Any strategy works as long as only one investor knows about it - page 3

 
ZZZEROXXX:
And then the efficiency of "entry" tends to decrease.

If you hit the market regularly (say, at the beginning of every hour) with large bids, you can regularly take a couple of $ without even knowing your strategy. It will be enough to widen the spread before your entry. If you work in smaller volumes, entering more frequently (say, every 5 minutes) - you will have less chance of being noticed (but then you will introduce a noticeable imbalance not in the ratio of your buying and selling volumes, but in the ratio of the number of corresponding deals, which is also not good).

Entry efficiency will be reduced if someone else has similar information (i.e. you have the same assumptions about future price movement) and is trying to profit from it. If the information is available only to you - the efficiency will not decrease.

 
anonymous:

... By logging in more often (say, every 5 minutes) you are less likely to be noticed

If the information is only available to you - effectiveness will not be reduced.

I fundamentally disagree. By smearing your entry over time you run the same risk of cumulative slippage from a one-off entry. In 5 minutes the price can move seriously against you. If you enter once, at least those couple of quid of loss are predictable. In the case of a split entry with a noticeable delay between parts, the ultimate slippage is harder to predict.
 

Why are you snapping at the man at once .....? You may have already discouraged the market. Maybe he found a grail somehow... and you criticized him here .....

the market is the market .... one bought second sold... the volume is not so big that an ordinary trader can afford... and the sessions are not the last place...

caught between sessions and trader's wanderings... .... no matter what strategies against big banks, the world's traders may not make it in terms of money...

I THINK SO, ....

 
NeoNeuro:
Logical proof.


....

Can thehanalysis be profitable?

Yes, if a unique indicator or strategy is used that no one else knows about.

Fun mushrooms...
 

If you issue an edict, "Everyone should learn wave theory" with the same textbook and use it only in the market, the same 5% will still be profitable. And they will be the same people who are in the black now with their different trading systems.

 

It's a funny paradox:

Зарабатывать теоретически возможно только именно благодаря непостоянству рынка и отсутствию общих строгих правил.

For the same reason - earning is extremely unlikely. :)

Figuratively: the market is like a fantastic pendulum, which always swings back and forth, in several reference systems, but its exact moment of return is never known. It already seems to be at its extreme point, but it keeps pulling higher and higher... Try to calculate its period! :) Try to attach it to a cuckoo clock. The cuckoo clock will go crazy and seven Fridays a week is your calendar.

Any strategy is only a temporary illusion of understanding chaos. The market takes its course anyway; the nature of its existence is that for every strategy, sooner or later an anti-strategy is triggered, because otherwise the pendulum might have settled down, but it does not.

 
Sta2066:

If you issue an edict "Everyone should learn wave theory" with the same textbook and use it only in the market, the same 5% would still be on the plus side. And it will be the same people who...

..who wrote the textbook and issued the decree :))
 
denis_orlov:

The market takes its course anyway, the nature of its existence is that for every strategy sooner or later an anti-strategy is triggered, because otherwise the pendulum would have swung back, but it has not.

The pendulum is simply linear and the market is not.
 

Well, let's look at how such a situation occurs in the current market. What situation? The situation is that in every trading client there is a MACD indicator. Well, people are trading on the MACD. And the market seems to react to these operations.

EURUSD 5 min MACD indicator with standard values of 12, 26, 9:

Green bar is drawn after crossing of histogram and signal line. That is, on the next bar preceded by 2 conditions:

1. On the first bar the histogram is higher than the signal one.

2. On the second bar the histogram is lower than the signal one.

Yellow - reverse crossover.

Thus, at approximately the time when the first bar was being formed, the histogram and the signal line were crossed.

It is very clear only on 5-minute and hourly charts. On other timeframes it is not very clear.

 
lukas1:

It is very clear only on 5 minutes and hours. The rest of the timeframe is not very visible.

Mm-hmm. And in the tester you can't even see it on five minutes and hours. Apparently, it's a conspiracy.
Reason: