There is a difference in probability between 2 different gains?

[Mrluck07]

Some people say that at any given time, the probability for the price, for example, to go up 10 pips, or go down 10 pips, is 50% for each side, right? But what's the probability at any given time, for example, that the price will move for example only 2 pips up and 10 pips down? Is 50% too? Thanks for answer

[Max Victor]

That is a hard question. Probabilty depends on multiple factors like trend, market sentiment etc. There is no fixed number, but generally the probability is less than 50% considering the spread and commission.

[Flavio Javier Jarabeck]

It is never 50/50. All events have variables which affect every and each one in different ways.

Forget for a moment about the Stock Market and start with a simple event called Coin toss. People think that this action is random and it has a 50/50 chance, but this is false. Why? Coin toss has its variables also: human factor.

http://time.com/4040408/why-the-coin-toss-is-random/

;)

[Icham Aidibe]

Mrluck07:
Some people say that at any given time, the probability for the price, for example, to go up 10 pips, or go down 10 pips, is 50% for each side, right? But what's the probability at any given time, for example, that the price will move for example only 2 pips up and 10 pips down? Is 50% too? Thanks for answer

If 5 indicators tells you to go long, it'll very likely bull - hence the EA mades of plenty of indicators. 

[kypa]

If you want to see how a chart made of random ticks looks like:

http://forum.bg/showthread.php?5651-%D0%A1%D0%BB%D1%83%D1%87%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BD%D0%B8-%D0%BB%D0%B8-%D1%81%D0%B0-%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B5-%D1%84%D0%B8%D0%BD%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8-%D0%B8%D0%BD%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B8&p=1775185&viewfull=1#post1775185

(the code in attached zip draws them)

[ADRIAN MATUSIAK]

Max Victor:
That is a hard question. Probabilty depends on multiple factors like trend, market sentiment etc. There is no fixed number, but generally the probability is less than 50% considering the spread and commission.

That is totally right.