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SessionReopenEA:
Gold has a daily maintenance break on the CME. The first hour after it rises more than chance explains, in every calendar year of an 11-year sample - while every other hour of the day measures flat. One trade per session, a volatility-scaled server-side stop, no averaging or grid. Then my cost model turned out to be wrong. A real-tick backtest showed the true round-trip cost at the reopen is about 60 points, not the 19 my research had charged - the M1 bar spread field is a per-bar summary and understates it roughly threefold. Re-running 11 years at the corrected cost: +3.34 bps, t 7.40, 59.3% wins -> +1.60 bps, t 3.42, 50.8% wins The edge survives, at less than half its original strength. That second number is the real one. What it is not: about +3.3% a year with 4.6% drawdown, roughly one year in nine negative. At 0.01 lots that is ~130 a year - a figure that measures the position size, not the strategy.
Author: Gianluca Gangemi