Oil at $135

 

Oil to NEVER hit $135.00

here is why...

1-Many will continue to profit take as price target of $135 was hit

2-Dollar is getting stronger

3-Commodity bubble about to burst

4-there will be HUGE after memorial day sell off...watch for it...will start tomorrow, Friday May 23 ,2008

5-Next Wed EIA report will be massively bearish stating overstock of inventory...

6-monthly supply reports should show back up of inventory

7-when it begins, watch out, will fall hard...

8-much of upward price momentum has been short covering rally

9-Venezuala issues appear to be a 'non issue'

10-Iran supply issues are 'not there'

11-market did not budge when congress said no more stock piling invenotry

12-"irrational exuberance" in Oil cannot continue

13-gas prices will rise and demand will lessen thus ending demand for Oil

14-Green options (non Oil required...I.e. Wind farms etc.) will continue to grow

15-COT report will begin to show this...this lack of demand for Oil

16-the "prophetic" future contracts in months, years to come are price less then the current front month contract...so, traders are expecting that Oil price will and should decline!!!

17-Brent Crude is almost same price as WTI Crude thus indicating the 'devaluing' of the WTI Nymex product...

18-China etc.cannot keep current pace of 'craving' for commodities such as Oil etc.

19-Ethanol boom will become a 'bust' thus creating desire for 'purer' return to gas and normal Oil supply/demand

20-Inflation to be proven 'non issue' and price of Oil comes down as economy strengthens

Reason: