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Probability distribution PRO

Indicator is used for:

  1. defining price probability distributions. This allows for a detailed representation of the channel and its borders and forecast the probability of a price appearing at each segment of its fluctuations;
  2. defining the channel change moment.

 

Operation principles and features

Indicator analyzes a quote history on lower timeframes and calculates a price probability distribution on higher ones. Forecast algorithms allow the indicator to calculate probability distributions and moving averages without delays that usually accompany conventional moving averages.

The indicator operation is based on processing a deep and detailed quote history. Therefore, before launching indicator on a symbol chart, make sure to download the quote history ( Tools/History Center) of the symbol and increase "Max bars in history" and "Max bars in chart" to the maximum possible value ( Tools/Options/Charts). Indicator produces a large amount of calculations and therefore is resource-intensive. It requires at least a 4-core 2.8 GHz CPU and 4.00 GB of RAM. If the indicator causes much load on MetaTrader 4, decrease the "Number of countable bars of the current chart" parameter in the indicator settings having the default value of 200.

The program splits the total price fluctuation for a given averaging period by seven equal intervals and calculates the frequency of price hits at these intervals. Based on these calculations, the indicator builds the probability columns, which can be displayed in the main terminal window in two ways:

  1. as a color code, by the type of the visible light spectrum when the most probable values are closer to the violet area, while the least probable values ​​are close to the red one. The intervals are colored accordingly (the order of coding of the decreasing probability by means of the color scale is specified in the settings and can be changed by users);
  2. as values specifying the probability of hitting the given intervals with the corresponding color.

The indicator also calculates non-lagging  normalized asymmetry

ASUMM=   (< (x - <x>)^3 >)^(1/3)/ (< (x - <x>)^2 >)^(1/2)  ,

where <...> is the averaging sign, which, when it is module exceeded  the unit, serves as a powerful signal to change the direction of a previously established trend.     

 

 

Operation modes and settings

Algorithm settings:

  • The averaging period in the bars of the current graph (2n+1) - averaging period (1-99).
  • Number of countable bars of the current chart (<=200) - number of calculated indicator graph bars (1-200).
  • Shifting the calculation area of the indicator - global indicator shift (0-100).
  • The non-lagging distribution is calculated - calculate a non-lagging distribution.
  • The non-late channel  is calculated - calculate the current non-lagging channel.
  • Show the values of the probabilities of zones - display area probability values.

Color and display settings:

Colors in probability density descending order.

  • Color of the maximum probability zone (0);
  • Color of zone (1);
  • Color of zone (2);
  • Color of the zone of average probability (3);
  • Color of zone (4);
  • Color of zone (5);
  • Color of the minimum probability zone (6);
  •    

Parameters of non-lagging moving average.

  • Moving average price type.
  • The averaging method.
  • Confidence probability -   Values:   from 0  to  0.999 (0.5 by default).
  • Color of the moving average line=clrDarkOliveGreen; - The color of the indicator line and its figure sector.
  • Paint over the confidence interval? Values: true,   false(by default).

 

Trading mode settings:

  • Calculate the lot size from the risk, deposit and channel
  • Deposit in $
  • Allowable losses in %
  • The channel strategy is used - true - intra-channel strategy (false - channel breakthrough strategy)
  • Color of message about the size of the lot
  • Information about the lot at the bottom of the channel (false - information at the top of the channel)

 

Using in trading


Intra-channel strategy. The strategy is used in case of a formed white line - area of maximum probability. Open order when the price deviates into the yellow or orange areas. Close when the price returns to the white area.

Trend-following strategy. An order is opened when a change of band is identified (the middle falls into the red or yellow sector).

StopLoss is placed slightly further than the channel borders.

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AlioFx Price Action analyses trend, day candle, ob and os condition, 40 Japanese candle patterns with 9 customizable filters, last closed candle analyze, 23 chart patterns, automatic support and resistance lines, daily pivot points, trendlines, yesterday high and low lines and Fibonacci retracement. Alert, email and mobile notification for newly formed Price Action patterns and Chart patterns. Panel xy positioning, minimize button and panel options for quick turning on/off filters, alerts, pa hi
259 USD
Divergence Scanner For Multi Pair And MTF
ScorpionFX
(FOR MT4)   Divergence Scanner Multi Pair And Multi Time Frame :   This indicator has been designed to automatically identify when a divergence occurs between price and an oscillator. It can identify both bull and bear divergence and it is already loaded with four of the most popular oscillators. You can choose from RSI, MACD, Stochastics and CCI. IMPORTANT FACTORS TO KEEP IN MIND: When a divergence occurs, it means that price and momentum are not in agreement. And divergence signals are widel
79 USD
Chart Patterns Dashboard
Velmurugan Esakki
This indicator reads all symbols from Market Watch and scans behind the latest chart pattern formed in each symbols. The symbols are then categorized in dashboard based on its recent pattern identified.   The pattern of a particular symbol can be viewed separately in chart by left-clicking on the symbol. In the Dashboard, if the symbol is displayed in Green color, it means that the last trading price has broken the pattern in upward direction. If Red color, the break-out is in downward directio
200 USD
Real Time Currency Valuation
Igor Korepin
This unique currency index indicator has a wide range of tools for analyzing and monitoring the situation on the foreign exchange market. The indicator displays indexes of eight major currencies and also can calculate index of any other currency, metal or CFD. You will not need to study dozens of charts to determine strong and weak currencies, as well as their current dynamics. The picture of the whole currency market for any period can be viewed in a single indicator window. Main features of
75 USD
SFX Multi Pair Trend Dashboard
Somsri Sarkar
VIEW INDICATOR MANUAL Signal Tutorial : Indicator Signals Details FREE version with ATR : Download Multiple time frame version : Try  Demo Indicator Benefit Indicator show signals for 16 Instruments/ Pairs (custom-able) based on a selected time frame with alert. User can select Maximum 8 indicators according to their choice among 16 available indicators & oscillators with changeable inputs . Indicator Automatically Adjusts its columns & rows based on the user input & can plot multiple Dashboa
69.99 USD
Best And Worst Dashboard
Chantal Sala
Best and worst Dashboard was born from the idea to have a panel that includes all the symbols in a chart. It is very importance to understand which symbols are both positive and negative. In the past, we realized the single indicator Best and Worst ( https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/11784 ), now thanks to the upgrading of the Metatrader the dashboard displays all the instruments simultaneously. A great revolution. This Dashboard is able to calculate performance at any time frame and clicki
100 USD
MIDAS Curves
Mihail Lagutin
MIDAS (an acronym for Market Interpretation/Data Analysis System) is an approach to technical analysis initiated in 1995 by the physicist and technical analyst Paul Levine, PhD. Development of the original idea was then continued by Andrew Coles, PhD, and David Hawkins. The result of their work was the book "Technical Analysis MIDAS: VWAP Approach to Trade and Investment in Today's Markets". The MIDAS technical analysis VWAP approach to trading helps to effectively reduce what appears to be mark
79 USD
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Version 1.10 2020.08.23
Small bug fixed.