Accueil

Evgeniy Scherbina / Profil

Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
3.1 (241)
  • Informations
12+ années
expérience
35
produits
579
versions de démo
0
offres d’emploi
0
signaux
0
les abonnés
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up, guys! As I promised, I am going to publish a new version of QuantumPip. It will include my newest approach to training neural networks.

Below is the comparison picture. The current 2.2 version has not managed it well enough in the last month. The newest 2.3 version, that I am going to publish over the weekend, has a much better result with the Reliable risk. Of course, it is a test with the unknown, future data for the 2.3 version.

I have reduced the complexity of the networks. They say if a simple model performs as well or better as a complex model, you should use the simple model. This is what I am going to do.

Some uses have experienced bugs due to insufficient data. It will all be gone.

There will be one supporting symbol - XAUUSD.

It will be a choppier trading. So there will more trades and more signal changes. It is better because it should help avoid long-range traps as it has happened with USDJPY this summer.

Of course, it will work as usual with the existing trades. However, I guess most trades will be closed by the newer version. So you may want to change the magic. Also, the newer version will have a new comment "qpip" to replace the current comment "qp".
· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina Produits publiés
Neural Transformer

165.00 USD

The "Neural Transformer" expert is a fully automated expert which is ready to trade on the daily timeframe with 2 symbols: GBPUSD and USDCAD. In addition to this, you can train the expert to trade on any timeframe with any symbol. The expert will automatically pick up the files of your new customized neural network. The "Neural Transformer" has made training neural networks for Forex an easy and exciting process! Currently, I am offering one type of network - LSTM. It is the most popular neural

· 2
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up guys! Finally! I am going to launch a new product which will allow you to train different kinds of neural networks for any symbol. You will be able to choose properties and tune the complexity of your neural network, train it and evaluate the results in just several clicks. No more geek stuff, only what you need for Forex training and trading!

Here comes the name for the new product! Boom-boom tram-pam... "Neural Transformer"!
· 5
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up, guys! The new version of Gold Chaser is looking very good! It now uses the American Dollar Index (or "Dixie") as a supporting symbol, which helps it make more accurate forecasts. It trades Gold and Silver on the demo account, but it can also trade Bitcoin and Oil. In order to use this strategy, you do not have to have a Dixie indicator in your terminal. However, you need to have the 6 symbols comprising the Dixie indicator, including USDSEK. Find the full history of Gold Chaser on myfxbook.com or check the description here https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/108100
· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina
Trading Systems

Top 10 Expert Advisors in the market - Will users find anything better in August?

1 août 2024, 12:41
I do it again! This is a new assessment of the top 10 strategies competing in the market. The previous assessment of July 1st is here . I do this series of posts because I want to stay informed about what users buy and whether there is a good strategy after all...
· 6 1579
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Fed Rate has been at the historical maximum for quite a while. It is expected to change in September. On July 31st, it is expected to be confirmed...

What it means is that USD should let it go. AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD may instantly go upwards, while USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY will head downwards.

The questions is: Will this move in currencies take place after the conference on July 31st or later in September?

My answer is: It will happen this Wednesday. I am going to remove all positions favoring USD. And I recommend doing so to you.
· 2
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.07.28
Нет, я думаю золото в канале вверх-вниз до выборов в ноябре. А осенью наконец будут большие движения.
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up, folks! My newest approach is to use a supporting symbol to gain insights and make relevant trading decisions. Below is a comparison of different supporting symbols.

My major symbols are: AUDCAD, AUD, EUR, GBPCHF, GBP, CAD, CHF, JPY, and SEK. While the supporting symbols are: Oil, Dixie, Dax, Ftse, and Gold. Yes, you got it right! I have finally incorporated stock indices into Forex trading. All of which is available with any broker, because the rare and valuable staff is downloaded from Yahoo Finance.

What we see in this chart, is that Oil, Dixie, Dax and Gold are mostly winning. The one loser is Ftse. Oil lost 2 major symbols in the test period Jan-May 2024, while Dixie lost only one major symbol. But Dixie has the highest drawdown of 10% on SEK, together with Ftse. The drawdowns are not shown in this chart, but surely it is not only about how tall the columns are.

