Discussion of article "Combinatorics and probability theory for trading (Part I): The basics" - page 2

 
By the way, I would like to point out that trading, for example, if it happens to be against the trend, does not mean that the probable positive outcome is reduced, because during the day there are several stages of local trend development.
The main thing is the chosen direction for the current trading day.
 
Alexandr Plys:
By the way, I would like to point out that trading, for example, if it happens to be against the trend, does not mean that the probable positive outcome is reduced, because during the day there are several stages of local trend development.
The main thing is the chosen direction for the current trading day.

I looked at your signal, it's good, but there is a martin all the same )), but okay, this is the second thing. The funny thing is that these formulas themselves will not give anything to a new strategy that is profitable or that is unprofitable. This maths is needed primarily to assess risks and probabilities, but it will not give anything in terms of reinforcement. About amplification will be, you just need to digest the material a little in your head, but everything there is based only on diversification, to amplify one signal through some additional tricks like martin or averaging will not work, you can take my word for it.

 
I'm not going to amplify anything.
It trades normally with the current volatility.


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I like articles like this, even though I hold a bit of my own views. It is always interesting to read, the author's level of reasoning and abstractions is quite high.
 
What a great article, interesting use of Bernoulli's scheme to explain the whole process. Congratulations!
 
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The article Combinatorics and Probability Theory for Trading (Part I) has been published: Fundamentals:

Author: Evgeniy Ilin

Top! Thanks, useful)
 

Very interesting material! Thank you!

In contest of probability, implementation of Hidden Markov Chains in trading are promised too! Just a comment :)!