Random probability theory. Napalm continues! - page 28
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Why less? The odds are the same, both before and after the first shot. That's what probability is. Or how is it: when you flip a coin, it turns out to be an eagle, so the second time the probability of getting an eagle is smaller or what? Not at all, it's the same 50/50. Try to do a test with any even the most primitive LSCP. It will show the same thing.
After we flip a coin for the first time, we open a series - we know the previous flip.
Again - a series is not a single spin.
* The example with a dice is clearer, with infinity I hope it is obvious.
I asked a question - no one has answered. why do casinos limit the bet? because martin loses in principle for the player?
maybe because the casino sees its horizon for 5 years? because players who bet on a series of 16 will win, but the series of 20 (when players lose) will have to wait for twenty years?
So there is a reasonable limit, a reasonable limit between the length of the series and the risk[probability] of surviving the series.
after we flip a coin the first time, we open a series - we know the previous flip.
Again - a series is not a separate spin.
* The dice example is clearer, the infinity example is hopefully obvious.
We know the previous spin, but the coin doesn't - that's a miscalculation.
So you mean the casino has less money than the players coming in? :-О :-)
Not necessarily, although it may be so. The main thing - the higher the max bet, the more cash they need to keep for calculations
We know the previous flip, but the coin doesn't - that's the miscalculation.
We're talking about the dice.
And it feels like we're talking about different things.
I'm not talking about the outcome, I'm talking about the probability of it happening again.
The probability of any number falling out is 1 in 6, no one's arguing that.
the recurrence probability is also 1\6, but it's much smaller than the probability of another outcome [5\6].
this is just an example of an object tending to change its state. this is the essence of randomness.
not necessarily, although it may be. The main thing is that the higher the max bet, the more cash they need to keep for calculations
Here's the paradox - there are tables with a max bet of $100, and $1,000, and $10,000.
But there's a limit everywhere.
If there is a limit of 10 000, then why do they put the same restrictions on a table with a max bet of 100?
Maybe there's a reasonable compromise between the probability of a long series and the bank? That's what I'm getting at.
This is why there are such limits on the market as well, and they are put by people (players).
Here's the paradox - there are tables with a max bet of $100, and $1,000, and $10,000.
But there's a limit everywhere.
If there is a limit of 10 000, then why do they put the same restrictions on a table with a max bet of 100?
Maybe there's a reasonable compromise between the probability of a long series and the bank? That's what I'm getting at.
The players are not the only ones who have to put the same restrictions on the market.
The problem is that they do not come from fear of losing the casino, but from a desire to make more dough.
If you raise the top level of rates, it increases and the number of denik needed to type doubling, + growing length of play, respectively, kazeno need to wait longer to drain the player who came with 5000 zeni, buttsuko playing cent roulette)) of course with so much capital, he can nevylezat a month from the table, the casino's profits from it no, rather it is not commensurate with the time it took to him, during that time the casino bandwidth would probably bring more income if lower uyshiy level bets. He's taking up space, and the casino cares how long he's taking up space too.
I'll try again about the coin.
More precisely about the series.
But first there is no series.
let's say we are interested in a series of 4 spins.
the extremes are 1111 and 0000 (tails?), the rest fall under the definition "both states in the sequence are"
i.e. two trending vs. 14 [call it true-random :-) ]
fine
start a series
it's 1.
we have 3 rolls left, and we have automatically got the variant 0000
but the probability of "true random" series [both states are present] remained - it has not gone anywhere.
what to do? :-)
Don't you think it's not out of fear of the casino being dumped but out of a desire to make more dough.
If you raise the top level of rates, it increases and the number of denik needed to type doubling, + growing length of play, respectively, kazeno need to wait longer to drain the player who came with 5000 zeni, buttsuko playing cent roulette)) of course with so much capital, he can nevylezat a month from the table, the casino's profits from it no, rather it is not commensurate with the time spent on it, during this time, the casino bandwidth would probably bring more income if lower uyshiy level bets. He's taking up space, and the casino also cares how long he takes up space.
That's my point - everything's a compromise and what's it based on? A sensible choice between the length of the series and the time it takes for it to happen.