I think I will put it all together in one strategy, including the losing Ftse, so that everyone knows what an amazing and extensive testing has been done to achieve these results. While Oil should be the preferred choice, the other options will add confidence to it.
· 5
Evgeniy Scherbina
Trading Systems

Top 10 Expert Advisors in the market - which will survive through July 2024?

1 juillet 2024, 09:23
So here we go again. This is going to be a review of my market top published exactly 1 month ago ( check it here ). This is primarily to understand what users buy, why users buy it. And, of course, the strategies that users buy - are they good...
· 4 5927 4
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
2 months straight up +30% and growing!
It uses the American Dollar Index, or "Dixie", as a supporting symbol.
LuminaFX check it out here: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/114681
· 3
Evgeniy Scherbina Produits publiés
LuminaFX
Avis: 9
165.00 USD

LuminaFX is a fully automated expert which trades 8 symbols from one chart. The expert implements a popular version of the recurrent neural model. Values of the "Schmuksie" indicator (my adaptation of the American Dollar Index DXY, or "Dixie"), are used as inputs to the neural model. You can download a free indicator IDixie and put it on one chart with the expert LuminaFX. IDixie calculates close prices of the American Dollar Index, which is used in the expert, and it also shows a moving

· 2
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina 2024.06.06
Хороший брокер IC Markets. У него есть скрил, я последнее время к нему присматриваюсь. Можно копировать сделки через патч. Патч у меня есть пока только для QuantumPip и только для МТ4.
Evgeniy Scherbina
Trading Systems

Top 10 Expert Advisors in the market - which of them will keep it up in June 2024?

1 juin 2024, 10:48
Top 10 Expert Advisors in the market - which of them will keep it up in June 2024? First and foremost, a number of rules to define a good strategy: Diversification. A good strategy should be able to trade many symbols...
· 8 625
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
What's up, guys! I am testing a new risky strategy LuminaFX. You can check its demo signal in my profile on myfxbook.com (simply look for LuminaFX). And this is what I am seeing. In April - start of May, LuminaFX slowed down a bit, while QuantumPip was bumping up quickly. If these two were combined, they would still show an upward progress.

Likewise, right now I am seeing that it is QuantumPip slowing down, while LuminaFX is really pushing up. They differ in the way inputs are fed: stacked sequences for QuantumPip, ordered sequences for LuminaFX. There is a reason why they may be opening opposite trades.

And as we all know, it is better to open more trades because more risk creates more profit. If the forecast quality is at least 51% (it is so for both QuantumPip and LuminaFX), a lot of trades would always be winning at the end of a month. A few good trades may be pure luck, it may last 1 month, 2 months... But a lot of trades will always create enough opportunities to grab profits!!

What do you think?
· 3
Evgeniy Scherbina Produits publiés
QuantumPip MT4
Avis: 1
165.00 USD

The expert "QuantumPip" is a fully automated expert which can trade several symbols from one chart. The expert also uses prices of Gold, Oil, Dixie, DAX or FTSE to calculate inputs for the symbols. The expert uses 2 types of recurrent neural model - 1 network (decisions "buy" or "sell") and 2 networks (decisions "buy" or "uncertainty" and "sell" or "uncertainty"). QuantumPip can, therefore, trade 20 strategies as one, because it is 2 models per each of the 10 symbols. This can help diversify

Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
I have started a new demo signal for this new strategy LuminaFX, which relies on the ordered bars and not stacked bars. As I wrote previously, it cannot pass the history well. But boy does it rush upwards right away? It is the first week +10%. And it is immediately a positive profit for anything it opens?!?!
· 3
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hi, everyone. I am working to make a new advisor based on a new principle. I have always believed in a stacked order of bars. But recently I thought there may be a better sequential order... I am still testing it. But the new name is ready! Bam-bam pam-pam-pam! It is LuminaFX!

