U.S. is to publish an industry report on pending home sales.
Tuesday, October 28
Japan is to release data on retail sales, the government measure of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
The U.S. is to release data on durable goods orders and a report by the Conference Board on consumer confidence.
Wednesday, October 29
Japan is to publish preliminary data on industrial production.
New Zealand is to release private sector data on business confidence.
The U.K. is to report on net lending to individuals.
Canada is to produce data on raw material price inflation.
The Federal Reserve is to announce its federal funds rate and publish its rate statement.
Later Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is to announce its official cash rate and publish its rate statement.
Thursday, October 30
Australia is to release a report on import prices.
The U.K. is to publish private sector data on house price inflation.
In the euro zone, Germany is to produce preliminary data on the consumer price index, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation. The country is also to release a report on the change in the number of people unemployed.
Elsewhere in the euro area, Spain is to release preliminary data on consumer inflation and third quarter GDP.
Switzerland is to publish its KOF economic barometer.
The U.S. is to publish revised data on third quarter GDP, as well as the weekly report on initial jobless claims. Later in the day, Fed Chair Janet Yellen is to speak at an event in Washington; her comments will be closely watched.
Friday, October 31
New Zealand is to release data on building consents.
Japan is to release reports on household spending and the consumer price index. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan is to announce its monetary policy decision and publish its rate statement. The bank is also to hold a post-policy meeting press conference.
The euro zone is to release what will be closely watched preliminary data on consumer inflation, as well as a report on the unemployment rate. In addition, Germany is to report on retail sales, while France is to publish data on consumer spending.
Canada is to publish its monthly report on GDP growth.
The U.S. is to round up the week with data on personal income and expenditure as well as revised data on consumer sentiment and a report on business activity in the Chicago region.
· 7
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Анализ основных валютных пар на 24 октября!!!
В четверг рынок снова демонстрировал спрос на доллар США. При этом, даже чуть более слабые данные по числу первичных обращений за пособием по безработице не принесли американской валюте разочарования...
· 4
236
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 EUR/USD будет ли консолидация!!!?
В пятницу, 24 октября, единая европейская валюта по отношению к доллару на утренних торгах демонстрирует слабоположительную динамику и торгуется в районе отметки 1,265 после незначительного изменения по итогам торгов четверга...
· 4
177
Evgeniy Piskachev
U.S. oil futures dropped on Friday, reversing sharp overnight gains as reports of a new case of Ebola in the U.S. weighed on risk sentiment.
Crude oil reverses overnight gains as Ebola concerns weighCrude oil futures decline amid Ebola virus concerns
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for delivery in December traded at $81.37 a barrel during European early afternoon trade, down 0.72$ or 0.88%.
Prices jumped 1.57$ or 1.95% on Thursday to settle at $82.09.
Futures were likely to find support at $80.05 a barrel, Thursday's low and resistance at $83.15, the high from October 22.
Oil prices weakened after The New York Times reported earlier Friday that a doctor in New York City, identified as Craig Spencer, tested positive for the Ebola virus after returning from treating patients in West Africa.
The first confirmed case in America's largest city sparked fresh concerns over the spread of the virus, weighing heavily on risk-related assets.
Crude futures has strengthened on Thursday after Saudi Arabia said it cut crude oil production by about 328,000 barrels in September to a total of 9.36 million barrels.
Concerns over weakening global demand combined with indications that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will not cut output to support oil markets have weighed on prices in recent weeks.
OPEC oil output hit a two-year high of 31 million barrels per day in September, led by higher production from Iraq and Libya.
Some market analysts believe that only a cut in production by the oil cartel will halt the decline in prices.
Oil ministers from the 12-member group are scheduled to meet in Vienna on November 27 to consider whether to adjust their production target for early 2015.
Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for December delivery dropped 0.70$, or 0.81%, to hit $86.13 a barrel.
The spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $4.76.
Crude oil reverses overnight gains as Ebola concerns weighCrude oil futures decline amid Ebola virus concerns
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, crude oil for delivery in December traded at $81.37 a barrel during European early afternoon trade, down 0.72$ or 0.88%.
Prices jumped 1.57$ or 1.95% on Thursday to settle at $82.09.
Futures were likely to find support at $80.05 a barrel, Thursday's low and resistance at $83.15, the high from October 22.
Oil prices weakened after The New York Times reported earlier Friday that a doctor in New York City, identified as Craig Spencer, tested positive for the Ebola virus after returning from treating patients in West Africa.
The first confirmed case in America's largest city sparked fresh concerns over the spread of the virus, weighing heavily on risk-related assets.
