FOREX - Trends, Forecasts and Implications 2015(continued) - page 1686

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Roman Busarov:
how's it going in here?
Same old same old, same old :) . Except Ishimka's gone and Tuma's been out on his own for five years.
 
Roman Busarov:
hello honest people??? how's it going?
All's well, everyone's wondering where the pound will go with the audi...Oh, and the eu...)))
 
Yury Reshetov:
Warn her wouldn't be enough. She's a small-minded and flighty girl. She'll tell them to go fuck themselves.
Well, that's what we gave her for the pies... with foie gras.
 
mmmoguschiy-new:
However, the experts added that there is still a risk of further but slight strengthening of the US currency.
It is now clear where your scenario for the Euroland is coming from.
 
mmmoguschiy-new:
The results of a Reuters poll of currency strategists showed that the US dollar's rise is probably coming to an end. However, experts added that there is still a risk of further but slight strengthening of the US currency.
In the short term, the dollar should receive support as the European Central Bank is expected to expand its ambitious bond-buying programme as early as Thursday and cut further its deposit rate, which is already negative. At the same time, almost all analysts expect the Fed to take the opposite action in a fortnight, namely to raise interest rates from zero for the first time in almost a decade.
The trouble is that policymakers have long signalled the introduction of new measures, especially at the ECB, so any effect of these expected actions is already largely factored into quotations. In the meantime, there are still some doubts amongst Fed policy makers on the back of mixed data. Yesterday a report showed that US manufacturing activity declined in November for the first time in three years, which was linked to a significantly stronger US dollar and slower global trade growth. This raised fears that the economy, which is still struggling to raise inflation, is not as strong as many had hoped.
The dollar gained more than 3 per cent against a basket of currencies last month amid expectations that the Fed is preparing to raise rates on 16 December. Meanwhile, the euro fell 4 per cent in November, and has fallen more than 13 per cent against the dollar this year.
According to a survey of more than 60 currency strategists this week, the euro will fall to $1.05 this month and $1.04 next year. This suggests that the monetary policy divergence that could start this month is largely already accounted for by market participants. Nevertheless, 40 of the 60 analysts said the risks to their dollar forecasts were heading upwards. The remaining 20 said they were pointing downwards. The dollar index is forecast to rise to 100.2 by the end of the year and to 102.3 at the end of 2016.
This is already a good indicator for the dollar this year and parity with the euro was expected
 
Alexey Busygin:

she won't go up, don't you understand!

She doesn't care. She's out of line.
 
Yury Reshetov:
Now I see where your euora scenario is coming from.
It wasn't really like that. First of all, it wasn't legs - it was feet... at the oak table, the round table. So we're sitting there with the Reuters... That's where I told them the scenario. Who knew they'd take it seriously?
 
mmmoguschiy-new:
It wasn't really like that. First of all, it wasn't legs - it was feet... at a round oak table. So we're sitting there with the reuters... That's where I told them the scenario. Who knew they'd take it seriously?
Well, if they do, I've got a big face on my face.
 
Yury Reshetov:
She doesn't care. She's not in the know.
Free-swimming, after all.
 
Yury Reshetov:
Well, if that's the case, I've got a stern look on my face.
Well, it's time for bed. Tell dick Williams what to say, he'll say something. And the script. Nighty-night
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