The thing is QuantumPip, which is my most advanced system so far, still shows better results. I can't make LuminaFX outperform QuantumPip. But I will keep on searching. I think if the past has the same random prices as the future does, a good strategy should be able to pass the history with a satisfactory result. LuminaFX struggles to do it. Do I have to come to the conclusion that it is different: To be able to pass the random prices of the future, a good strategy should not fit to the prices of the past at all???
· 4
Evgeniy Scherbina Produits publiés
IDixie

FREE

IDixie is an indicator which shows open and close values of the American dollar index, DXY or "Dixie". The indicator is calculated from weighted values of 6 major symbols: EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDSEK, and USDCHF. In addition to "Dixie" values, the indicator also shows a moving average. You can set the period of the moving average. When bars of the indicator break through the moving average, this creates good opportunities to enter the market. As a rule, signals from this indicator are

· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina Produits publiés
IQuantum

FREE

The indicator IQuantum shows trading signals for 10 symbols in the daily chart: AUDCAD, AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPCAD, GBPCHF, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Signals of the indicator are produced by 2 neural models which were trained independently from one another. The inputs for the neural models are normalised prices of the symbols, as well as prices of Gold, Silver and markers of the current day. Each neural model was trained in 2 ways. The Ultimate mode is an overfitted neural model

Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
So this is it. Gold has broken it. For the first time in history, Gold is exploring the price of over 2100 USD. We are living it, and we should be proud about it? Happy about it? Or worried about it?

The good thing to know is it can't grow endlessly. It must fall. There is no level that is higher than 2100. So no target value to reach and to roll back. It can roll back any day. Any time. Can it roll back today?

The bad thing, or the bad consequence is evident. No one expected it to grow that high. It just broke all indicators. It has made us incur losses and suffer the pain of frustration. It is not fair! Go back, you brick of bright shiny gold! Go back now!

My two advisors - Gold Chaser and Neural Rabbit - both trade Gold. Their neural model for Gold is identical, and it could not foresee the trend beyond 2100 because it has never happened in the history on which it was trained. Clearly, I will have to retrain the model. To avoid that kind of miscalculation in the future, I am going to try the following ways:

1) Extend the training period.

2) Drop the trade-off between a good historical chart and a good performance on the unseen future data. What this means, is I tried with these 2 advisors to accomodate the 2 approaches. I wanted to please those traders who want to be sure it can pass the history well. And I tried to find such values of neural loss which would allow the strategy make correct trading decisions on the unseen future data. That is why it broke. No more trade-offs! Trade-offs don't work! Or else they work until the market spirals out of control.

3) My latest approach is to leave out 75% of training data to avoid repetitions in the training dataset and make it less addicted to such repetitions. The following validation includes a 100% of the dataset, so I can always make sure it is a valid neural model.

We do not succumb to the frustration wrought by the power of the unwinding market! We adapt and we become stronger! Profit will be ours!
· 1
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hey, guys. I am currently working to create a free indicator which will visualize the trading decisions of my newest advisor "QuantumPip".

Below is the picture of how it may look like. I am still thinking of what could be done. I hope I can publish it this week.

It is going to be based on the same data as the advisor "QuantumPip", but it will be a free indicator, not an advisor by itself. Some users like to see how trading decisions were made.

If you have any comments or suggestions, you are invited to comment here or you can write to me via the messages.
· 2
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
ChatGPT is pondering on how to help users understand the concepts of machine learning.

To address this issue, you may consider implementing the following strategies:

- **Educational Materials**: Develop educational materials or presentations that explain the concepts of overfitting, generalization, and the importance of future performance in a simple and accessible way.

- **Comparative Analysis**: Compare the performance of overfit models and properly trained models on real-world data to demonstrate the impact of overfitting on future performance.

- **Risk Assessment**: Discuss the risks associated with overfitting and the potential consequences of basing decisions solely on visually appealing historical charts.

- **Engagement**: Encourage customer engagement by involving them in the model evaluation process and demonstrating the value of robust, generalizable models over visually appealing but overfit models.
· 1