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# Model Lepau

NOTE: THIS IS A MULTICURRENCY EXPERT ADVISOR AND AS SUCH MAY NOT BE COMPARTIBLE WITH MT4 BACKTESTING. EASIEST WAY TO TEST IT IS BY SIMPLY RUNNING IT IN REAL-TIME ON MT4.

Model Lepau is a forex trading system model packaged into an expert advisor (robot) executable on a PC running Metatrader 4. The model is based on statistical arbitrage of three triangular forex symbols. Choosing three forex symbols that are triangular (i.e. exhibit a product relationship) ensures that there is both cointegration and correlation from which the mean-reversion property of stationary processes necessarily follows. In the case that there is strong evidence of cointegration the two instruments are traded by the robot as one stationary process. The robot makes entries (and exits) every time the model spread/deviation (residual time series) crosses a multiple of standard deviation from mean.

To explain this operation further, suppose the model spread crosses the first standard deviation (negative or positive side) away from the mean. Then the robot will open two orders which together act as one order pair for model spread as a synthetic instrument (a stationary one). If the model spread goes further away to cross the second standard deviation from the mean, the robot will close the order pair (with a loss) opened earlier when the model spread crossed the first standard deviation. At the same time (after closing this order pair), the robot will open a new order pair with lot sizes scaled by a factor CR. This mean if CR >= 1 then the loss made by the first order pair will be recovered by the second (or even third, though model spread hardly ever gets to the third standard deviation) when the model spread moves from the N-th standard deviation to cross the N-1-th standard deviation. The end result is always that when the model mean finally reverts back to the mean there will be net profit in so far as the cointegration model is still valid.

There is a good reason why it is safe to keep opening order pairs as the model spread keeps moving away from the mean. That reason is that, since the model spread is a tested stationary process then it has a tendency of mean reversion and binning this process result in Gaussian histogram profile and this tells us that the probability of model spread moving further and further away from the mean decreases exponentially. It is for this reason that always betting that model spread is bound to revert back to the mean value results in an investment system with a positive expectation value which can be calculated explicitly given the mean and variance of the Gaussian histogram profile.

The robot has various input parameters (set at default settings) some of which are described below:

1. N is the data size for building cointegration model.
2. CR is the common ration for adjusting lot sizes (CR >= 1).
3. Lots is the nominal lot size. Minimum usually 0.01.
4. Magic & magik are magic numbers used to uniquely identify trades opened by this robot. As such every magic number should be uniquely chosen positive integer.
5. TFrame is the time frame in minutes.
6. PairOne, PairTwo & PairTri are three trading instruments/symbols which are to be tested for cointegration and traded if the test succeeds. The robot will report back if the chosen instruments have weak or no significant cointegration and the user should react by choosing a different combination.
7. ModeDemo is the switching Boolean parameter. When true the model will work on Demo accounts but if false it will work on real (or live) accounts.
8. SaveData is the switching Boolean parameter. It switches from data-consuming (but indestructible) mode and data-saving (but prone to inaccuracies if there are internet cuts and temporary disallowed trading conditions set by broker).
9. AlertsOn is switching Boolean parameter. When true, recurrent alerts will be shown, otherwise they won’t be shown.
10. RSThreshold is the threshold for R^2 goodness of fit measure (for cointegration model) below which trading will not happen.
11. CCThreshold is the threshold for correlation coefficient measure below which no trading will happen.

The robot displays useful measurements on the chart including cointegration model, statistical test, std deviation, model spread, lots ratio, etc.
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SFE Stealth
Joel Juanpere
The system looks for signs of reversal, in hours when the market is not strong and the risk of high movements is low. The system has the ability to work well with many symbols, and the correlation of the different symbols is generally very low, giving to the system a very high diversification, which reduces the overall risk. The system generally launches several trades every day, which added to the high diversification, provides the opportunity to aspire to a relatively stable growth. Signal
750 USD
True Range Pro
Smart Forex Lab.
Accurate Night/Intraday Scalping & Smart Grid System Expected perfomance 5-10% / mo  (eurusd M5) 20-40% / mo (gbpusd M1) Features 100% automated trades Hard stoploss for every position Dynamic basket takeprofit High spread protection Fixed & Auto volume Easy to use & ready to go 2014-2020 99% tick quality optimized & backtesed True Range Pro MT5 >>  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/54578 Set files   https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/726783 Monitoring   True Range MT5  (MT5)
395 USD
ProFx MT4
Sergej Maehler
FxPro Expert Advisor  is a fully automated forex trading robot designed to work on the most traded currency pair EURUSD. The strategy based on breaking through price levels and does not uses lagging indicators, each entry point is calculated using an advanced input filter based on the analysis of the movement of the price chart. Each order is secured by a fixed stop-loss while profits are carried out using a dynamic stepwise algorithm to capture the maximum profit. Live Monitoring, EURUSD H
499 USD
Latency Arbitrage by Ai2Fx
Thara Tantitaranukul
Ai2 Arbitrage Latency   use for strategy "Latency Arbitrage". This EA very user-friendly and easy to use with the risk management module to protect your port, hight speed algorithms to gain the opportunity to make a profit and intelligent trailing stop-loss. Note# We are not provide a name of brokers but please read full idea and setup at  https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/734298  have some advice. Demo version   https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/47417 EA Highlight - Advance algorithm c
399 USD
Chakra MT4
The Huy Phan
Chakra MT4 is a trending following EA. This EA uses a custom indicators to detect entry signal. The fixed stop loss and take profit are always set for each trade. This EA has smart money management. Users only need to determine the accepted loss for each trade, EA will calculate the lot size for each trade according to stop loss price. Therefore, this EA is very safe. This EA is very easy to use and can apply for many currency pairs. Recommended time frame is  H1. Recommended pairs:  EURUSD, US
1 000 USD
Deep Takeover MT4
Jeremy Scott
An adaptive and under fitted trading system like no other The best settings of one symbol also work on a majority of other symbols The majority of settings within the optimization parameters test well Deep Takeover MT4 now comes with a 2nd EA for free : "Agility" EA!  See comment section for details Three versions for different types of accounts This MT4 version respects FIFO rules The MT5 netting version :    https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/52725 The MT5 hedge version :  https://www.mql
300 USD
Twin Max Mixed DC
Stanislau Siatsko
✅ Lowest Price for Twin_Max-Mixed_DC  (\$3500 ---> \$455), details here:  https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/724197   >>>>> Valid until December-06' 2020 . This is a multicurrency adviser where, when opening positions, the conditions of two correlation pairs are taken into account at the same time, which is impossible to see when testing in MT4. For testing, use the version for MT5:  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/50562 Real Trading:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/770666 VERY IMPORTANT:
455 USD
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Versión 1.3 2020.11.12