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Model Lelothoane


Model Lelothoane is a forex trading system model packaged into an indicator executable on a PC running Metatrader 4. The model exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. Stationarity is determined or confirmed by performing cointegration tests between two forex instruments. In the case that there is strong evidence of cointegration the two instruments can be traded as one stationary process. The trader can make entries every time the model spread/deviation (residual time series) crosses a new multiple of standard deviation from on its way from the mean. The indicator plots four multiples of standard deviation (-4 Std, -3 Std, -2 Std, -1 Std, 1 Std, 2 Std, 3 Std, 4 Std) in the indicator window below the main chart window. The indicator also displays some useful information (i.e. cointegration model parameters, lot size ratio, standard deviation, model deviation, levels, etc) in the main chart window.

To explain this operation further, suppose the model spread crosses the first standard deviation (negative or positive side) away from the mean. Then the trader will open two orders which together act as one order pair for model spread as a synthetic instrument (a stationary one). If the model spread goes further away to cross the second standard deviation from the mean, the trader  can pen a new order pair with same lot sizes. The trader should wait until the model spread reverts back to the mean (i.e. level 0) and close all trades and start afresh.  The end result is always that when the model mean finally reverts back to the mean there will be net profit in so far as the cointegration model is still valid.

There is a good reason why it is safe to keep opening order pairs as the model spread keeps moving away from the mean. That reason is that, since the model spread is a tested stationary process then it has a tendency of mean reversion and binning this process result in Gaussian histogram profile and this tells us that the probability of model spread moving further and further away from the mean decreases exponentially. It is for this reason that always betting that model spread is bound to revert back to the mean value results in an investment system with a positive expectation value which can be calculated explicitly given the mean and variance of the Gaussian histogram profile.

The lot size ratio is given by the coefficients of the instruments displayed in the main chart window (i.e. if the model is EURUD = -1.14*USDCHF + 1.86 for example, then the lot size ratio should be EURUSD : USDCHF = 1.00 : 1.14. Here are some few rules regarding what to buy/sell and when. Suppose the cointegration model example is given by EURUSD = M*USDCHF + C. Then the rules are as follows (Remember we only make entries when the model spread crosses multiples of standard deviation when it moves away from the mean):

1. If Model deviation is negative (i.e. negative level) AND the coefficient M is positive, do the following: (a) buy EURUSD and sell USDCHF and (b) set the lot size ratio of EURSD : USDCHF = 1 : abs(M).

2. If Model deviation is negative (i.e. negative level) AND the coefficient M is negative, do the following: (a) buy EURUSD and buy USDCHF and (b) set the lot size ratio of EURSD : USDCHF = 1 : abs(M).

3. If Model deviation is positive (i.e. negative level) AND the coefficient M is positive, do the following: (a) sell EURUSD and buy USDCHF and (b) set the lot size ratio of EURSD : USDCHF = 1 : abs(M). 

4. If Model deviation is positive (i.e. negative level) AND the coefficient M is negative, do the following: (a) sell EURUSD and sell USDCHF and (b) set the lot size ratio of EURSD : USDCHF = 1 : abs(M).

The robot has various input parameters (set at default settings) some of which are described below:

1. N is the data size for building cointegration model.
2. TFrame is the time frame in minutes.
3. PairOne & PairTwo are two trading instruments which are to tested for cointegration and traded if the test succeeds. The robot will report back if the chosen instruments have weak or no significant cointegration and the user should react by choosing a different combination.

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Volume Spread Analysis Indicator based on the methodology VSA developed originally by Richard Wyckoff and then computerized and further developed by Tom Williams. The Indicator work best on low TF. General Rules Arrows: Arrows below a bar mean strength Arrows above a bar mean weakness Colors: YellowGreen, Green - signals of strength Magenta, Red - signals of weakness Yellow - signal of caution YellowGreen is stronger signal than green  Magenta is stronger signal than red
1 500 USD
RSI ma Multi index Alert
Vu Thi Tam
This is a custom RSI of MA indicator consisting of 8 indices: AUDindex, NZDINdex, CADindex, EURindex, CHFindex, GBPindex, USDindex and JPYindex. It is based on 28 currency pairs using a smart algorithm: AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, EURUSD, USDCHF, GBPUSD, USDJPY, AUDJPY, NZDJPY, CADJPY, EURJPY, CHFJPY, GBPJPY, EURAUD, EURNZD, EURCAD, EURGBP, EURCHF, AUDCHF, NZDCHF, CADCHF, GBPCHF, GBPAUD, GBPNZD, GBPCAD, AUDNZD, AUDCAD and NZDCAD. Best trading has been detected on H1 chart in Euro session and US sess
300 USD
The indicator of a professional trader
Ramiz Mavludov
Features: All tools are suitable; Lots of strategies; Important levels, recommendations; Flexibility in settings for different instruments and intervals. Signals B, S - predict the direction of the candlestick movement at the beginning or at the close of the candlestick. Recommended TF is from H4 and up. Yellow dots - Recommended SL. Green squares are the recommended TP. Options SL   - By default 6, I recommend choosing from 6 to 12. The higher this value, the lower the probability of SL trig
2 020 USD
Scrill monst
Albert Idrisov
Scrill monst is a modification of the standard moving average indicator. It can be used as direct signals or as a filter for your trading strategy. Signals are simple, examples of the signals are available in the screenshot below. The indicator is easy to use: when it touches the zero level from the bottom up, enter a Sell trade. When it touches 0 from top to bottom, enter a Buy trade.
555 USD
Albert Idrisov
This is an easy to use histogram indicator. Green histogram - buy. Red histogram - sell. The indicator provides signals at the late reversal points. Why at the late ones? The indicator is not a magic wand. It cannot provide signals on the very peaks. Instead, it generates trend continuation signals on the late reversal points. Sometimes, it may provide signals on the very peaks as well, but that is not likely.
450 USD
Andrey Vasiliev
Here is the product, which truly reveals all the computing and graphical capabilities of the MetaTrader terminal. The TrendNavigator indicator helps you take the most effective trading decisions, features stunning accuracy, unlimited graphical capabilities and highly developed notification service. 3D graphics 4 unique trend determining algorithms 5 types of notifications of trend change which appear as Buy and Sell signals Very high accuracy Shows local lows and highs Free notification of new s
1 000 USD
Akash Gajadien
It took me days to think to release this indicator. This indicator finds HIGH/LOW on charts. It can be perfectly combined with other indicators. If you buy this indicator, you will get access to my chatbox. I will advise you how to setup the chart and trades and we will open trades together to help you achieve gains each month. You won't be disappointed if you buy this indicator. Live results are coming soon.
1 500 USD
Bank No repaint
Albert Idrisov
This is an easy-to-use arrow indicator for binary options and for Forex which is suitable for any currency pairs and time intervals. The indicator is very functional as it includes a couple of MetaTrader 4 standard indicators. It makes signals displayed as up and down arrows according to a price reversal. It is recommended to use highest timeframes as highest time intervals have stronger signals. And what's the main, signals appear on a current candle and Martingale with one order set can be use
480 USD
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