426

Mrluck07

Some people say that at any given time, the probability for the price, for example, to go up 10 pips, or go down 10 pips, is 50% for each side, right? But what's the probability at any given time, for example, that the price will move for example only 2 pips up and 10 pips down? Is 50% too? Thanks for answer

21

That is a hard question. Probabilty depends on multiple factors like trend, market sentiment etc. There is no fixed number, but generally the probability is less than 50% considering the spread and commission.

1702

It is never 50/50. All events have variables which affect every and each one in different ways.

Forget for a moment about the Stock Market and start with a simple event called Coin toss. People think that this action is random and it has a 50/50 chance, but this is false. Why? Coin toss has its variables also: human factor.

http://time.com/4040408/why-the-coin-toss-is-random/

;)

http://time.com

- time.com

Breaking news and analysis from TIME.com. Politics, world news, photos, video, tech reviews, health, science and entertainment news.

11295

Some people say that at any given time, the probability for the price, for example, to go up 10 pips, or go down 10 pips, is 50% for each side, right? But what's the probability at any given time, for example, that the price will move for example only 2 pips up and 10 pips down? Is 50% too? Thanks for answer

If 5 indicators tells you to go long, it'll very likely bull - hence the EA mades of plenty of indicators.

1030

If you want to see how a chart made of random ticks looks like:

(the code in attached zip draws them)

1256

That is a hard question. Probabilty depends on multiple factors like trend, market sentiment etc. There is no fixed number, but generally the probability is less than 50% considering the spread and commission.

That is totally right.