Crude futures has strengthened on Thursday after Saudi Arabia said it cut crude oil production by about 328,000 barrels in September to a total of 9.36 million barrels.
Concerns over weakening global demand combined with indications that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will not cut output to support oil markets have weighed on prices in recent weeks.
OPEC oil output hit a two-year high of 31 million barrels per day in September, led by higher production from Iraq and Libya.
Some market analysts believe that only a cut in production by the oil cartel will halt the decline in prices.
Oil ministers from the 12-member group are scheduled to meet in Vienna on November 27 to consider whether to adjust their production target for early 2015.
Elsewhere, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London, Brent oil for December delivery dropped 0.70$, or 0.81%, to hit $86.13 a barrel.
The spread between the Brent and the WTI crude contracts stood at $4.76.
· 3
Evgeniy Piskachev
Join! ! ! Stablly 15-20% a month! ! !
Присоединяйтесь!!! Стабильно 15-20% в месяц!!!
https://www.mql5.com/ru/signals/6922
https://www.mql5.com/ru/signals/52212
Присоединяйтесь!!! Стабильно 15-20% в месяц!!!
https://www.mql5.com/ru/signals/6922
https://www.mql5.com/ru/signals/52212
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Золото не спешит в лапы медведей
Укрепление доллара США против валют G10 после публикации более сильных, чем ожидалось, данных по сентябрьской инфляции, постепенное восстановление S&P500 и небольшой рост доходности казначейских бондов не вызвали ответной реакции у золота, которое обычно проявляет чувствительность к изменению...
· 5
138
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 Американский фондовый рынок: консолидация после бурного роста
Торги на американском фондовом рынке в среду завершились падением трех ключевых индексов. Снижение индикаторов ближе к концу торговой сессии можно охарактеризовать как консолидацию после бурного роста на протяжении нескольких последних сессий...
· 4
145
Evgeniy Piskachev
Earnings from Caterpillar and 3M drove Wall Street higher on Thursday but stocks pared gains in late trading after reports that a New York hospital was running Ebola tests on a healthcare worker.
The day's advance put the S&P 500 at its highest level in two weeks as results from industrial bellwethers reassured investors that corporations can generate strong profits despite concerns about global growth.
Still, the S&P finished about 0.6 percent below its intraday high after news that a healthcare worker who returned to the United States from West Africa had a fever and gastrointestinal symptoms.
"The headline risk caused sellers to be more active. That subsided after about 20 minutes and the real impact won't be known until tomorrow morning," said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. "It threw a little scare into the market."
Caterpillar Inc's (N:CAT) profit beat forecasts and the machinery maker raised its full-year profit forecast. Shares of the Dow component jumped 5 percent to $99.27.
3M Co (N:MMM) added 4.4 percent to $145.05. 3M's results were driven by U.S. sales and its CEO called the U.S. economy "improved."
The S&P industrial sector climbed 2.2 percent, the day's biggest advancing sector.
"If we're looking at headwinds like currency and slowing global growth, seeing multinationals like Caterpillar and 3M post solid beats gives us confidence that economic growth is holding on and probably better than the market is currently expecting," said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors in New York.
The Dow Jones industrial average (DJI) rose 216.58 points, or 1.32 percent, to 16,677.9, the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 23.71 points, or 1.23 percent, to 1,950.82 and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) added 69.95 points, or 1.6 percent, to 4,452.79.
On the downside, AT&T Inc (N:T) fell 2.4 percent to $33.66, a day after reporting weaker-than-expected revenue growth.
Yelp Inc (N:YELP) slumped 18.6 percent to $57.17 in heavy trading a day after its revenue outlook disappointed.
After the close, Amazon.com Inc's (O:AMZN) sales projections for the holiday quarter disappointed and results missed targets, sending shares 9 percent lower.
Despite those disappointments, this earnings season has largely been positive for companies. With more than a third of the S&P 500's results in, 69.5 percent have exceeded profit expectations, according to Thomson Reuters data, above the long-term average of 63 percent.
New claims for U.S. unemployment benefits held below 300,000 for a sixth straight week last week, suggesting the labor market was shrugging off jitters over a slowing global economy.
NYSE advancers outnumbered decliners 2,391 to 700, for a 3.42-to-1 ratio on the upside; on the Nasdaq, 1,962 issues rose and 731 fell, for a 2.68-to-1 ratio.
The S&P 500 index posted 40 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite showed 57 new highs and 39 new lows.
The day's advance put the S&P 500 at its highest level in two weeks as results from industrial bellwethers reassured investors that corporations can generate strong profits despite concerns about global growth.
Still, the S&P finished about 0.6 percent below its intraday high after news that a healthcare worker who returned to the United States from West Africa had a fever and gastrointestinal symptoms.
"The headline risk caused sellers to be more active. That subsided after about 20 minutes and the real impact won't be known until tomorrow morning," said Michael James, managing director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities in Los Angeles. "It threw a little scare into the market."
Caterpillar Inc's (N:CAT) profit beat forecasts and the machinery maker raised its full-year profit forecast. Shares of the Dow component jumped 5 percent to $99.27.
3M Co (N:MMM) added 4.4 percent to $145.05. 3M's results were driven by U.S. sales and its CEO called the U.S. economy "improved."
The S&P industrial sector climbed 2.2 percent, the day's biggest advancing sector.
"If we're looking at headwinds like currency and slowing global growth, seeing multinationals like Caterpillar and 3M post solid beats gives us confidence that economic growth is holding on and probably better than the market is currently expecting," said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors in New York.
The Dow Jones industrial average (DJI) rose 216.58 points, or 1.32 percent, to 16,677.9, the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 23.71 points, or 1.23 percent, to 1,950.82 and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) added 69.95 points, or 1.6 percent, to 4,452.79.
On the downside, AT&T Inc (N:T) fell 2.4 percent to $33.66, a day after reporting weaker-than-expected revenue growth.
Yelp Inc (N:YELP) slumped 18.6 percent to $57.17 in heavy trading a day after its revenue outlook disappointed.
After the close, Amazon.com Inc's (O:AMZN) sales projections for the holiday quarter disappointed and results missed targets, sending shares 9 percent lower.
Despite those disappointments, this earnings season has largely been positive for companies. With more than a third of the S&P 500's results in, 69.5 percent have exceeded profit expectations, according to Thomson Reuters data, above the long-term average of 63 percent.
New claims for U.S. unemployment benefits held below 300,000 for a sixth straight week last week, suggesting the labor market was shrugging off jitters over a slowing global economy.
NYSE advancers outnumbered decliners 2,391 to 700, for a 3.42-to-1 ratio on the upside; on the Nasdaq, 1,962 issues rose and 731 fell, for a 2.68-to-1 ratio.
The S&P 500 index posted 40 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite showed 57 new highs and 39 new lows.
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Yahoo Inc reported a modest increase in revenue during the third quarter, exceeding lackluster Wall Street targets, as the Internet company's online display advertising business continued to struggle.
Shares of Yahoo rose 1.1 percent to $40.61 in extended trading on Tuesday.
"This is a continuation of what we've seen for most of the last two years," said Pivotal Research Group analyst Brian Wieser, citing the ongoing weakness in the display advertising business.
Yahoo's revenue, excluding fees shared with partner websites, was $1.094 billion in the three months ended Sept. 30, a 1 percent increase from $1.081 billion in the year ago period.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S were looking for adjusted revenue of $1.045 billion.
For the first time Yahoo disclosed its mobile revenue, which it said was more than $200 million in the third quarter. Yahoo said it expects that gross mobile revenues for the full year will exceed $1.2 billion.
Yahoo's revenue growth has stalled in recent years as its once-hot Web portal and email service have lagged rivals such as Google Inc and Facebook Inc. Chief Executive Marissa Mayer has revamped many of Yahoo's products and acquired a string of companies during the past two years, but she has been unable to revive the company's revenue growth.
Shares of Yahoo rose 1.1 percent to $40.61 in extended trading on Tuesday.
"This is a continuation of what we've seen for most of the last two years," said Pivotal Research Group analyst Brian Wieser, citing the ongoing weakness in the display advertising business.
Yahoo's revenue, excluding fees shared with partner websites, was $1.094 billion in the three months ended Sept. 30, a 1 percent increase from $1.081 billion in the year ago period.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S were looking for adjusted revenue of $1.045 billion.
For the first time Yahoo disclosed its mobile revenue, which it said was more than $200 million in the third quarter. Yahoo said it expects that gross mobile revenues for the full year will exceed $1.2 billion.
Yahoo's revenue growth has stalled in recent years as its once-hot Web portal and email service have lagged rivals such as Google Inc and Facebook Inc. Chief Executive Marissa Mayer has revamped many of Yahoo's products and acquired a string of companies during the past two years, but she has been unable to revive the company's revenue growth.
· 6
Evgeniy Piskachev
게재된 포스트 План на 22 октября!!!
Пара EUR/USD отскочила вниз от сопротивления в области $1.2830/50. Поддержка расположена в зоне $1.2730/15. Завтра в еврозоне снова не будет важных публикаций. В то же время, уже совсем скоро новостной фон станет интереснее: на четверг намечена публикация европейских индексов PMI...
· 8
202