World Stock Indexes Trading - page 5
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The decision of the Central Bank started a new cycle in US monetary policy. For six years, benchmark interest rates remained at historically unprecedented levels in a range between 0% and 0.25%. Now, with the increase decided on Wednesday begins a new upward phase of the interest rate, which is supposed to be more gradual than the previous. Typically, increases in interest rates are considered unfavorable to equity markets. However, the history of stock markets reveals a different pattern.
Today's session will serve to clarify how much of the fall of Friday is due to the maturity of derivatives and how much was due to the weakness of the market.
As long as the SP500 remains above the zone of 1994/2000, the possibility of a rise by the end of the year still remains.
Tomorrow begins the period that corresponds to the so-called Santa Claus rally. This period includes the last five sessions of the year and the first two of the new year. Over the past 29 years, the S & P had a positive performance 26 times, with an average gain of 1.74%.
Happy Holidays!
Merry Christmas and a Happy 2016!
This week will again be shorter due to the celebration of the New Year. Today, the trading volume, which is traditionally lower, will also be conditioned by the closure of the London stock exchange (“Boxing Day”). In business terms, the news are not relevant at the beginning of week. An highlight to the Swiss banking sector, after having informed Reuters that four Swiss banks will pay more than 178 M.USD to the US Justice Department to avoid possible charges for helping tax evasion to US citizens.
Yesterday, North American market recovered from lows during the session, despite having ended in negative territory. However, given the low trading volume this recovery becomes negligible, and it is not possible to anticipate with more certainty a positive trend.
A member of the Conference Board said that consumers remain positive on the current state of the economy, particularly as regards the labor market: slightly increased the number of people who anticipate an increase in jobs in the coming months, while which decreased the percentage of consumers who expected fewer jobs.
It was a pretty profitable year! :-)
The forum was a great help.
Which you all a Happy 2016!
After the oil has fallen about 40% over the past three months, the positive consequences should begin to emerge and perhaps to influence investor decisions. Some macroeconomic studies indicate that a decrease of 60 USD / barrel crude price moves about 2000 000 M.USD from producing countries to consuming countries. In recent months, investors focused on the negative impact that the oil is falling in countries like Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Russia, etc. However, there is a flip side and the main beneficiary is Europe. In fact, the European Union is one of the largest importers of oil and at a time when its economy has not yet reached a 'cruising speed', the fall of oil could be the missing driver. In fact, if one considers that the European Union imports about 30% of the world's oil, so a drop of 60 USD / barrel will generate an income of about 660,000 M.USD to this region.