The market is a controlled dynamic system. - page 457

 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:

Unfortunately I probably know what the problem is with your system, and all systems have the same problem.

It is sampling.

No one has ever even tried to figure out what to base it on. They just take it and then think about it.

In your case, the highlight of the problem is the impulse shifts in the market that happen almost every day. They are the ones that shift the "centre of mass of probability space" always in the direction of the shift. And unfortunately, attempts to apply anything without taking these shifts into account will always lead to failure. These impulses are called the popular word "trend", but in fact it is fundamentally wrong, because there is no clear dependence, there is only an effect of far correlation in relation to the market in the most general case that is mistakenly perceived as a consistent pattern.

It is impulses that change the properties of the general population. Generally speaking, if you take impulses into account as a starting point of sampling, you will get a full-fledged solution.

Of course, I am not competent in attractors, but understanding why they are needed, I have expressed my opinion as intelligently as possible. I hope I understand the meaning of this method of analysis correctly.

No, I don't.

And I don't operate with "probabilities" at all.

Regarding "properties of the general population", you should always remember the following:

.

.

.

.

 
Олег avtomat:

No, I don't.

And I don't operate with "probabilities" at all.

As for "properties of the general population", you should always keep the following in mind:

.

Can you explain the essence of the problem in popular scientific language, maybe there will be at least one person who can still give some useful advice? What do you think?

 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:

Can you explain the problem in a popular scientific way here, maybe there is someone who can still give you some useful advice? What do you think?

There's no need for that.
 
Олег avtomat:
There's no need for that.

Well... there's no way around it, as they say.

 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:

Well... there's no way around it, as they say.

Everything goes on as it is.

 
Олег avtomat:

Everything is moving in its own direction.

Is it heading in the right direction?)

 
Renat Akhtyamov:
It's not even funny anymore.

I agree. Where's the F1 grill? Rena blew it again!

 
Олег avtomat:

You might be interested in researching one of the Masters:

https://smart-lab.ru/blog/468221.php

https://smart-lab.ru/blog/420938.php

https://smart-lab.ru/blog/412671.php

etc.

SWT-метод: существуют ли тренды? Часть 1.
SWT-метод: существуют ли тренды? Часть 1.
  • smart-lab.ru
Это сообщение — переработанная выдержка из материалов моего блога. И появилось оно в результате вопроса о существовании трендов, инициированного публикацией Вы читали об этом? «Как рождаются и умирают тренды» и обсуждением этой публикации. А теперь собственно текст. Следствием очевидного факта — изменение цены любого актива на любом промежутке...
 
Alexander_K:

You might be interested in researching one of the Masters:

https://smart-lab.ru/blog/468221.php

https://smart-lab.ru/blog/420938.php

https://smart-lab.ru/blog/412671.php

etc.

I remember having extensive interesting discussions on the Broko forum (as opposed to the shambles here), including with him. He was usually my opponent (neophyte - that was his nickname, both on Broko and on other forums). Many years have passed since then, but he and I have never crossed paths again.

 
Олег avtomat:

I remember having extensive discussions on the Broko forum, including with him (neophyte - that was his nickname, both on Broko and on other forums). Many years have passed since then, but he and I never crossed paths again.

!!!

So you're in the know anyway. Great. I personally found some of his research useful.

Reason: