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Piyush Ratnu is an independent forex market analyst & trader with core expertise in XAUUSD/Spot Gold.

With more than 15 years of experience as a Financial Market Analyst, Piyush Ratnu held the responsibility of developing and refining a series of algorithms & analytic tools to simplify the trading processes. His tools and algorithms were defined and rated as “unlike tools seen in the market before, extensively designed and most importantly, functional and logical” by some of the top financial companies and analysts at New York, London and Dubai.

Piyush Ratnu holds an experience of 290,000 trades, 1,790,000 pips calculated with a remarkable trading execution rate of 2 trades per second in an ideal scenario with profit booking in less than 8 seconds tracing 60+ pips/trade, as per audited and verified track record of last 10 years.

Core strength:

Economics, Economic Data Analysis, Spot Gold (XAUUSD), USD Majors, SR MTF Range Trading, Chart Patterns,
Volume Trading, Day Trading & Position Trading

Trading style
Fundamental based Intra-day trading.

Analysis based on proprietary algorithm + 90+ parameters.

Core focus: US Futures and XAUUSD | Spot Gold

Motto
Plan your trade, and then trade your plan!

Detailed research: https://www.reddit.com/r/prgoldanalysis
Track Record since 2021: https://bit.ly/PRxauusdAnalysis
MyFxBook:

X.com: https://x.com/piyushratnu
Insta: https://www.instagram.com/piyushratnuofficial

Connect for more details:
Telegram: https://www.T.me/PiyushRatnuOfficial

Risk Disclaimer:

Trading in foreign exchange (“Forex”) on margins entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not an indication of future results. In this case, as well, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and for you. Trading foreign exchange, indices and commodities, on margin, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all individuals.

The information made available by Piyush Ratnu is for your general information only and is not intended to address your particular requirements. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making, or refraining from making, any investment decisions.

Piyush Ratnu does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position(s) of Piyush Ratnu.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
The US Treasury Yields🔻 have come down sharply. There is a support near current levels which if broken can drag the yields further lower in the coming days. The US PCE data release today will be important to watch. A lower PCE number can drag the yields below their support. The German Yields have declined sharply contrary to our expectation. They have to hold above their immediate support to keep alive our bullish view.

The price action in the next few days is going to be important. The 10Yr GoI remains lower and stable. The view remains bearish to see more fall from here.

🟢Impact on XAUUSD: +
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔺The Euro has risen past 1.13 again and if sustained can head towards 1.15-1.16 levels.

EURJPY continues to trade within the 165-160 region.

🔻USDJPY has been coming off and can fall towards 142 or even 140 before halting.

🔻AUDUSD is declining within the 0.650-0.635 range.

🔻Pound is headed towards 1.36 again.

🔻The USDCNY below 7.21, can get dragged towards 7.175-7.150. The USDINR can dip within its 85.75-84.75 range.

⚡️US Personal Income and US PCE data releases are scheduled today.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
THIS IS NOT MY WAR - Mr. Trump

In the geopolitics front, the image of the US got dented a bit further after United States (US) President Donald Trump commented on his two-hour phone call with Vladimir Putin on ending the impasse in Ukraine. President Trump said that negotiations would start immediately, though if they break down again, the US would back away from any further efforts and negotiations. Trump said there were "some big egos involved," and without progress, "I'm just going to back away," repeating a warning that he could abandon the process and concluded with "This is not my war," Reuters reports.

That statement suggests that the US President make a complete U-turn, as it was one of his campaign promises, to end the war in his first 100 days. Now that President Trump seems unable to resolve the situation, it looks like Trump will rather pull out and walk away from it.

Impact: XAUUSD + + +
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold (XAU/USD) prices are surging on Tuesday, buoyed by broad-based US Dollar weakness and renewed concerns over the United States’ fiscal health following Friday’s Moody’s downgrade of US sovereign debt.

The safe-haven metal is extending its rally from Monday, supported by deteriorating growth prospects for the world’s largest economy. Gold bulls are now eyeing the key psychological threshold of $3,300, with the metal up 1.51% to trade near $3,280 at the time of writing.

While gains have been somewhat tempered by a rebound in US Treasury Yields and a mutual reduction in tariffs between the US and China, shifting global trade dynamics and persistent policy uncertainty continue to provide a supportive backdrop for bullion.

Looking ahead, Wednesday’s House of Representatives vote on President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful” tax bill, along with evolving expectations for Federal Reserve policy, are expected to play a pivotal role in shaping short-term Gold price action.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔻WHY XAUUSD price dived down/crashed?

Gold price (XAU/USD) remains under some selling pressure for the third successive day and drops to a two-week low, around the $3,230-$3,229 ($3232 price zone, projected by us yesterday) area during the Asian session on Thursday.

US President Donald Trump's remarks earlier today add to the recent optimism over the potential de-escalation of the US-China trade war and turn out to be a key factor driving flows away from the safe-haven precious metal.

Furthermore, the US Dollar (USD) is looking to build on its gains registered over the past two days and exert additional downward pressure on the commodity.

The intraday downfall in the Gold price could further be attributed to some technical selling following a breakdown below the $3,265-3,260 pivotal support.

Any meaningful USD appreciation, however, seems elusive amid rising bets for more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed), bolstered by the surprise contraction in US GDP and signs of easing inflationary pressure.

🟡This could act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal, warranting caution before positioning for an extension of the retracement slide from the $3,500 mark, or the all-time peak.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🟢Gold price keeps its record run intact above $3,450 early Tuesday after posting a 3% gain on Monday.

🟢Trump’s attacks on Fed’s Powell and fears over the US’s financial stability continue to power Gold price rally.

🔻Gold price could see a brief pullback

Gold price extends its record run into the second consecutive day on Tuesday as buyers increase buying positions with their sights on the $3,500 threshold. 🟢CMP $3495

Just as the US-China trade war-led US recession fears weren’t enough to sap investors’ confidence, US President Donald Trump doubled down on his criticism of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell since last Friday, negatively impacting the already beleaguered US Dollar (USD), lifting the traditional safe-haven and the USD-denominated Gold price.

⚡️Despite the latest uptick in the US Dollar, this narrative remains a constant threat while rendering positive for the go-to safety bet – the Gold price:

Fed whisperer and Wall Street Journal’s (WSJ) Nick Timiraos said, "Trump is signalling that he will blame the Federal Reserve for any economic weakness resulting from his trade war if the central bank doesn’t cut interest rates soon. “In the process, he might also be seeking to delegitimize the historically independent institution in a way that could undermine its effectiveness,” Nick added.

🔴🔻A Pullback on the cards:

Looking ahead, Gold price could see a brief correction as traders will likely cash in on their longs, positioning for the notable US earnings on the docket this week, including Magnificent Seven members Tesla and Alphabet, and a host of high-profile industrials such as Boeing etc.

However, any dip in Gold price could be seen as a good buying opportunity as the US-China trade war escalation and worries over the Fed’s independence will continue to haunt markets.

🔻XAUUSD Spot Gold
💬Crucial Price Zones:

🔻SZ $3535/3565/3595/3636
🔺BZ $3434/3414/3385/3369
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🔴The US-China trade war witnessed a significant escalation over the weekend after a Boeing jet intended for use by a Chinese airline landed back at the plane maker's US production hub due to China’s retaliatory move.

🔹Greenback remains vulnerable also as the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence is threatened. “White House Economic Adviser Kevin Hassett said Friday that Trump and his team were studying if they could fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, a sign that such a move, a matter of great consequence for the central bank's independence and global markets, is still an option,” per Reuters.

🔴A broadly softer US Dollar and increased haven demand continue to bode well for the traditional safe-haven Gold price. In the day ahead, Gold price could be subject to intense volatility as trading conditions remain thin on account of Easter Monday.|

💬It’s a relatively light week, in terms of US economic data, and hence, Gold price will remain at the mercy of Trump’s trade talks, risk sentiment and Fedspeak until the release of the S&P Global US flash PMI readings.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold price (XAU/USD) CMP $3393 as projected here: https://t.me/c/1654158888/15708, sticks to its strong intraday gains heading into the European session on Monday and currently trades near the all-time peak, well within striking distance of the $3,400 round figure. Trade-related uncertainties continue to weigh on investors' sentiment, which is evident from the underlying bearish sentiment around the global financial markets and benefits the safe-haven precious metal.

Furthermore, US President Donald Trump's back-and-forth tariff announcements have dented confidence in the US economy. This, along with bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle soon, drags the US Dollar (USD) to its lowest level since April 2022 and provides an additional boost to the non-yielding Gold price. The XAU/USD bulls, meanwhile, seem cautious with overbought conditions. I expect correct before Thursday 24 April 2025 H1A236 | $3366/3333 zone.

🔻Avoid BIG lots, maintain PG $50

GRID: $50 | Exit NAP

Crucial Price Zones:
Strategy: GR 11223355

🔺SZ $3400/3434/3464/3484
🔻BZ $3333/3303/3282/3262

🔴KEY Factors impacting XAUUSD:

🟢Investors remain worried about the potential economic fallout from US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and the rapidly escalating US-China trade war, pushing the safe-haven Gold price to a fresh all-time peak on Monday. In fact, Trump recently imposed tariffs of up to 145% on certain Chinese goods, with some duties reportedly reaching 245%. In retaliation, China has levied tariffs of 125% on US products.

🟢Meanwhile, Trump's aggressive trade policies could hurt the world trade order and trigger a recession in the US. This, in turn, drags the US Dollar to its lowest level since April 2022 and further benefits the precious metal. The USD bulls shrugged off Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments, saying that the central bank is well-positioned to wait for more clarity before making any changes to the policy stance.

🟢Furthermore, market participants are still pricing in the possibility that the Fed will resume its rate-cutting cycle in June and lower borrowing costs by a full percentage point by the end of this year. This turns out to be another factor that contributes to driving flows towards the non-yielding yellow metal, amid thin trading conditions on the back of the Easter Monday holiday and despite overbought conditions on the daily chart.

🟢Iran and the US agreed on Saturday to commence expert-level discussions to design a framework for a potential nuclear deal. Moreover, Russian President Vladimir Putin's one-day ceasefire in Ukraine on Saturday sparked hopes that tensions could de-escalate. This, however, does little to boost investors' confidence or dent demand for traditional safe-haven assets, supporting prospects for a further appreciation for the XAU/USD pair.

🟢There isn't any relevant market-moving economic data due for release from the US on Monday, though a scheduled speech from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee might influence the USD. Apart from this, trade-related developments should provide some impetus to the commodity. The market focus will then shift to the release of flash PMIs on Wednesday, which should offer a fresh insight into the global economic health.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #Trading

Gold price (XAU/USD) posts a fresh all-time high (ATH) near $3,333 in Wednesday's North American session.

The precious metal remains an attractive investment amid heightening global trade tensions. The intensifying trade war between the United States (US) and China has forced financial market participants to stay on the safe-haven fleet, assuming that the tussle for dominance between them is painful for the global economy

Bullish sentiment continues to abound in gold though, which shows no sign of slowing down. It might be the ‘most crowded trade’ according to Bank of America’s latest survey, but so was ‘Long Tech’ for months at a time, and that didn’t stop investors from piling in. All this comes as inflation remains muted for now. It is the level of uncertainty in the macro outlook right now that makes gold so compelling.

Donald Trump has taken a step to reassess levies on vital minerals after Beijing announced a non-tariff barrier on their exports by establishing a licensing system. Earlier this month, Beijing also imposed export restrictions on six heavy rare earth metals and rare earth magnets.

Market experts worry that the US economy could be vulnerable without these minerals, as they barely produce them, given their application in many industries, including defence and technology.

Beijing has imposed restrictive controls on exports of rare minerals to the US in retaliation for hefty reciprocal tariffs imposed by Donald Trump on them. Till now, the US has raised additional duties on Chinese imports to 145%. At the same time, China has also imposed 125% tariffs on US imports. Meanwhile, Trump has declared a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for the rest of his trading partners.

Co-relation:

A sharp upside in the Gold price is majorly driven by sheer weakness in the US Dollar (USD).

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, slumps to near 99.50, holding near its lowest level in three years. Technically, weakness in the US Dollar makes the Gold price an attractive bet for investors.

https://www.reddit.com/r/prgoldanalysis/comments/1k0p2rd/why_xauusd_price_shot_up_to_33003333_zone/
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Trade with Confidence with Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research

Subscribe one of the most accurate analysis in the industry: Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu powered by 90+ technical and fundamental parameters with a verified and audited track record.

Current Trading Profit Status: 132%
Highest Drawdown Faced YTD: 35%
Highest profit/month booked: 102%
Highest loss/month booked: 24%
Check Trading Performance at:


Core Focus: #XAUUSD | Spot #Gold

Platform: MT4 MT5
Trading Mode: Manual + Algorithm | Automated: both available
Auto-Copy Trading: Available | Plug and Play Solution

Live Trading Feed Available | Real Time Analysis Available

Connect for an appointment at T.ME/PIYUSHRATNUOFFICIAL

Watch LIVE TRADING FEED
Real Time Trades by our proprietary trading algorithms at https://t.me/PiyushRatnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD Co-relations Alert

USD S 45
Us10YT -
DXY -

USDJPY (-) 158.000 - 156.800

1200 P (-)

🟢Possible impact on XAUUSD

$40+

$2670+40 = $2710
$2707/2717/2727 on radar.

📌Reversal scenario:

USDJPY + 1000 P
= XAUUSD - $30= $2686 - 30= $2656

M30A100
H1AS2
H4AS5 zone

🆘Important data ahead:

12 min USDCore CPI (YoY) (Dec) 3.3%3.3%
12 min USDCore CPI (MoM) (Dec) 0.3%0.3%
12 min USDCPI (MoM) (Dec) 0.4%0.3%
12 min USDCPI (YoY) (Dec) 2.9%2.7%

#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TradingTips
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
📌XAUUSD important price zones

M30AS5 M30AS2 confluence @ $2675
H1AS2 H1AS5 X $2672
H1A50 $2672
H1A618 $2664

🍎Support zones BZ
S1 $2674
S2 $2662

🍎Resistance zones SZ
R2 $2692
R3 $2703
R4 $2710
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
How to trade Spot Gold XAUUSD accurately in 2025 | Price Projection by Piyush Ratnu | XAUUSD $3030/3232 in 2025?

Analysis: https://www.reddit.com/r/prgoldanalysis/comments/1hko2qn/how_to_trade_spot_gold_xauusd_accurately_in_2025/?rdt=44273
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🟢XAUUSD CMP $2752

M5A0.0 achieved
M15A100 $2740
M30A100 $2727
H1A100 $2717

Ideal BUY ZONES below M30A100
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold price has lost its two-day recovery momentum, trading below $2,750 amid a quiet start to a big week on Monday. Gold buyers did find acceptance above the $2,740 static resistance on Friday but the further upside appears elusive on resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand.

Japan Elections:

The coalition led by Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) has lost its majority in parliament, its worst result in over a decade.

Impact USDJPY +1000P at MO

The USD resumes the recent uptrend, drawing safe-haven demand amid further escalation in the Middle East tensions and uncertainty around the November 5 US presidential election.

Israel attacked Iran with a series of airstrikes early Saturday, saying it was targeting military sites in retaliation for the barrage of ballistic missiles the latter fired upon Israel on October 1, 2024.

Markets are wagering a less aggressive easing cycle by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on US economic resilience, which keeps the sentiment around the Greenback underpinned at the expense of the Gold price.

The downside of the Gold price remains capped due to renewed expectations of more stimulus measures from China. China’s Vice Minister of Finance Liao Min said earlier that the country will step up countercyclical adjustments of its macro policies to bolster economic recovery in the fourth quarter.

China🇨🇳 is the world’s biggest Gold consumer and hence, hopes of an increase in physical demand for Gold on stimulus optimism favors buyers.

Further, the festive season of DIWALI🪔 in India🇮🇳 – the world’s no.2 yellow metal market – could also lend support to the bright metal.

🟢Current Status: Buy Dips XAUUSD

Equities sideways, USD weaker in proportion to past track record, cryptos sideways, oil weaker, metals weaker, JPY weaker (hence supporting +USDJPY)

Important US macro releases this week – the Advance Q3 GDP report, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and the closely-watched Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. This, in turn, warrants caution before placing aggressive bearish bets around the XAU/USD.

🟢 Crucial Price Zones this week: Refer our Telegram Channel.

Connect at t.me/PiyushRatnuOfficial on Telegram
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Trade with Confidence with Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research

Subscribe one of the most accurate analysis in the industry: Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu powered by 90+ technical and fundamental parameters with a verified and audited track record.

Current Trading Profit Status: 112%
Highest Drawdown Faced YTD: 8%
Highest profit/month booked: 42%
Highest loss/month booked: 5%

Check Trading Performance at:


Core Focus: #XAUUSD | Spot #Gold

Platform: MT4 MT5
Trading Mode: Manual + Automated BOTH available

Auto-Copy Trading: Available | Plug and Play Solution

* Live Trading Feed Available
*Real Time Analysis Available
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD Spot Gold | $2740-2717 achieved today:

I had projected this trading scenario in advance on 13 July 2024, 18 July 2024:

You can cross verify this remarkable analysis here:

https://x.com/piyushratnu/status/1813560415332245606

Algorithm PRSRSDBS D1 AG1K Chart Structure by Piyush Ratnu Gold Market Research
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAUUSD $2711 achieved, as projected on 17.10.2024 at 11.41 hours, before Core Retails Sales Data.

CRS IJC and CJC data was +, however XAUUSD breached the mark of $2700 due to geo-political tensions.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades with a positive bias for the second straight day and sticks to its intraday gains near the $2,685 zone ($2682 today’s high), or a three-week peak through the first half of the European session on Wednesday.

Against the backdrop of persistent geopolitical risks, the disappointment over the lack of details about China's fiscal stimulus temper investors' appetite for riskier assets. This is evident from a weaker tone around the equity markets and turns out to be a key factor benefiting the safe-haven precious metal.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
XAU/USD 4-hour Chart Analysis


The short-term trend has switched to bearish, from previously being sideways, after Gold broke down from its narrow range and decisively breached its long-term trendline on Tuesday. Given the technical analysis principle that “the trend is your friend,” the odds favor a continuation lower in the near term.

A break below support at $2,600 (August 18 high, round number) would probably indicate further weakness toward the next downside target at $2,578, where the green 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart above is likely to provide a safety net ($2585 zone).

Bears should proceed with caution, however, as the medium and long-term trends remain bullish. If, at any moment, one of these longer up cycles resumes, Gold could stall, reverse, and begin a new up leg higher.

US Election Ahead.