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Triangular Statistical Arbitrage Indicator

NOTE: THIS IS A MULTICURRENCY EXPERT ADVISOR AND AS SUCH MAY NOT BE COMPARTIBLE WITH MT4 BACKTESTING. EASIEST WAY TO TEST IT IS BY SIMPLY RUNNING IT IN REAL-TIME ON MT4.


Model Lelora is a forex trading system model packaged into an indicator executable on a PC running Metatrader 4. The model exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. Stationarity is determined or confirmed by performing cointegration tests between three forex instruments that form a triangle (i.e have a product relationship like EURUSD = EURGBP * GBPUSD). In the case that there is strong evidence of cointegration the two instruments can be traded as one stationary process. The trader can make entries every time the model spread/deviation (residual time series) crosses a new multiple of standard deviation from on its way from the mean. The indicator plots four multiples of standard deviation (-4 Std, -3 Std, -2 Std, -1 Std, 1 Std, 2 Std, 3 Std, 4 Std) in the indicator window below the main chart window. The indicator also displays some useful information (i.e. cointegration model parameters, lot size ratio, standard deviation, model deviation, levels, etc) in the main chart window.

To explain this operation further, suppose the model spread crosses the first standard deviation (negative or positive side) away from the mean. Then the trader will open two orders which together act as one order pair for model spread as a synthetic instrument (a stationary one). If the model spread goes further away to cross the second standard deviation from the mean, the trader  can pen a new order pair with same lot sizes. The trader should wait until the model spread reverts back to the mean (i.e. level 0) and close all trades and start afresh.  The end result is always that when the model mean finally reverts back to the mean there will be net profit in so far as the cointegration model is still valid.

There is a good reason why it is safe to keep opening order pairs as the model spread keeps moving away from the mean. That reason is that, since the model spread is a tested stationary process then it has a tendency of mean reversion and binning this process result in Gaussian histogram profile and this tells us that the probability of model spread moving further and further away from the mean decreases exponentially. It is for this reason that always betting that model spread is bound to revert back to the mean value results in an investment system with a positive expectation value which can be calculated explicitly given the mean and variance of the Gaussian histogram profile.


The lot size ratio is given by the coefficients of the instruments displayed in the main chart window (i.e. if the model is EURUD = 1.14*EURGBP + 0.82*GBPUSD + 1.86 for example, then the lot size ratio should be EURUSD : EURGBP : GBPUSD = 1.00 : 1.14 : 0.82. Here are some few rules regarding what to buy/sell and when. Suppose the cointegration model example is given by EURUSD = M*EURGBP + L*GBPUSD + C. Then the rules are as follows (Remember we only make entries when the model spread crosses multiples of standard deviation when it moves away from the mean):

1. If Model deviation is negative do the following: (a) buy EURUSD, sell both EURGBP & GBPUSD and (b) set the lot size ratio of EURSD : EURGBP : GBPUSD = 1 : M : L.

2. If Model deviation is positive do the following: (a) sell EURUSD, buy both EURGBP & GBPUSD and (b) set the lot size ratio of EURSD : EURGBP : GBPUSD = 1 : M : L.


The robot has various input parameters (set at default settings) some of which are described below:

1. N is the data size for building cointegration model.
2. TFrame is the time frame in minutes.
3. PairOne, PairTwo & PairTri are three triangular trading instruments which are to tested for cointegration and traded if the test succeeds. The robot will report back if the chosen instruments have weak or no significant cointegration and the user should react by choosing a different combination.
4. ModeDemo is the switching Boolean parameter. When true the model will work on Demo accounts but if false it will work on real (or live) accounts.


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Cet indicateur détectera des motifs harmoniques dessinés sur le graphique par des méthodes manuelles et automatiques. Vous pouvez consulter le manuel d'utilisateur à partir de ce lien: Ajoutez votre avis et contactez-nous pour l'obtenir. Il existe une version gratuite pour essayer ce produit sur MT4. Vous pouvez l'utiliser pour détecter les motifs Gartley et Nenstar: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/30181 Vous pouvez acheter la version complète de MT4 à partir de: https://www.mql5.com/en/m
Market Overview MT4
Mehran Sepah Mansoor
5 (1)
Optimisez vos décisions de trading avec notre indicateur de force et de sentiment du marché et ne tradez plus à contre-courant! Méticuleusement conçu pour les traders sérieux qui apprécient les informations précises et opportunes, notre indicateur fournit une vue d'ensemble des 28 paires principales d'une manière très simple. Cet outil est capable de classer les paires de devises en fonction de leur popularité, de la force de la tendance haussière ou baissière et du pourcentage d'acheteurs et
All in One Trade
Alexey Minkov
4.48 (27)
The All-in-One Trade Indicator (AOTI) determines daily targets for EURUSD, EURJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, EURGBP, EURCAD, EURAUD, AUDJPY, GBPAUD, GBPCAD, GBPCHF, GBPJPY, AUDUSD, and USDJPY. All other modules work with any trading instruments. The indicator includes various features, such as Double Channel trend direction, Price channel, MA Bands, Fibo levels, Climax Bar detection, and others. The AOTI indicator is based on several trading strategies, and created to simplify market analysis. All-in-One
WARNING!! THIS SWORD IS TOO SHARP!    ONLY 10 COPIES LEFT FOR THE NEXT PRICE TO BE 8,000$ FOR UNLIMITED PLAN. Dear traders I am very glad once again to introduce to you my other tool called "Forex Sword Indicator". In short this tool is meant to give you an edge over the market that you have been waiting for  so long. Now, here it is. It is a very very simple tool but yet a dangerous sword. I call it a  Holy grail indicator!. I will not talk a lot about this tool. Just let the tool speak by itse
PS Volume MT4
Miguel Angel Vico Alba
5 (2)
Displays the volume of buyers and sellers in a more friendly and understandable. In this way we can determine more accurately if they win the bears or the bulls. There are patterns of behavior that we studied beforehand, but in essence we will serve as support at the time of making decisions. Also if we are already within the market we can confirm if is approaching a change of trend and so exit before the change of the same. Parameters Drawing Style Buyers Volume Color Sellers Volume Color Widt
PZ Wolfe Waves
PZ TRADING SLU
1 (1)
Wolfe Waves are naturally occurring trading patterns present in all financial markets and represent a fight towards an equilibrium price. These patterns can develop over short and long-term time frames and are one of the most reliable predictive reversal patterns in existence, normally preceding strong and long price movements. [ Installation Guide | Update Guide | Troubleshooting | FAQ | All Products ] Clear trading signals Amazingly easy to trade Customizable colors and sizes Implements perfor
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Cointegrated Pairs Trading Robot
Naleli Jubert Matjelo
1 (1)
IMPORTANT NOTE: This robot trades two or more symbols at the go and as such it can not be tested with strategy tester in Metatrader 4. The reason being that Metatrader 4 strategy tester cannot synchronize price timing for more than one symbol at the time. To test this robot successfully, one has to run it in real-time on a demo account and monitor it for days. Cointegrated Pairs Trading Robot is an expert advisor executable on any PC running Metatrader 4. A linear regression is applied on two i
NOTE: This robot trades three symbols at the go and as such it can not be tested with strategy tester in Metatrader 4. The reason being that Metatrader 4 strategy tester cannot synchronize price timing for more than one symbol at the time. To test this robot successfully, one has to run it in real-time on a demo account and monitor it for days. Triangular Statistical Arbitrage Robot is an expert advisor executable on any PC running Metatrader 4. A linear regression is applied on three instrumen
NOTE: THIS IS A MULTICURRENCY INDICATOR AND AS SUCH MAY NOT BE COMPARTIBLE WITH MT4 BACKTESTING. EASIEST WAY TO TEST IT IS BY SIMPLY RUNNING IT IN REAL-TIME ON MT4. Model Lelothoane is a forex trading system model packaged into an indicator executable on a PC running Metatrader 4. The model exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. Stationarity is determined or confirmed by performing cointegration tests between two forex instruments. In the case that there is strong eviden
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